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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Helios Maximus

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05/12/2023 08:27 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C.7.29 x-ray peak... possible LDE.

Quicklook movie:

[link to www.sidc.be (secure)]

:NW_limbCME:
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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05/12/2023 08:30 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C.7.29 x-ray peak... possible LDE.

Quicklook movie:

[link to www.sidc.be (secure)]

:NW_limbCME:
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Thank you, MODS! I'm grown accustomed to waiting 2 hours for a smilie to be approved. This one took 10 mins., just like good ole days at GLP. Kudos!

banana2
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
WyatteSmith
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05/12/2023 08:32 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C 5 with ejecta on the NW limb.

One characteristic of the GONG h-alpha images is their poor visibility of limb events. This is a rare instance where a CME is even visible by GONG telescopes... very rare in my experience.

GONG (Australia) h-alpha image:

[link to gong2.nso.edu (secure)]

GOES SUVI (best view in 304angstroms):

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

5a
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Wow! That is a cool snap!

Wish it were earth facing!
Simple27

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05/12/2023 08:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C.7.29 x-ray peak... possible LDE.

Quicklook movie:

[link to www.sidc.be (secure)]

:NW_limbCME:
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


It's really making an attempt at M range lol. Still going and now C8.7.

sun
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Helios Maximus

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05/12/2023 09:02 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C.7.29 x-ray peak... possible LDE.

Quicklook movie:

[link to www.sidc.be (secure)]

:NW_limbCME:
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Eventually climbed to C9!

Possible protons depending on the CME size.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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05/12/2023 10:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
https://imgur.com/yDyAv6n


[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]
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Helios Maximus

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05/12/2023 11:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice CME from NW limb event....

STEREO cor 2 image:

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]

bump
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Anonymous Coward
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05/12/2023 11:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
‘Take a. telescope, get a filter, film the sun — and then you realized there are no “flares.” The pictures you see are as fake as NASA in space.
Helios Maximus

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05/12/2023 11:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


You rock, Simple! What more can I say, Sol-Sistah, lol.

cheers
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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05/12/2023 11:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
‘Take a. telescope, get a filter, film the sun — and then you realized there are no “flares.” The pictures you see are as fake as NASA in space.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 85808482


I have a telescope and a solar filter... it's very difficult to capture a flare with a small scope. They only last a few minutes and you need to be focused on the exact region at the right time. Easier said than done.

The GONG Network telescopes are ground-based solar h-alpha scopes and they manage to capture real-time images of solar flares. NSO is not part of NASA. The GOES Solar Ultraviolet Imager is likewise near real-time and not run by NASA. Beside those 2 there's probably dozens of solar observatories around the globe (yes, it's round!) which have no connection to NASA or ESA.

Your comment is a FAIL on many levels.

Observatorium Kanzelhohe:

[link to www.kso.ac.at (secure)]

Aztec-sacrifice
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Isis One

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05/12/2023 11:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I hear ya Hugh!

Guess the halo cme is a bust!
 Quoting: Isis One


K index rising...
 Quoting: WyatteSmith


It's not too unusual for CMEs to arrive 12 hours later than expected... it happens a lot. In cycle 24 we saw 2 or 3 Earth-directed CMEs just vanish into thin space. I still can't figure out how that happened, but it's a possibility.

In this case, I feel that even if the bulk plasma misses to the west we still oughtta see a shock to the magnetosphere. It was a FULL HALO, so Earth should be well within the zone of influence. For now I'm just assuming its late and slower than the models suggest. The avg. travel time is roughly 3 days so I wouldn't give up on it yet. We're at about 56 hours now... out of a 72-hr window. I thought it looked faster than avg. but our methods of measuring these things are only primitive guesswork at best.

TB-waitn
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


Good call. It did eventually swing in for several hours! You’re good Hugh!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
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Simple27

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05/13/2023 12:02 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good call. It did eventually swing in for several hours! You’re good Hugh!
 Quoting: Isis One


billmu

s27_heart s27_heart s27_heart
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Helios Maximus

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05/13/2023 12:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
In order to be FAIR to NOAA/SWPC I must walk back my mockery of their initial 3-Day forecast. They called for 2 brief periods of Kp5.33 from 5/10- 5/12... and they were exactly spot-on accurate. I believe this was an accident because they're rarely right, lol. Nevertheless, ya gotta tip your hat when they get it right.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Honestly, they changed their forecast to expect G2 or G3 conditions which never happened. I saw articles from all over proclaiming a big aurora show which never happened. I wasn't the only one fooled by this CME arrival. I did predict the positive Bz polarity, but the velocity and density was a big disappointment.

Maybe next time.....



[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

Last Edited by Helios Maximus on 05/13/2023 12:08 AM
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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05/13/2023 12:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I can do music :)


[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

Even on-topic music tounge

sun
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Simple27

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05/13/2023 12:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

s27_heart8
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Simple27

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05/13/2023 12:46 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1 more?

tomato


[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

s27sunrise
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Simple27

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05/13/2023 12:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
https://imgur.com/QpMwRaI


[link to soho.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]
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Helios Maximus

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05/14/2023 07:54 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Happy Mother's Day to all the Mama's out there! God bless you all.

hfhfhfhf



[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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05/14/2023 07:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Solarsoft has a nice accelerated time-lapse movie of C9 CME:

[link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

SEEDS CME movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Paranoiaaaaa
Butters

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05/14/2023 08:43 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Happy Mother's Day to all the Mama's out there! God bless you all.

hfhfhfhf



[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Helios Maximus


hf

Still following along quietly. flower
"Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you." - Fox Mulder - The X-Files

"Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans." - John Lennon
Mission__visible

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05/15/2023 07:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump
Helios Maximus

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05/16/2023 12:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M5 and rising!

X-rays:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

SUVI:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]

M7.7... could be an X-flare.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Helios Maximus

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05/16/2023 12:51 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
siren2siren2

M 9.62 !!!

Limb-occulted x-flare from SE limb.
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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05/16/2023 12:56 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
5a
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Simple27

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05/16/2023 12:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
https://imgur.com/hsr2MoZ

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Simple27

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05/16/2023 12:59 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

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mistersplinter

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05/16/2023 01:10 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Damn... that one was close!
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
Helios Maximus

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05/16/2023 01:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
HELLO AGAIN! Old ARs 3285 and 3288 are returning soon.

II. Regions Due to Return 16 May to 18 May
Nmbr Lat Lo
3285 S17 288

3291 N07 288
3288 S23 280

Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 182
Issue Time: 2023 May 16 1657 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2023 May 16 1631 UTC
Maximum Time: 2023 May 16 1643 UTC
End Time: 2023 May 16 1651 UTC
X-ray Class: M9.6
Location: S23E95
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Comment: Flare location is just beyond the SE limb and estimated.


NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

D-Rap:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779
Simple27

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05/16/2023 01:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

~*Ride the Wave*~
Helios Maximus

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05/16/2023 01:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solarsoft/SDO cutout movie of M9.6 flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com (secure)]

Solar Demon movie:

[link to www.sidc.be (secure)]

alone
The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object.

~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801


It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them.

~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779





GLP