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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Simple27

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04/18/2021 11:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SOMETHING FLARE-Y THIS WAY COMES: An active region located just behind the sun's southeastern limb exploded yesterday. Coronagraphs onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) saw the debris flying into space:

https://imgur.com/SfZ8shL


This coronal mass ejection (CME) will not hit Earth. However, future CMEs might. The underlying blast site (probably an unstable sunspot) will rotate into view ~48 hours from now. By mid-week Earth could be in the strike zone. Stay tuned.

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
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Simple27

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04/18/2021 11:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SEEDS SoHO C2 movie of CME:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

Nice one.
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Impressive!
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joinca

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04/18/2021 08:36 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Helios Maximus

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04/19/2021 01:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Get ready for an active flare week!

5a

A rapidly-growing new region in the NORTHWEST has already produced 3 B-flares today. This one looks a potentially big AR.

Our long-awaited new friend in the SE has also come over the limb today. This spot was the source of the big CME and has already produced a B 6.9 today.

These will probably be numbered 2817 & 2818 respectively (I think they number W to E...but who knows?)

And we mustn't forget about 2816 which will be Earth-facing all week.

Latest images for HMI:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

Solarsoft Latest Events:

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/19/2021 07:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We just had a B 8 flare from AR2816 followed by a B 6.7 from the new AR in the NW.

GONG Big Bear movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

That makes 13 B-flares so far today!

Solarsoft flare list:

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

The x-ray background levels are steadily rising, too.

GOES X-Ray Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/19/2021 07:41 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
X-rays high C and rising......

banana2banana2banana2banana2
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/19/2021 07:50 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M 1.1 !!!

I could sense this coming all day, lol.

GONG image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

GOES X-Rays:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/19/2021 07:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SDO AIA 304a movie for 4/19:

[link to sdodata.oma.be]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
mistersplinter

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04/19/2021 07:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M 1.1 !!!

I could sense this coming all day, lol.

GONG image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

GOES X-Rays:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


For posterity:

https://imgur.com/5Pez9EN

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
The Disgruntled AC

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04/19/2021 07:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M 1.1 !!!

I could sense this coming all day, lol.

GONG image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

GOES X-Rays:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


warning shot before the big one?
The Disgruntled AC
Helios Maximus

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04/19/2021 08:04 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
AR2816 produced the M-flare. At 30 degrees east longitude, any CME is likely to be Earth-directed.

It looks like we got one coming.....more to come on this event.

explosionahhh
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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04/19/2021 08:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M 1.1 !!!

I could sense this coming all day, lol.

GONG image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

GOES X-Rays:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


For posterity:

https://imgur.com/5Pez9EN

 Quoting: mistersplinter


shocked
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Simple27

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04/19/2021 08:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

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Simple27

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04/19/2021 08:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

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Simple27

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04/19/2021 08:26 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

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Simple27

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04/19/2021 08:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M-Flare Detected
April 19, 2021 @ 23:55 UTC


The first M-Flare since November 29, 2020 was just observed around AR 2816 in the southeast quadrant. The M1.1 solar flare peaked at 23:42 UTC (Apr 19). More updates to follow regarding this if necessary. Solar activity is finally on the increase!

https://imgur.com/NzoOiQA


[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]
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Simple27

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04/19/2021 08:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Edit: Tweet was deleted

Last Edited by Simple27 on 04/19/2021 09:17 PM
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Simple27

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04/19/2021 08:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

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Anonymous Coward
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04/19/2021 08:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Flares

thef0nz-ayyyy
Simple27

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04/19/2021 08:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

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NOLAangel

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04/19/2021 09:34 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M 1.1 !!!

I could sense this coming all day, lol.

GONG image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

GOES X-Rays:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Pretty impressive!
Helios Maximus

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04/19/2021 11:14 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M-Flare Detected
April 19, 2021 @ 23:55 UTC


The first M-Flare since November 29, 2020 was just observed around AR 2816 in the southeast quadrant. The M1.1 solar flare peaked at 23:42 UTC (Apr 19). More updates to follow regarding this if necessary. Solar activity is finally on the increase!

https://imgur.com/NzoOiQA


[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27


Thanks for pics, Simple!

smile_kiss
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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04/19/2021 11:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


What country are you finding this info? Ha, the whole world isn't as stupid as NOAA.

Looks like at least a small (?) CME is aimed at Earth.

The SWPC will warn us within 2 or 3 days.... no one will care.

deviltard
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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04/19/2021 11:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


What country are you finding this info? Ha, the whole world isn't as stupid as NOAA.

Looks like at least a small (?) CME is aimed at Earth.

The SWPC will warn us within 2 or 3 days.... no one will care.

deviltard
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


That one is from Chile :)
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Helios Maximus

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04/20/2021 12:15 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Evidently, the Dept. of Commerce / SWPC has yet to see the large sunspot on the SE limb (which has been staring at them all day long, lol). Let's agree to call it 2818.....

Latest HMI Intensitygram:

[link to jsoc.stanford.edu]

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 110 Issued at 0030Z on 20 Apr 2021
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 19 Apr
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 19/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2816 S24E21 262 0120 Dai 08 08 Beta
2817 N18W46 329 0060 Bxo 05 08 Beta
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Isis One

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04/20/2021 01:30 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Brutal. I don’t know how I’m going to survive solar max.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Isis One

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04/20/2021 01:30 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice reporting folks. Thank you.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Simple27

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04/20/2021 11:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Brutal. I don’t know how I’m going to survive solar max.
 Quoting: Isis One


jaynod
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Simple27

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04/20/2021 11:11 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Strong M1-Class Solar Flare and Radio Blackout - An Earth-Directed Coronal Mass Ejection is Possible


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Simple27

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04/20/2021 11:25 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M-Flare Detected
April 19, 2021 @ 23:55 UTC


The first M-Flare since November 29, 2020 was just observed around AR 2816 in the southeast quadrant. The M1.1 solar flare peaked at 23:42 UTC (Apr 19). More updates to follow regarding this if necessary. Solar activity is finally on the increase!

https://imgur.com/NzoOiQA


[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27


UPDATE: It does not appear that this flare was associated with an Earth directed coronal mass ejection. There is now a 15% chance for another M-Flare between AR 2816 and 2817.

[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]
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