POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS FORECASTED FOR APRIL 25TH AGAIN FOR MISSOURI, ARKANSAS, TEXAS, OKLAHOMA

MODERATE RISK AREAS FOR SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDE ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI

OTHER POTENTIAL AREAS FOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT INCLUDE LOUISIANA, ILLINOIS, INDIANA, KENTUCKY, KANSAS, TENNESSEE AND MISSISSIPPI


...SYNOPSIS...
MODEL AGREEMENT EXISTS WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH...NOW ENTERING NRN
CA...AIDING IN AMPLIFICATION OF THE WRN STATES TROUGH DAY 1 AND THIS
SYSTEM ADVANCING INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. MONDAY...AS A STRONG UPSTREAM
90-100 KT PACIFIC JET SPREADS INTO THE WRN STATES. STRENGTHENING OF
DOWNSTREAM WINDS IS EXPECTED INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS THE SRN/CENTRAL
PLAINS TROUGH BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED TRACKING NEWD INTO THE MID
MS VALLEY REGION BY 12Z TUESDAY.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS SHOULD BE UNDERWAY AT 12Z
MONDAY OVER OK...WITH FURTHER DEEPENING OF THIS LOW AS IT TRACKS
NEWD REACHING MO BY 26/00Z...AND INTO NRN IL 12Z TUESDAY. SURFACE
FRONT THAT HAS BEEN DRAPED FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO THE OH VALLEY WILL
CONCURRENTLY MOVE NWD AS A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE SRN GREAT LAKES
REGION. THE SURFACE LOW AND AN ACCOMPANYING SWWD TRAILING COLD
FRONT AND SWD EXTENDING DRY LINE ADVANCING ESEWD WILL BE THE FOCI
FOR DEVELOPMENT OF POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE TSTMS THIS PERIOD.


FULL WEATHER STATEMENT HERE: [link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Captain T./Dunkelheit on 04/24/2011 06:44 PM