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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
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[quote:NiNzrez:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzIyODA2OTQyXzI3NzI3RUE1] [u][b]Here you can read any current updates[/b]:[/u] [b]UPDATE: May 15, 2013[/b] [quote:NiNzrez 28232082:MV8xMzgyOTUyXzM2NjgwNzA2XzU5MTkwMzUy] [b]Expected Events:[/b] [b]The Sun's polar fields are now at the point of a possible reversal (solar polar fields map **Updated May 12, 2013!**) http://www.solen.info/solar/polarfields/polar.html[/b] COMMENT:NOAA AR 1748 rotated into view, it is still not possible to infer its magnetic configuration but it is a big region with mixed magnetic polarities. It produced two X-class flares in past 24h and can produce more. The first one was an X2.8 with peak at 16:05 UT on May 13, the second one an X3.2 at 01:11 UT today. Both were related to radio bursts and fast limb CMEs. The first CME has a speed of 1500 km/s in the LASCO C3 field of view (decelerated with respect to the 1800 km/s seen in C2), while the second one was travelling at 1900 km/s in LASCO C3 (accelerated from the 1600 km/s measured in C2). Due to the source region location right at the limb, we expect at most a shock arriving to the Earth early on May 15 (09:00 UT for the first one and 13:00 UT for the second one). There is also a CME from May 12 expected to arrive around the same time as the first CME from yesterday. The second X flare and corresponding CME produced also a rise on the proton flux, which is still below the threshold and seems stable for the moment. NOAA AR 1745 has also potential for M flares. High solar activity is expected for the next 48h. Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet. The possible arrival of a shock from the two halo CMEs and a mild fast speed stream from a coronal hole may increase conditions to active and possible minor storm levels in the next 48h http://www.sidc.be/products/meu/index.php Region 11748 [N11E66] is a compact region with a strong magnetic delta structure in the leading spot section. Some loss of penumbral area was observed after the X3 flare. Further M and X class flaring is possible. C5+ flares: X3.2 at 01:11 UTC. Additionally an X1.2 flare was recorded at 01:48 UTC on May 15. Both events were associated with at least partial halo CMEs. Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) May 12-13: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in LASCO and STEREO imagery. May 14: At least a partial halo CME was observed after the X3 event in AR 11748. The CME was fast and Earth could see a flanking impact on May 16. May 15: A wide CME was observed after the X1 event in AR 11748. A flanking impact is possible on May 17. http://www.solen.info/solar/ [/quote] [/quote]
Original Message
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017
[
link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov
]
ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located
-----------
CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!
Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC
On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
[
link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)
]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.
The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!
On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares
We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!
1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
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