EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE TO LAST UNTIL SPRING:NOAA | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 01:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A major La Niña event continues to affect the Pacific Basin. Long-range forecast models surveyed by the Bureau suggest that the La Niña is likely to persist into the southern hemisphere autumn. All climate indicators of ENSO remain beyond La Niña thresholds. The tropical Pacific Ocean remains much cooler than average for this time of year, with temperatures below the surface up to 4 °C below normal in central and eastern parts comparable to the La Niña event of 1988. Trade winds are stronger than average, while cloud patterns continue to show a typical La Niña signature with suppressed cloudiness in tropical areas near the dateline. The Southern Oscillation Index SOI value for December of +27 is the highest December SOI value on record, as well as being the highest value for any month since November 1973. La Niña periods are generally associated with above normal winter, spring and summer rainfall, particularly over eastern and northern Australia. The current event has contributed to 2010 being Australia’s the third wettest year on record, and Queensland having its wettest December on record. During La Niña periods, Tropical Cyclone occurrence for northern Australia is typically higher than normal during the cyclone season November-April, while summer daytime temperatures are often below average, particularly in areas experiencing higher than normal rainfall. The influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole IOD on Australian rainfall is limited during the months from December through to April. [link to climatesignals.org] [link to en.wikipedia.org] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1221530 Australia 01/13/2011 01:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 01:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well actually it seems its the easing of El Nino that is to blame. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1221530er.. I thought that is sort of what happens in the La Nina years? The two variations are coupled: the warm oceanic phase, El Niño, accompanies high air surface pressure in the western Pacific, while the cold phase, La Niña, accompanies low air surface pressure in the western Pacific. [link to en.wikipedia.org] |
^stetson^
User ID: 832032 Canada 01/13/2011 01:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 01:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is the tropical depression people should be looking at SH942011 - INVEST [link to rammb.cira.colostate.edu] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 01:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE TO LAST UNTIL SPRING# # by the way if you are in the southern hemisphere that means Autumn we may have just been seeing the very start of this flooding that will continue for many months.. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 01:30 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | THERE HAS BEEN PLENTY OF WARNING!! this was issued in October Seasonal Outlook 2010-11 for Queensland and the Coral Sea Region La Nina boosts the odds of Queensland having an active cyclone season. Queensland may experience above average tropical cyclone activity this coming season, with up to six cyclones developing in the Coral Sea. It is also likely to be wetter than normal in most parts. The Bureau of Meteorology's Queensland Regional Director, Jim Davidson, said this is because we're now in a La Nina climate phase, which he expects will remain the dominating influence through the Spring and Summer months. La Nina events are usually associated with above normal rainfall across much of Queensland and enhanced tropical cyclone activity in the Coral Sea. Mr Davidson said "What this translates to is where historically we could expect an average of four cyclones a season in the Coral Sea, we now expect the number to be potentially higher, but the number of cyclones actually making landfall can be quite variable from season to season." "However, under these conditions, we have a good chance of a cyclone crossing the coast before the year is out." he said. Mr Davidson urged Queenslanders to "prepare early not only for cyclones but also for floods as we have already experienced record September rainfalls across the state." "Preparation is the key to safety, and we encourage communities to factor in the possibility of a destructive cyclone or major flood into their pre-season planning." said Mr Davidson. [link to www.bom.gov.au] Don't go praising Spanna Blight and the government too much... they could of done a lot more a lot sooner to be prepared for this disaster. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1221530 Australia 01/13/2011 01:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 01:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1221530 Australia 01/13/2011 01:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well actually it seems its the easing of El Nino that is to blame. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1228038er.. I thought that is sort of what happens in the La Nina years? The two variations are coupled: the warm oceanic phase, El Niño, accompanies high air surface pressure in the western Pacific, while the cold phase, La Niña, accompanies low air surface pressure in the western Pacific. [link to en.wikipedia.org] 3:43 lack of El Nino warming. The biggest floods coincide with Solar and Lunar Eclipses. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1225564 South Korea 01/13/2011 01:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
^Watcher^
User ID: 1213463 United States 01/13/2011 01:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It is neither El Nino OR La Nina but the judgment of God upon the people of this earth. Keep watching. Does El Nino cause volcanic eruptions, animal die-offs, global government collapses, sink holes, earthquakes, tsunamis, solar flares, plagues, global rumors of nuclear war, pole shift anomalies, weakening magnetosphere, etc., ALL SIMULTANEOUSLY? I will give you flooding and crop failures but, honestly, how are all of the rest explained...and, did I mention, SIMULTANEOUSLY? |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 01:52 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | thanks for that video again.. 1530 [link to forum.weatherzone.com.au] lots of discussion here ^ I suggest bookmark this place if you want to read any serious discussion on the weather events happening here |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1221530 Australia 01/13/2011 01:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This guy gets it right MOST of the time, but they wont publish his stuff when he is right only when he is wrong. He is banned from all bookmakers in the UK from betting on the weather because it is assumed he has an unfair advantage. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 01:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | if you are from Victoria you can check the river conditions near you here: [link to www.bom.gov.au] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1227560 United States 01/13/2011 02:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 02:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Extreme La Niña brings illness and misery to Peru Chrystelle Barbier Wednesday, August 25th 2010, 10:31 AM GMT Mass of polar air also hangs over Chile, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and southern Brazil Dionisia was waiting her turn in the crowded medical centre, her baby bundled up on her back with a manta, the traditional multicoloured Andean cloth. "My son has got a problem with his lungs," explained the young mother, who believes that it is due to the cold spell that has hit Lima. Dionisia lives in Manchay to the east of the Peruvian capital, a sprawl of plywood houses with makeshift roofs of corrugated iron, plastic or cardboard that offer little protection from the winds that sweep over the hills. For the first time in 40 years, temperatures in Lima fell to 8.8C at the end of July. Since then they have hovered around 13-15C. Houses are poorly insulated in Lima, and according to Percy Mosca of the Peruvian department of meteorology and hydrology, "the cold is made worse by the unusually strong winds in the region, as well as high humidity of more than 80% and sometimes even 95%". Article continues below this advert: "It's so cold your bones ache," said Dionisia. The whole of Peru is having an unusual cold spell as a result of La Niña, a cyclical climatic phenomenon leading to a cooling of the Pacific Ocean. But the drop in temperatures is also due to a mass of cold air from the south pole, which has also affected Chile, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and southern Brazil. Unusually low temperatures of 10C have even reached the Amazonian forest, which is more used to recording figures of 20-30C. The Peruvian government is particularly concerned about the extent and duration of this bout of cold weather, which has hit 13 regions, about half the country. "We have sent reinforcements to the medical centres and launched vaccination programmes, not only in the Andes where we do them every year, but in Amazonia as well," said Aquiles Vilchez, who is in charge of epidemiology at the ministry of health. There has also been an increase in the number of cases of pneumonia. "However, the number of deaths due to such respiratory diseases is lower than last year," he stressed. Vilchez believes this shows that past experience has helped the country deal with the cold spell. Nevertheless, 250 children aged under five have died in Peru from cold-related respiratory diseases, mostly pneumonia, since the beginning of the year. Of these 64 came from the high Andes region of Puno, where temperatures sometimes fall below -20C. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 02:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | About the Indian Ocean Dipole [link to www.bom.gov.au] POAMA forecasts from 13/12/2010 - 11/ 1/2011: [link to www.bom.gov.au] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 868423 Canada 01/13/2011 02:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This guy gets it right MOST of the time, but they wont publish his stuff when he is right only when he is wrong. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1221530He is banned from all bookmakers in the UK from betting on the weather because it is assumed he has an unfair advantage. this guy is good! he says "global warming comes from a cults ideaology, not from science". |
Melodye
User ID: 1225078 Australia 01/13/2011 02:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1228038 Thanks for the link. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1226884 United Kingdom 01/13/2011 02:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 02:21 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | if you are from Victoria you can check the river conditions near you here: Quoting: Melodye[link to www.bom.gov.au] Thanks for the link. there's some other good maps there |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 02:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Road Rules Still Apply Police would like to remind motorists of road rules after reports that sight-seers are disregarding basic traffic laws and are hampering emergency service vehicle access to flood affected areas. Brisbane District Disaster Coordinator Assistant Commissioner Peter Martin said that sight-seers are parking illegally, accessing closed roads and putting themselves, the community and emergency service personnel at risk. “Traffic patrols have not ceased simply because we are responding to a disaster. Police are actively patrolling our streets and will be enforcing road closures and basic traffic laws,” he said. “Police continue to urge residents not to access flood affected areas and to stay off the roads if possible. “Please help us help the community by obeying road rules. Don’t park illegally, don’t block road access, don’t try to access closed roads and please obey police direction and traffic diversions,” said Assistant Commissioner Martin. [link to www.facebook.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 02:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is the tropical depression people should be looking at Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1228038SH942011 - INVEST [link to rammb.cira.colostate.edu] [link to rammb.cira.colostate.edu] [link to rammb.cira.colostate.edu] This depression doesn't need to be a cyclone to be terribly damaging the way things are are at the moment, and these depressions are just the first ones of the season! so I don't want TO SEEM PANICKY.. or anything BUT... look at this system.. [link to en.wikipedia.org] it pretty much full to the brim.. SO.. these rain filled tropical depressions will be pouring millions of mega litres into that basin from now until AUTUMN ! next thing I would like to point out here is that the government has been fully aware(see above)since at least October of how bad this was going to be and they have chosen to play it by ear instead of putting out information and early warnings... because it would panic the economy ..tourism... etc I feel bad for any tourists that have gone to QLD and been caught up in this mess.. no conspiracy here... move along.. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 1228038 Australia 01/13/2011 04:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Joshua Flynn User ID: 1228093 United Kingdom 01/13/2011 04:31 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | OP, way ahead of you on that one; Thread: WARNING! A FULL EXPLANATION OF WHAT IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN! What you're saying, pretty much adds onto everything else that is going on. Floods in Britain, Germany, Sri Lanka too. Snowstorm weather in America. And the crops are failing. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1222634 South Africa 01/13/2011 06:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is the tropical depression people should be looking at Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1228038SH942011 - INVEST [link to rammb.cira.colostate.edu] [link to rammb.cira.colostate.edu] [link to rammb.cira.colostate.edu] This depression doesn't need to be a cyclone to be terribly damaging the way things are are at the moment, and these depressions are just the first ones of the season! so I don't want TO SEEM PANICKY.. or anything BUT... look at this system.. [link to en.wikipedia.org] it pretty much full to the brim.. SO.. these rain filled tropical depressions will be pouring millions of mega litres into that basin from now until AUTUMN ! next thing I would like to point out here is that the government has been fully aware(see above)since at least October of how bad this was going to be and they have chosen to play it by ear instead of putting out information and early warnings... because it would panic the economy ..tourism... etc I feel bad for any tourists that have gone to QLD and been caught up in this mess.. no conspiracy here... move along.. Now you're talking! Friends of ours left on the 29th of December for an extended three week holiday in Oz - were going to check things out down under. Hope they're okay, too. Don't think they would've gone if they knew in advance. Stay safe Aussies! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1228593 Australia 01/13/2011 01:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I feel bad for any tourists that have gone to QLD and been caught up in this mess.. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1222634no conspiracy here... move along.. Now you're talking! Friends of ours left on the 29th of December for an extended three week holiday in Oz - were going to check things out down under. Hope they're okay, too. Don't think they would've gone if they knew in advance. Stay safe Aussies! I hope they didn't go to Queensland mate ,heh maybe they got a plane out to another city before the floods hit |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1228593 Australia 01/13/2011 01:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1229514 Australia 01/14/2011 07:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |