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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez
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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)


We have just had another huge X flare measuring at a X8.2 originating from sunspot 2673
On September 11, 2017

[link to legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ALL flares recorded ARE Earth facing regardless of where the sunspot is located

-----------

CME FROM X9 HAS ARRIVED!


Issue Time: 2017 Sep 07 2242 UTC
WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2017 Sep 07 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2017 Sep 07 2330 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2017 Sep 07 2229 UTC



On September 6th we have had 2 X flares! A X2.2 at 09:10 utc & a secend larger flare just a few hours later of X9.3 at 12:02 utc. There is a large widespread Earth directed CME associated with this latest X flare as we can see here
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
An update as to the arrival time of this CME will be added once all data has been reviewed.

The X9.3 flare is the 14th largest X flare ever recorded!


On September 4th we had 7 M flares from fast growing sunspot 2673, with at least 1 large dense Earth directed CME. This CME will arrive late in the day on Wednesday September 6th.
There is now a 25% chance for X flares over the next 24hrs & 71% chance for M flares



We have a Long Duration M2.4 Solar Flare starting
01:05 UTC July 14th 2017
There was a full halo CME observed with this solar flare. The associated CME is Earth Directed. See discussion on the last page for all updates!


1,000,000 Views hit on July 3, 2012
A big thanks to all the wonderful contributors of
the GLP Solar Watch thread!

Please See Current Events Discussion On Last Page :)
============================================================

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/10/2017 01:32 PM
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/07/2011 09:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here you can read any current updates:

UPDATE: May 15, 2013

Expected Events:


The Sun's polar fields are now at the point of a possible reversal
(solar polar fields map **Updated May 12, 2013!**)
[link to www.solen.info]



COMMENT:NOAA AR 1748 rotated into view, it is still not possible to infer
its
magnetic configuration but it is a big region with mixed magnetic
polarities. It produced two X-class flares in past 24h and can produce
more. The first one was an X2.8 with peak at 16:05 UT on May 13, the second
one an X3.2 at 01:11 UT today. Both were related to radio bursts and fast
limb CMEs. The first CME has a speed of 1500 km/s in the LASCO C3 field of
view (decelerated with respect to the 1800 km/s seen in C2), while the
second one was travelling at 1900 km/s in LASCO C3 (accelerated from the
1600 km/s measured in C2). Due to the source region location right at the
limb, we expect at most a shock arriving to the Earth early on May 15
(09:00 UT for the first one and 13:00 UT for the second one). There is also
a CME from May 12 expected to arrive around the same time as the first CME
from yesterday. The second X flare and corresponding CME produced also a
rise on the proton flux, which is still below the threshold and seems
stable for the moment. NOAA AR 1745 has also potential for M flares. High
solar activity is expected for the next 48h. Geomagnetic conditions are
currently quiet. The possible arrival of a shock from the two halo CMEs and
a mild fast speed stream from a coronal hole may increase conditions to
active and possible minor storm levels in the next 48h
[link to www.sidc.be]



Region 11748 [N11E66] is a compact region with a strong magnetic delta structure in the leading spot section. Some loss of penumbral area was observed after the X3 flare. Further M and X class flaring is possible. C5+ flares: X3.2 at 01:11 UTC. Additionally an X1.2 flare was recorded at 01:48 UTC on May 15. Both events were associated with at least partial halo CMEs.

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

May 12-13: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed in LASCO and STEREO imagery.
May 14: At least a partial halo CME was observed after the X3 event in AR 11748. The CME was fast and Earth could see a flanking impact on May 16.
May 15: A wide CME was observed after the X1 event in AR 11748. A flanking impact is possible on May 17.
[link to www.solen.info]

 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


Last Edited by NiNzrez on 05/15/2013 03:01 AM
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I haven`t had time to follow it much today..Which sunspot is kicking them out? Is it still 1164?
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I haven`t had time to follow it much today..Which sunspot is kicking them out? Is it still 1164?
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


1164 and 1165 had M's today
but this last long lasting M was 1166
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow that one did last for quite a while...all last week it was shooting out particles non-stop..I have had a feeling about 1166 for a while now..Going to be interesting to watch..

Swiss cheese:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 03/07/2011 10:03 AM
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We have had 4 M flares
1 minute X ray flux
[link to www.lmsal.com]
5 minute X ray flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

and we just now had another long lasting M
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Total for Today =
5 M class Flares
4 C class Flares

AND COUNTING!

with possibilities for an X flare
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Wow...thanks for the info.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2011 10:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
do you know which sunspots are to blame...

and thanks!
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow that one did last for quite a while...all last week it was shooting out particles non-stop..I have had a feeling about 1166 for a while now..Going to be interesting to watch..

Swiss cheese:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


yup for sure
1166 is the one i have been watching to put on a good show for us

This last M flare was a M1.9 and lasted from 13:45 UTC to 14:56 UTC
thats a 71 minute M class flare
wow

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 03/07/2011 10:21 AM
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
How can you tell which sunspot each flare comes from?
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/07/2011 10:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
do you know which sunspots are to blame...

and thanks!
 Quoting: Ocean Motion


They are from sunspots 1164, 1165 and 1166
you can see the sunspots here along with the list of events at the bottom
[link to www.lmsal.com]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow that one did last for quite a while...all last week it was shooting out particles non-stop..I have had a feeling about 1166 for a while now..Going to be interesting to watch..

Swiss cheese:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


yup for sure
1166 is the one i have been watching to put on a good show for us

This last M flare lasted from 13:45 UTC to 14:56 UTC
thats a 71 minute M class flare
wow
 Quoting: NiNzrez


And then another one will soon be coming around the corner at the 8 o`clock position..She looks a little pi$$y too..
Kashodi

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03/07/2011 10:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
When is supposed to hit earth?
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/07/2011 10:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow that one did last for quite a while...all last week it was shooting out particles non-stop..I have had a feeling about 1166 for a while now..Going to be interesting to watch..

Swiss cheese:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


yup for sure
1166 is the one i have been watching to put on a good show for us

This last M flare lasted from 13:45 UTC to 14:56 UTC
thats a 71 minute M class flare
wow
 Quoting: NiNzrez


And then another one will soon be coming around the corner at the 8 o`clock position..She looks a little pi$$y too..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


you see that too?
she looks like she could be holding something for us
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
When is supposed to hit earth?
 Quoting: Kashodi


The flare from all these hit earth within around 8 minutes
If they produce a coronal mass ejection with them, we see that in around 3 days

I'm not to sure just yet if any produced a CME or not
I'll go take a look around and see if i can see
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I`m waiting for SDO to update...They show just the start of the last flare which lasted so long. I would have to guess from the way it looks that it probably had a CME associated with it..

On LASCO 2 it looks like the last one did a CME..after a few more updates it should be a little clearer

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 03/07/2011 10:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Finally back online

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
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03/07/2011 10:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
great thread
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA Alert Issued

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 718
Issue Time: 2011 Mar 07 1533 UTC


ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2011 Mar 07 1425 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1320 km/s

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow! A lot of activity on the sun right now!!

hiding
Delta

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.iris.edu]

The planet is going nuts.
"According to our manner of looking at the matter, every star in the universe would be the seat and field of activity of electric forces of a strength that no one could imagine... ...enormous electric currents with enormous tension are produced..." - Kristian Olaf Bernhard Berkeland (1908)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I`m waiting for SDO to update...They show just the start of the last flare which lasted so long. I would have to guess from the way it looks that it probably had a CME associated with it..

On LASCO 2 it looks like the last one did a CME..after a few more updates it should be a little clearer
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Agree
give it another hour and there would be enough info to see if there was a CME associated with this
but it does look like there was
~Andariel~

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03/07/2011 10:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So?
Space, the final frontier...or is it?
Knowledge is power
Gabriel

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So?
 Quoting: ~Andariel~


Why are you touching your right boob?
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is this Ed Dames' shot across the bow? scared
~Andariel~

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So?
 Quoting: ~Andariel~


Why are you touching your right boob?
 Quoting: Gabriel


Wanna touch my left?
Space, the final frontier...or is it?
Knowledge is power
Athena Awakened

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
WOW, thx for the heads up NiN.

hf
"If ever a time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in Government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin. Samuel Adams, 1776
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
After the last 71 minute M flare, the Xray flux bottomed out around C2 and is now rising again
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So?
 Quoting: ~Andariel~


Why are you touching your right boob?
 Quoting: Gabriel


Wanna touch my left?
 Quoting: ~Andariel~


I do!baby
El Quisqueyano

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This site is showing 18 Coronal Holes open as we speak.

Make sure your dates read 7th to 8th;

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks NiN,you always put it together in a nice little package!


Come inside,
the show's about to start
Guaranteed
to blow your head apart
Rest assured
you'll get your money's worth
The greatest show
in Heaven, Hell or Earth
You've got to see the show,
it's a dynamo
You've got to see the show,
it's rock and roll, oh

Right before your eyes
see the laughter from the skies
And he laughs until he cries,
then he dies, then he dies


:thread1:
El Quisqueyano

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Look at this intense Proton activity;

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]





GLP