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COVID-19 News, Info, Discussion /// Tracking the Spread of the Virus and its Effects /// October Lockdown for UK (pg. 774)
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[quote:Dutchy20:MV80NDc5ODAxXzgxNjEwNTA1Xzc4OTQ0NTg=] [b]Amsterdam limited (sic, limits) contact investigation, there is also a risk of a national capacity shortage[/b] https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=auto&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fnos.nl%2Fartikel%2F2343195-amsterdam-beperkt-contactonderzoek-ook-landelijk-dreigt-capaciteitstekort.html&sandbox=1 Some interesting reference points in the article: - [i]"training the new researchers takes three to four weeks."[/i] - [i]"In practice, one source and contact study appears to take more than twice as much time, namely 12 hours."[/i] So this means that for efficient contact tracing you will need 1.5 contact tracer days in followup (Assuming 8 hour work day). At the time you start getting overwhelmed it takes 3-4 weeks to scale up, in those same 3-4 weeks you can see cases double 3 or 4 times. Combine that with the above data about taking multiple days to setup a testing site at a point of outbreak etc. Winter is coming... [/quote]
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