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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Isis One

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03/02/2021 12:18 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
What was the source of the CME?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Helios Maximus

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03/02/2021 12:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
What was the source of the CME?
 Quoting: Isis One


Hi, Isis One. hf Funny you should ask as I spent 2 hours looking at every CME from the SEEDS catalog back to Feb. 24th. I didn't see anything remotely Earth-directed. CACTus only went back to the 26th and nothing there worth noting.

There was that B9 death gasp from 2805 on the 26th which did have a small CME. I didn't see anything Earth-directed.

B9 flare from Lockheed CRUISER (Wha??):

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

Here's best guess from STEREO A (SEEDS):

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

SEEDS Detection List:
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

CACTus CME List:
[link to www.sidc.oma.be]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Isis One

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03/02/2021 01:01 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
What was the source of the CME?
 Quoting: Isis One


Hi, Isis One. hf Funny you should ask as I spent 2 hours looking at every CME from the SEEDS catalog back to Feb. 24th. I didn't see anything remotely Earth-directed. CACTus only went back to the 26th and nothing there worth noting.

There was that B9 death gasp from 2805 on the 26th which did have a small CME. I didn't see anything Earth-directed.

B9 flare from Lockheed CRUISER (Wha??):

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

Here's best guess from STEREO A (SEEDS):

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

SEEDS Detection List:
[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

CACTus CME List:
[link to www.sidc.oma.be]
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Hiya Hugh! I was thinking it might have been that little B9 floofer and they didn’t quite get the trajectory right.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Helios Maximus

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03/02/2021 01:14 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Wind velocity has slowly increased from 360 to 450 km/s. SW density has also been gradually increasing. The coronal hole hi-speed stream may be here now.

Realtime Solar Winds:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Aurora forecast:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]


deviltard
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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03/02/2021 01:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Wind velocity has slowly increased from 360 to 450 km/s. SW density has also been gradually increasing. The coronal hole hi-speed stream may be here now.

Realtime Solar Winds:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Aurora forecast:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]


deviltard
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Thanks for the updates! :)

applause
~*Ride the Wave*~
Isis One

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03/02/2021 01:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nite nite!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Simple27

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03/02/2021 01:47 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
s27_sweetdreams2
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Simple27

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03/02/2021 01:59 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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03/02/2021 02:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
After navigating my old broken links, I finally found a good article on Stealth Solar Storms from National Solar Observatory. Very interesting.

STEALTH SOLAR STORMS-

“The problem is that whatever is causing these stealth events is beyond what we can see with telescopes we have now,” said Alexei Pevtsov of the National Solar Observatory in Sunspot, NM. He is co-author with Olga Panasenco and Sara Martin of Helio Research in La Crescenta, CA, of a recent Solar Physics paper on stealth CMEs. Their research was funded by the National Science Foundation and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.

While magnetism is a tiny portion of the Sun’s total energy output, it causes CMEs, sunspots, flares, filaments, and a range of other activities and how they are expressed as space weather across the solar system.

Using satellite images, Pevtsov, Panasenco, and Martin studied two regions that showed no signs of being ready to erupt, on Aug. 9, 2001, and March 3, 2011, but did so anyway.

Full report here:
[link to nso.edu (secure)]

a-cusp
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/02/2021 02:13 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Thanks for the update;). I was still holding out hope for the M-flare. I forgot all about Dr. Strong, lol. I hope we all make it thru this next Solar Max.

I have to ask, Simple, did you beat up Mitt Romney last night?

You don't have to answer (I understand).
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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03/02/2021 02:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Thanks for the update;). I was still holding out hope for the M-flare. I forgot all about Dr. Strong, lol. I hope we all make it thru this next Solar Max.

I have to ask, Simple, did you beat up Mitt Romney last night?

You don't have to answer (I understand).
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


lol
~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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03/02/2021 03:41 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SW just went up to 540 km/s. The CH-HSS is here. But I'm going to sleep now....

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 3843
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 02 0827 UTC

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 3843
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 02 0827 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2021 Mar 02 0830 UTC
Valid To: 2021 Mar 02 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset



5a
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
joinca

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03/02/2021 05:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


sun01sun02
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Helios Maximus

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03/02/2021 07:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C-flare just now.

banana2
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
This is my GLP

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03/02/2021 07:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 1311
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 02 2046 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 02 2046 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.


Flux spiked up big time.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Last Edited by This is my GLP on 03/02/2021 07:15 PM
All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~
Helios Maximus

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03/02/2021 07:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C-flare just now.

banana2
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


New sunspot growing in the SE just said "Hello".

SDO pic:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

HMI intensitigram:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)]

GONG Learmonth image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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03/02/2021 07:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM--IN PROGRESS: A minor G1-class geomagnetic storm is in progress on March 2nd as Earth enters a stream of high-speed solar wind. The gaseous material is flowing 600+ km/s from a southern hole in the sun's atmosphere. Arctic sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]

Currently 668 km/sec [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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03/02/2021 07:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C-flare just now.

banana2
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


sun

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Danger Dan

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03/02/2021 07:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ya know
I used to pay close attention to this stuff
but the fact of the matter is
unless its a large 'earth directed' X class
doesn't seem to be a concern.
Always chose dangerous freedom over safe slavery
Helios Maximus

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03/02/2021 08:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
:Product: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2021 Mar 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 62 Issued at 0030Z on 03 Mar 2021
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 02 Mar
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 02/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2806 S31W01 198 0010 Bxo 04 04 Beta
2807 S17E43 154 0020 Bxo 03 04 Beta


New AR2807 is growing fast and was the source of the C1 flare.

Close-up movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)]

SolarDemon:
[link to solardemon.oma.be]

The South is making a comeback.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/02/2021 08:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ya know
I used to pay close attention to this stuff
but the fact of the matter is
unless its a large 'earth directed' X class
doesn't seem to be a concern.
 Quoting: Danger Dan


The chance of major DOOM is slim, yet very real.

If you use satellites, radio communications, air travel, or the electric power grid; it IS a concern. It doesn't take a large X-flare to cause problems.

Personally, as an astronomy buff, I find it an exciting and educational hobby to be at the cutting-edge of science. With trillions of stars in the universe, I find it astounding that astrophysicists are often baffled by the closest star to Earth.

Oh, and the Sun is the maintainer of every form of life we know of in the entire cosmos. And it's largely unpredictable... which makes it fun, too.

8/2-SDOeclipse
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
This is my GLP

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03/02/2021 08:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Oh oops , double post

Last Edited by This is my GLP on 03/02/2021 08:44 PM
All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~
MissionInvisible

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03/02/2021 08:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump
This is my GLP

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03/02/2021 09:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Flux is dancing big time still.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~
Simple27

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03/02/2021 10:06 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ya know
I used to pay close attention to this stuff
but the fact of the matter is
unless its a large 'earth directed' X class
doesn't seem to be a concern.
 Quoting: Danger Dan


With the proper conditions, this isn't true. Never let your guard down. :)
~*Ride the Wave*~
This is my GLP

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03/02/2021 10:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 1312
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 03 0303 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 03 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~
Simple27

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03/02/2021 10:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 1312
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 03 0303 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 03 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
 Quoting: This is my GLP


https://imgur.com/MNTHzNW

~*Ride the Wave*~
This is my GLP

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03/02/2021 10:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 1312
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 03 0303 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 03 0300 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
 Quoting: This is my GLP


https://imgur.com/MNTHzNW

 Quoting: Simple27


SUVI loop shows that developing spot sparking up with activity too.

[link to weather.msfc.nasa.gov (secure)]
All praise and glory to God ~ He is always in control , no matter what happens. ~
Simple27

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03/02/2021 10:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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03/02/2021 10:34 PM

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