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| 09:43 PM | ||
| Users Online Now: 2,207 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 1,343,660 | |
| Pageviews Today: 2,226,575 | Threads Today: 847 | Posts Today: 15,171 |
| 09:43 PM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 78157871  United States01/09/2023 05:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPDATE: The event was not associated with a CME. The only real impact on Earth looks to be the strong, but short lived radio blackout during the flare itself. No further impacts should be expected. Quoting: Simple27 [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] What are you talking about not associated with a CME? Are you ignoring or missing the huge plasma that ruptured at the same time as the X flare popped? I.E> plasma *filament* earth facing? Come on now. |
Simple27
 User ID: 84105605 United States01/09/2023 07:26 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/09/2023 07:27 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | M5.1 from AR31 (I didn't see that '85 was already taken, so it should read 'Un-numbered Region') GOES SUVI images: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] Wow, 2023 has seen major flares from many different players. Solar Max is getting closer every rotation.  Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 01/09/2023 07:59 PM The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/09/2023 07:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPDATE: The event was not associated with a CME. The only real impact on Earth looks to be the strong, but short lived radio blackout during the flare itself. No further impacts should be expected. Quoting: Simple27 [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] What are you talking about not associated with a CME? Are you ignoring or missing the huge plasma that ruptured at the same time as the X flare popped? Well first off, it wasn't "me" saying that...it was Solar Ham. And this from SW. X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Earth-orbiting satellites have just detected an X1.9-class solar flare (Jan. 9th @ 1850 UT). The source is hyperactive sunspot AR3184, now emerging over the sun's southeastern limb. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) recorded the flare's extreme ultraviolet flash: https://imgur.com/rNBHLdERadiation ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing a shortwave radio blackout centered on the Pacific side of South America. Mariners, aviators and ham radio operators may have noticed fadeouts and other unusual propagation effects at frequencies below ~25 MHz. This was an impulsive solar flare--intense but probably too brief to lift a coronal mass ejection (CME) out of the sun's atmosphere. It is too soon, however, to rule out the possibility of debris heading our way. Pending data from SOHO coronagraphs will reveal any CMEs in the hours ahead. Meanwhile, it is interesting to zoom out and see what the whole sun did around the time of the X-flare. SDO recorded 5 rapidfire eruptions. https://imgur.com/7usFpTaGoing off like popcorn, these five sites erupted in a time window shorter than 90 minutes despite some of them being separated by as much as a million kilometers. Coincidence? Maybe not. Researchers discovered long ago that magnetic instabilities can ignite nearly simultaneous explosions across the entire face of the sun. This appears to be such a case. The collective effect of these disturbances may yet send a CME our way. Stay tuned! [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/09/2023 07:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: One X-class solar flare already happened today (see below) and more could follow. The sun now has two large, unstable sunspots capable of producing very strong explosions: AR3182 and AR3184. Both are turning to face Earth, increasing the odds of geoeffective flares this week. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/09/2023 07:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPDATE: The event was not associated with a CME. The only real impact on Earth looks to be the strong, but short lived radio blackout during the flare itself. No further impacts should be expected. Quoting: Simple27 [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] Solarsoft close-up movie of X-flare: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)] You can see it's purely impulsive, not eruptive like a LDE. No hint of any ejecta. Other wavelengths here: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/09/2023 07:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/09/2023 07:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPDATE: The event was not associated with a CME. The only real impact on Earth looks to be the strong, but short lived radio blackout during the flare itself. No further impacts should be expected. Quoting: Simple27 [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] Solarsoft close-up movie of X-flare: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)] You can see it's purely impulsive, not eruptive like a LDE. No hint of any ejecta. Other wavelengths here: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)]   ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/09/2023 08:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPDATE: The event was not associated with a CME. The only real impact on Earth looks to be the strong, but short lived radio blackout during the flare itself. No further impacts should be expected. Quoting: Simple27 [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] Solarsoft close-up movie of X-flare: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)] You can see it's purely impulsive, not eruptive like a LDE. No hint of any ejecta. Other wavelengths here: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)] Howdy, Simple!   Always happy to see your posts here. I'm having a very rough week and need to rest more til I'm recovered. It ain't easy being a humanoid robot, lol. Pray all is well with you in 2023. The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/09/2023 08:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5 Serial Number: 165 Issue Time: 2023 Jan 10 0040 UTC SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5 Begin Time: 2023 Jan 10 0009 UTC Maximum Time: 2023 Jan 10 0016 UTC End Time: 2023 Jan 10 0022 UTC X-ray Class: M5.1 Location: N26E93 NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01 Serial Number: 122 Issue Time: 2023 Jan 09 1917 UTC SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1 Begin Time: 2023 Jan 09 1837 UTC Maximum Time: 2023 Jan 09 1850 UTC End Time: 2023 Jan 09 1857 UTC X-ray Class: X1.9 Optical Class: 2b Location: S14E70 NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point. Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R Serial Number: 743 Issue Time: 2023 Jan 09 1909 UTC SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2023 Jan 09 1846 UTC Maximum Time: 2023 Jan 09 1846 UTC End Time: 2023 Jan 09 1850 UTC Duration: 4 minutes Peak Flux: 229 sfu Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 184 sfu NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications. The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/09/2023 08:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SRS Number 10 Issued at 0030Z on 10 Jan 2023 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 09 Jan I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 09/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 3180 N18W63 310 0100 Hsx 06 03 Alpha 3181 S19W33 279 0700 Ekc 12 35 Beta-Gamma-Delta 3182 S17E20 226 0950 Ekc 15 30 Beta-Gamma-Delta 3183 S17W62 309 0110 Cso 10 06 Beta 3184 S14E67 179 0400 Hkx 05 04 Alpha 3185 N20W00 246 0030 Cro 03 04 Beta AR3184 Joins the X Club- :AR3184: NOT Alpha! :3184_mag: AR3182 Directly Earth-facing now- :AR3182_BGD: :3182_mag2: The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/09/2023 11:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Howdy, Simple! Quoting: Helios Maximus Always happy to see your posts here. I'm having a very rough week and need to rest more til I'm recovered. It ain't easy being a humanoid robot, lol. Pray all is well with you in 2023. Hi Hugh! Take it easy and get some rest my friend. Much love and many blessings for you in good ol' 2023.   ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Mission__visible
User ID: 80185688 United States01/10/2023 05:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/10/2023 06:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | X-FLARE!  Third X-flare this week... all from different regions! How about that?  The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/10/2023 06:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/10/2023 06:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GONG Pic: [link to gong2.nso.edu (secure)] Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF Serial Number: 292 Issue Time: 2023 Jan 10 2249 UTC ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5 Threshold Reached: 2023 Jan 10 2246 UTC NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/10/2023 06:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/10/2023 06:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/10/2023 06:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Solar Demon movie of X1 flare: [link to www.sidc.be (secure)] Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01 Serial Number: 122 Issue Time: 2023 Jan 10 2300 UTC SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1 Begin Time: 2023 Jan 10 2239 UTC Maximum Time: 2023 Jan 10 2247 UTC End Time: 2023 Jan 10 2252 UTC X-ray Class: X1 Optical Class: 2b Location: N25E65 NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R Serial Number: 744 Issue Time: 2023 Jan 10 2307 UTC SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2023 Jan 10 2246 UTC Maximum Time: 2023 Jan 10 2246 UTC End Time: 2023 Jan 10 2247 UTC Duration: 1 minutes Peak Flux: 320 sfu Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 193 sfu NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications. The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/10/2023 06:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MEGA-ACTIVE SUN>>> WoWzA! SDO AIA304angstrom movie from the most recent 24-hours (you can scroll down and pick any wavelength): [link to sdodata.oma.be]  The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 81448642 United States01/10/2023 07:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MEGA-ACTIVE SUN>>> WoWzA! Quoting: Helios Maximus SDO AIA304angstrom movie from the most recent 24-hours (you can scroll down and pick any wavelength): [link to sdodata.oma.be] Three X-Flares in five days. Is this unusual? |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/10/2023 07:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/10/2023 08:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/10/2023 08:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yesterday's X flare... SOLAR FLARE CAUSES RARE 'MAGNETIC CROCHET': The X-flare of Jan. 9th did something rare. It jerked Earth's magnetic field. Here is a composite of magnetometer recordings from Boulder, Colorado; Honolulu, Hawaii; and Fredericksburg, Virginia: https://imgur.com/S1tzfFEThe "jerk" is circled in yellow. It began around 1846 UT, and was detected by many magnetic observatories across the dayside of Earth. The phenomenon is called a 'magnetic crochet.' Radiation from the flare ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere and caused currents to flow 60 km to 100 km above Earth's surface. These currents, in turn, briefly altered Earth's magnetic field. Everything returned to normal a few minutes later. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/10/2023 08:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Today's X flare... Another X-Flare! January 10, 2023 @ 23:45 UTC Hyperactive sunspot region 3186 turning into view off the northeast limb just produced an X1.0 solar flare at 22:47 UTC (Jan 10). Unlike the other X-Flares, this one may have hurled some plasma in the form of a coronal mass ejection (CME) into space. The problem is that the region is not yet directly facing Earth,. so any associated CME will likely be directed away from our planet. The region does appear to be in a growth phase, so it should be monitored for additional solar flares. https://imgur.com/WZjEJAt[link to www.solarham.net (secure)] [link to www.youtube.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
| Simple27
User ID: 84105605 United States01/10/2023 08:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/10/2023 09:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We have a duel brewing between North (3186) and South (3184). Both active regions have produced an X-flare and several M-flares. These sunspots should be with us for at least a week or more. Should be exciting to witness. Recently ar3186 produced an M2.4: [link to www.sidc.be (secure)] AR3184 replied with an M5.6. GONG: [link to gong2.nso.edu (secure)] SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5 Begin Time: 2023 Jan 11 0149 UTC Maximum Time: 2023 Jan 11 0156 UTC End Time: 2023 Jan 11 0201 UTC X-ray Class: M5.6 Optical Class: sf Location: N25E65 NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2023 Jan 11 0153 UTC Maximum Time: 2023 Jan 11 0153 UTC End Time: 2023 Jan 11 0154 UTC Duration: 1 minutes Peak Flux: 290 sfu Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 193 sfu It's been a long time since we've seen so many tenflares. NOAA Alerts, warnings, etc.: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/10/2023 09:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Today's X flare... Quoting: Simple27 Another X-Flare! January 10, 2023 @ 23:45 UTC Hyperactive sunspot region 3186 turning into view off the northeast limb just produced an X1.0 solar flare at 22:47 UTC (Jan 10). Unlike the other X-Flares, this one may have hurled some plasma in the form of a coronal mass ejection (CME) into space. The problem is that the region is not yet directly facing Earth,. so any associated CME will likely be directed away from our planet. The region does appear to be in a growth phase, so it should be monitored for additional solar flares. https://imgur.com/WZjEJAt[link to www.solarham.net (secure)] [link to www.youtube.com (secure)] Most of that laser cannon of ejecta seemed to fall back onto the sun. Here's a sideways movie of X1 by Lockheed: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)]  The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 85070792 United States01/10/2023 09:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Helios Maximus
User ID: 47895119 United States01/10/2023 09:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MEGA-ACTIVE SUN>>> WoWzA! Quoting: Helios Maximus SDO AIA304angstrom movie from the most recent 24-hours (you can scroll down and pick any wavelength): [link to sdodata.oma.be] Three X-Flares in five days. Is this unusual? Well, it's certainly happened many times before, but not since 2017. All of those came from a single large sunspot.  It is a bit unusual to see 3 different sunspots producing X-flares in such a short time frame. Solar Maximum is forecast for 2025. The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
