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BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"

 
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 02:29 PM
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BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I just got this link from a USGS tweet.

[link to www.whitehouse.gov]

Understanding Earthquakes and Their Impacts: Part I

Posted by Tammy Dickinson and David Applegate on May 10, 2011 at 10:46 AM EDT

Ed. Note: This is the first of a two-part blog focusing on the science and aftermath of earthquakes. Part I focuses on the science of a high-magnitude earthquake and whether one could happen in the United States. Tomorrow, Part II will focus on What We Can Do About It.

Part I: Could a 9.0 Happen Here?

Four deadly earthquakes in just over a year—Haiti, Chile, New Zealand, and now Japan—have provided sudden reminders of the tectonic forces active beneath our feet. Perhaps more importantly, they serve as reminders that disasters resulting from those earthquakes are not the work of nature alone. Even in the face of such giant forces, societal decisions before and after an earthquake can have a major impact on the amount of damage, lives lost, and other outcomes. So while scientists and engineers share in society’s obligation to help the victims, we have an additional responsibility to learn from these events and share lessons that can be applied to vulnerable communities—not only abroad, but also here in the United States.

To make those wise decisions requires some basic geology. Most people know that the crust of the Earth is broken into about a dozen major sections, or plates, (and a number of smaller ones) that slowly move against one another. And when plates collide, the rock material in the collision zone is strained and eventually either breaks or slips along the boundary, causing an earthquake. Less widely appreciated is that the largest earthquakes occur along plate boundary zones where one plate is driven down beneath another. Most of these “subduction zones” are located around the rim of the Pacific Ocean in what is known as the Ring of Fire, so called because these regions are also particularly prone to volcanic eruptions.

As it turns out, Japan sits on or near the intersection of four of these plates, with the ensuing high risk from earthquakes and volcanoes. The magnitude-9.0 earthquake that occurred on March 11, 2011, was the largest to have struck Japan since seismic recording began 130 years ago and was the fourth-largest earthquake ever recorded worldwide, releasing approximately 1,000 times the energy of the Haiti earthquake of January 2010. In that light it is remarkable that the damage and loss of life was not far greater than it was—a tribute to Japan’s sizable and science-based investments in strict building codes, public preparedness, and earthquake and tsunami early warning systems. In particular, the current estimates of lives lost just from the shaking of this giant earthquake number in the low hundreds. More on this in Part Two of this blog, which we’ll post tomorrow. But it’s important to remember that even as nations begin the humbling process of rethinking certain assumptions about earthquake potential, nuclear safety, and tsunami protection, we must also use the lessons of what went right to redouble ongoing efforts to build resilient communities.

read more:

[link to www.whitehouse.gov]

Last Edited by Account Deleted by User on 05/10/2011 04:29 PM
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/10/2011 02:37 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
bump
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 02:42 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
hiding
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 02:44 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I've got a bad feeling about this.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/10/2011 02:48 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I've got a bad feeling about this.
 Quoting: Madigan


I know. Strange message.
Spawn

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05/10/2011 02:53 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I've got a bad feeling about this.
 Quoting: Madigan


I know. Strange message.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1302477



I just received this from USGS and their email alerts...


date Tue, May 10, 2011 at 10:17 AM
subject ENS change announcement (36810)
hide details 10:17 AM (1 hour ago)


After the magnitude 9.0 Tohoku earthquake on March 11, 2011, a change was made in ENS to enable the 'aftershock exclusion' feature by default. This filters out notifications for all but the largest aftershocks, eliminating the large deluge of aftershock notifications after a large mainshock.

If you want to check your settings or turn 'aftershock exclusion' off, (thereby potentially receiving a large number of aftershock notifications) you can log in to your ENS account and do this from the 'Account Preferences' tab on the main ENS webpage.

Thank you,
Earthquake Notification Service Team


I've had these notifications being sent to me for a few years now and not until this year has it been buzzing my iPhone like KRAZY!!! I had my default magnitude notification set to 6.5 and then dropped it to 6.0 after the Japan 9.0 quake.

You know I'll be turning that default filter OFF....




This is an administrative message from the U.S. Geological Survey
Earthquake Notification Service
[link to sslearthquake.usgs.gov (secure)]
....and whatever you do, DO NOT CLICK ON THIS LINK... no... don't do it... STOP!!!! I warned you....

[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/10/2011 02:58 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
Wow. Thanks for sharing that message.

I see these both as acknowledgements that there is definitely something brewing.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/10/2011 03:07 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
It's just such a random, generic brochure-like piece. Like something you might see on a rack at the health department:


"Living with Herpes"
"Gonorrhea and You"
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 03:09 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I have gotten the USGS / ENS message before, about four weeks or less, ago. I ignored it then. But with all the activity brewing, and the second message today, I decided to go in and adjust my settings and cast my net a little looser to see what kinds of alerts I get. I added the NMSZ specifically, too.

As for the earthquake article / blog from the WH?? Nice find, OP! Highly suspicious.
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 03:11 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
Nothing will happen!
Spawn

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05/10/2011 03:15 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
Nothing will happen!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1373331


I pray you are correct! But it would appear that there are too many "hints" and "flags' coming out right now...
....and whatever you do, DO NOT CLICK ON THIS LINK... no... don't do it... STOP!!!! I warned you....

[link to www.youtube.com]
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 03:15 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
Hmmmm
WizzleDizzle

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05/10/2011 03:15 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
1dpanic
3000 survival books, manuals, guides and more in one place! [link to www.armageddononline.org]
Your source for disaster news, preparedness, survival, future scenarios and more!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/10/2011 03:25 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
It is certain to happen eventually. They admit as much. I think, if you're not into doomology, the other point of great interest is they seem to be advancing a policy that engineers should start amending certain existing infrastructure, and designing new infrastructure, for maximum impact mitigation...as in nuclear, hydro, even architechture. That's where I'm guessing Part 2 is going, anyway. Tune in tomorrow!

PS: Like the simultaneous backpat/bitchslap for Japan?
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 03:26 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I think they missed a word:

"That figure could be [brown] dwarfed, of course, in the event of a magnitude-9 earthquake."

There, fixed it.
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 03:47 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
Earthquakes scare the shit out of me. Really they do!!
DDan

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05/10/2011 03:52 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I think they missed a word:

"That figure could be [brown] dwarfed, of course, in the event of a magnitude-9 earthquake."

There, fixed it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1273780


ROFLMAO !!!!
Kind Regards,
Dan
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 03:59 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
Damn! I thought I was the only one who caught the use of that word. Face it people...we only have about 4 months left! Live it up while you can! I see a lot more world conflict to keep us distracted. And the lame excuse to cover it up when it becomes apparent. The Beetleguise super nova that will look like a second sun. Puhlease! Can't you see the writing on the wall? WAKE UP SHEEPLE!
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 04:02 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
THIS IS HOW IT ENDS!eq
Economic Meltdown

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05/10/2011 04:09 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
Damn... that's ominous with all the earthquake drills.... and the flooding of over a trillion pounds of water on the New Madrid.
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 04:15 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
This makes me very worried for they are up to something no good for us. With these words, "disasters resulting from those earthquakes are not the work of nature alone. Even in the face of such giant forces, societal decisions before and after an earthquake can have a major impact on the amount of damage" they are planning somethings that will not be good for the US.
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 04:16 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I've got a bad feeling about this.
 Quoting: Madigan


Chewie, I thought you fixed the hyperdrive you dumb wookie!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/10/2011 04:28 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
This makes me very worried for they are up to something no good for us. With these words, "disasters resulting from those earthquakes are not the work of nature alone. Even in the face of such giant forces, societal decisions before and after an earthquake can have a major impact on the amount of damage" they are planning somethings that will not be good for the US.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1143098


That wording literally gave me chills when I saw it. Not, I think, for the same reasons as you. But it is certainly a deeply ominous statement.
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 05:34 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
What's really strange is how they've changed their epic flood forecasts. Apparently the water isn't going as high as initially predicted. I'm thinking this could be due in part to opening floodways, but I do wonder about the water draining into the fault itself. Isn't there some sort of rupture zone in New Madrid?
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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05/10/2011 05:46 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
Here's the rest of it, since I got edited...for length...ostensibly.


Is this really a problem that the United States has to worry about? The short answer is yes. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, 39 U.S. states have moderate-to-high earthquake hazard, as well as Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Guam, and the Marianas Islands. These states include the ones people think of along the West Coast, but also ones in the Mountain West, the Central United States (where we are this year commemorating the bicentennial of a series of magnitude-7 earthquakes that struck the Mississippi Valley in 1811-12), and the East, where magnitude-7 earthquakes have struck as recently as the 1880s. Over all, annualized earthquake losses in the U.S. are estimated at $5.3 billion.

That figure could be dwarfed, of course, in the event of a magnitude-9 earthquake. And while the exact location, timing, or intensity of earthquakes cannot be predicted, the U.S. West Coast has two subduction zones—the type of plate boundary that is off the coast of Honshu, Japan—capable of magnitude-9 earthquakes. One is offshore of southern Alaska and the other is offshore a length of the Pacific Northwest coast stretching from Vancouver, BC, to Northern California—a region known as “Cascadia.” Earthquakes in southern Alaska produced major tsunamis in 1946, 1957, 1964, and 1965. The Cascadia zone last ruptured in 1700 and has an average recurrence interval of 500-600 years. The subduction zone in the eastern Caribbean has generated magnitude-8 earthquakes as recently as 1946. The 30-year probability of a magnitude-7 or greater earthquake in California is 94%, a number that fortunately drops to 4% for magnitude-8 or greater. Clearly, when it comes to a giant U.S. temblor, it is not a question of “if” but of “when.”

Tomorrow: What We Can Do About It

Tammy Dickinson is a Senior Policy Analyst at the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy

David Applegate is Senior Science Advisor for Earthquake & Geologic Hazards at the US Geological Survey
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 05:50 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
LOL...is anything normal to you paranoid freaks?
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 05:58 PM
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LOL...is anything normal to you paranoid freaks?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1378153


I think you're lost.

[link to www.foxnews.com]
stillhere

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05/10/2011 06:05 PM

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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I hope they don't un-pin this tonight, it should be left for the second half to be printed tomorrow----I wonder what they will say?
bump
"You can bend it and twist it... You can misuse and abuse it... But even God cannot change the Truth.”
Michael Levy
humuhumunukuapuaa

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05/10/2011 06:11 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
X37B is up there doing its thing. Orbit was over the Loyalty islands when they got hit by 2 x 7 magnitudes.


I know this sounds strange but:

1. The oil spill in the gulf weakened the Atlantic conveyor belt this past winter, by interfering with the thermohaline circulation. It caused the climate to be considerably cooler in the northern hemisphere this winter.

2. Consequently, this hard winter caused reservoirs in the United States, China and elsewhere to be full and/or overflow.

3. X37B went up to approx 200 mile altitude orbit in early March for over (200 days), when the snows started to melt in many places.

4. 3 days after launch (march 8-9) the 2 x 7.0 quakes hit Japan, X37B was in orbit over it at the time.

5. 3 days later the 9.2 quake struck. The X-37B orbit was over Japan at the time.

6. Now with flooding, dams full, and fault lines lubricated, we are heading into a window of maximum devastation if it is employed by the PTB.

7. Arab Spring, Mubarak resigns, Fukushima quake/Tsunami/Nuclear, going to war with Libya, letters to media warning about nuclear retaliation (from Osama aka:CIA)if OBL a month before Osama is killed, Osama is then killed, Mississippi River Levees blown, Earthquake drills, Earthquake warnings about potential megaquake in US from Government, and the X37B not coming back down until the end of November.
Through honesty, we make peace.
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 06:44 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
^ very interesting
Anonymous Coward
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05/10/2011 06:48 PM
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Re: BREAKING: White House OSTP Blog - "Understanding Earthquakes"
I've got a bad feeling about this.
 Quoting: Madigan


I know. Strange message.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1302477



I just received this from USGS and their email alerts...


date Tue, May 10, 2011 at 10:17 AM
subject ENS change announcement (36810)
hide details 10:17 AM (1 hour ago)


After the magnitude 9.0 Tohoku earthquake on March 11, 2011, a change was made in ENS to enable the 'aftershock exclusion' feature by default. This filters out notifications for all but the largest aftershocks, eliminating the large deluge of aftershock notifications after a large mainshock.

If you want to check your settings or turn 'aftershock exclusion' off, (thereby potentially receiving a large number of aftershock notifications) you can log in to your ENS account and do this from the 'Account Preferences' tab on the main ENS webpage.

Thank you,
Earthquake Notification Service Team


I've had these notifications being sent to me for a few years now and not until this year has it been buzzing my iPhone like KRAZY!!! I had my default magnitude notification set to 6.5 and then dropped it to 6.0 after the Japan 9.0 quake.

You know I'll be turning that default filter OFF....




This is an administrative message from the U.S. Geological Survey
Earthquake Notification Service
[link to sslearthquake.usgs.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Spawn


Dude, I got the same message!

Why do they not want to alert on aftershocks?

Is USGS paying for each email they send?





GLP