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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Simple27

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03/14/2021 02:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
https://imgur.com/v8BtfVH

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Simple27

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03/14/2021 02:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

~*Ride the Wave*~
Isis One

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03/15/2021 09:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Tx for updates S!

Last Edited by Isis One on 03/15/2021 09:16 PM
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Simple27

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03/17/2021 03:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sun Shoots Out a Partial Halo CME - Large Solar Prominence - G1 Geomagnetic Storm Watch for March 19


[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
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Simple27

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03/17/2021 03:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
https://imgur.com/L0PpxRU

~*Ride the Wave*~
MissionInvisible

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03/18/2021 09:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump
joinca

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03/19/2021 08:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Cosmo888

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03/19/2021 11:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar wind
speed: 394.7 km/sec
density: 55.5 protons/cm3
Miguel
Helios Maximus

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03/20/2021 02:24 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar wind
speed: 394.7 km/sec
density: 55.5 protons/cm3
 Quoting: Cosmo888


Nice observation, Cosmo.

The solar wind speed has increased now and the Bz took a big dive South.

The Vernal Equinox is coinciding with the coronal hole high-speed winds.

A G2 storm is not out of the question if the Bz stays south.

DSCVR Solar Winds:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Auroral Oval lighting up:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 3861
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 20 0250 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2021 Mar 20 0250 UTC
Valid To: 2021 Mar 20 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/20/2021 03:28 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Well, that didn't take long....lol

Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 440
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 20 0721 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2021 Mar 20 0720 UTC
Valid To: 2021 Mar 20 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate


NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ACE Solar Winds/Magnetic Field-

[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/20/2021 03:38 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
WOW! Check out this magnetometer at Barrow, Alaska-

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

Tromso, Norway-

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

GOES Satellite Magnetometer-

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/20/2021 04:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
siren2

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06
Serial Number: 478
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 20 0803 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 20 0800 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate


NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

SAM Global magneto grams:

[link to www.sam-magnetometer.net]

aurora-man
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/20/2021 05:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We may have 2 new active regions coming over soon in the northeast.

STEREO A Extreme Ultraviolet Image:

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Cosmo888

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03/20/2021 07:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
TSUNAMI POSSIBLE 7.2 EARTHQUAKE HITS JAPAN AS GEOMAGNETIC STORM HITS EARTH
Miguel
muckuh
?

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03/20/2021 08:08 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Simple27


DON'T U HAV SUMMIN' BETTUH 2 B DOIN' YOUNG LADY?....
muckuh
Helios Maximus

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03/20/2021 07:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ISS Sighting Opportunities-

Equinoxes are not only good for auroras, they're also the best time to see the International Space Station fly over. Check the times for your location here:

[link to spotthestation.nasa.gov (secure)]

The higher the angle the easier to see above trees and buildings. These appearances only last a few minutes and they're always on time.

In my area (Philly/SNJ) it will appear at 8:41 EDT in the west. If the shies are clear I hope to watch it. It kinda looks like a very bright airplane but it has no blinking lights. You're seeing pure sunlight reflecting off the massive solar panels.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/20/2021 10:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Geomagnetic unrest continues....

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 3861
Valid From: 2021 Mar 20 0250 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2021 Mar 21 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

New sunspot (2811 I suspect) has come quietly over the NE limb. Possibly the return of AR2806.

Latest HMI Intensitygram:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 80 Issued at 0030Z on 21 Mar 2021
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 20 Mar
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2810 N18E13 307 0010 Axx 02 02 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z Mar
Nmbr Location Lo
2808 N19W74 034
II. Regions Due to Return 21 Mar to 23 Mar
Nmbr Lat Lo
2806 S31 203

Welcome to Spring 2021.
hf
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
joinca

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03/20/2021 10:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Isis One

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03/21/2021 01:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
WOW! Check out this magnetometer at Barrow, Alaska-

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

Tromso, Norway-

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

GOES Satellite Magnetometer-

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


That’s some penetration!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
joinca

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03/21/2021 04:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
joinca

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03/21/2021 04:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Helios Maximus

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03/21/2021 09:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
B 5.6 flare.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

5a
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/21/2021 10:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A new medium-sized sunspot is coming over the NE limb now (let's call it AR2812).

Latest HMI Intensitygram image:
[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

AR2811 has been officially numbered by SWPC and AR2810 has lost its spots.

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 81 Issued at 0030Z on 22 Mar 2021
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 21 Mar
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 21/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2811 N21E58 248 0010 Bxo 01 02 Beta

IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 21/2400Z Mar
Nmbr Location Lo
2808 N19W88 035
2810 N18W01 307
II. Regions Due to Return 22 Mar to 24 Mar
Nmbr Lat Lo
2806 S31 203

I checked and found that 2806 was in the Southern Hemisphere, so these are 2 new active regions.

Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 03/21/2021 11:13 PM
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/21/2021 10:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Wow, that was beautiful! Thank you, friend.

I see that NOAA's 'College' magnetometer in Canada recorded 3 periods of K=7 Strong.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

I scared myself by predicting a G2 storm 1 hour before it happened. I'm either getting psychic in my old age or maybe finally get a feel for this space weather thing.

Actually I just looked at the data and the date on the calendar, lol.

Oh, and I did catch the ISS flyover 2 times this weekend (in case anyone was wondering).
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/21/2021 10:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Much to my surprise, the B5.6 flare came from plage AR2810 (obviously pissed about being demoted).

Solarsoft:
[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

AR2810 contains several filaments which may have produced ejecta given the long duration of the flare. AR2810 is near Zero degrees and directly Earth-facing, so we may have a small CME

The SDO website seems to be down tonight, but I found movie of the flare from GONG's Learmonth observatory:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


hiding

Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 03/21/2021 11:14 PM
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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03/21/2021 11:07 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Can't confirm 'til tomorrow, but it looks like an Earth-directed CME on the STEREO A difference image:

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]

explosionahhh
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Isis One

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03/21/2021 11:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Aurora posts were gorgeous John, thanks. Hugh, glad you saw the ISS! Thanks for the recent activity breakdown. I think you’re psychic. They demoted that SS too early.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Helios Maximus

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03/22/2021 12:35 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Winds are still whipping at 656 km/s!

This is a very persistent coronal hole stream.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

The electron flux is climbing in geosynchronous orbit.

GOES Electron Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3
Serial Number: 3124
Issue Time: 2021 Mar 21 1314 UTC

ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2021 Mar 21 1255 UTC
Station: GOES16



NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
joinca

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03/22/2021 12:37 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Helios Maximus

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03/22/2021 01:37 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Nice! I didn't see any ejecta in that clip. However in the AIA 193a movie there's considerable dimming and a noticeable shockwave. I think the jury is still out on the CME... time will tell (it's nothing major in any event).

AIA193a movie:
[link to sdodata.oma.be]

STEREO A diff image:
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779





GLP