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IS GOLD FINALLY GOING TO GET ITS FINAL WASHOUT I HOPE???
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[quote:Punk-A$$ets:MV8yNTU4MzI5XzQ2NTkxNDE1XzZGQkI5OEZB] [quote:Antipodean:MV8yNTU4MzI5XzQ2NTkxMjI1XzQwMUJCNzhC] [quote:Punk-A$$ets:MV8yNTU4MzI5XzQ2NTkwOTU2XzIyQkFGODcy] [quote:Antipodean:MV8yNTU4MzI5XzQ2NTg1NDU0X0NFRDJEMzhG] Nice little bounce in the metals here. Good opportunity to set up some more shorts do you think? [/quote] I think its too early to place new shorts but wtf do i know. The reason is the dollar ought to be making a short term top any fricken day. Its been up and up for nearly 3 solid months. And gold has been down down down so I wouldnt bet on more down right now. [/quote] Fair enough. So i've been reading Martin Armstrongs site as you suggested, and I need to thank for the recommendation! I'm ditching Zerohedge as my homepage and using armstrongeconomics. I have a question though (more questions - sorry!), did you purchase his International Metals Outlook? I'm tempted to buy a copy, but at $400 I want to make sure its worth it. What are your thoughts? Cheers [/quote] IMO Zerohedge is almost all over the top hype. They pick up on some good stuff but its way too much for me to weed through. I did buy the metals report but at least 90% of it is tech babble that Im sure is right but yet is meaningless to the average person. This is mostly because its the same stuff in a half dozen currencies. He gives the weeks for the real probable turn around in metals but I cant mention them here. You can pretty much get the gist of what he says in his regular daily commentary if you go backward through his writings. Basically gold has been following his economic model and hes calling for a MAJOR downturn in the economies after sept 30th 2015. Armstrong warned goldbugs here: http://armstrongeconomics.com/2013-a-snapshot-of-the-future-gold-array-for-2013/ But just a few weeks back makes it clear for gold future: http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/09/02/will-gold-still-go-to-5000/ [/quote]
Original Message
Any gold bugs left? I've been waiting in the wings for what seems like forever - waiting for this bear market in gold to get over and done with. With todays sell off we might be close to seeing new lows in gold.
Dont get me wrong, Im still looking for very high gold prices in the years to come but I still think we're going to see $1000 gold give or take 10%. $15 silver give or take 10%. I repeat, we have NEVER back tested the $1000 level in gold - yet.
There is an uncanny resemblance to the recent trade range in gold to the previous one. Broken link below.
finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=GC&p=w1
Notice the $200 trade range between $1600 and $1800 lasted for more than a year before we got the washout. The current range of $1200 to $1400 is almost an exact copy for time and price range and with the breakdown today we should plunge once we break $1200 again. It would seem $1180 is as important now as $1530 was in the last flush.
If the current pattern holds, the final lows in gold wont come until later this year or very early next year.
Incidentally, Martin Armstrong has said Jan 2015 is an important turning point for gold and that gold would rally strongly after his next ECM change Oct 1st, 2015. In another writing he also said a low in gold in 2015/2016 would be perfect for a blistering rally in gold thereafter that takes it to new highs in 2017/2018.
Just touching base with any gold bugs that might be left. Hang in there. Our time is coming but patience is still required. Probably better to hold GLL or DUST for the time being. A monster trade in NUGT and JNUG is probably not too far off.
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