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CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.

 
Arnie

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01/22/2012 06:27 AM

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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Also, the green / red charts on the magneto-sim....never saw them that extreme.......???

scr
AKA Auntie Arnie
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 06:28 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
my sat tv still works. no interruptions
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 06:29 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Quick....Call all of your loved ones NOW! OMG...what are we going to do!
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 06:29 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Nothing here in the uk bit friggin windy thuogh!
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 06:31 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
oops sorry about the spelling, I was rushing lol
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 06:37 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
North .... I am in Northern Ontario...way up here and so far nothing...I have been checking...

Internet is still up and running...no aurora's and we have only a bit of cloud coverage...no ringing in the ears...morning coffee was good and almost time for me to head in to work...I will watch way up here through the day

just sayin nothin exciting up here in the north of the world
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1477774


Thanks for the update! The auroral oval has not lit up yet but when these sheets that are being peeled of the front of the magnetosphere snap back off the tail it will light up.
This 50 second video is a great demonstration of that process.






As the old addage goes..a picture is worth a thousand words.
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tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 06:39 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Also, the green / red charts on the magneto-sim....never saw them that extreme.......???

scr
 Quoting: Arnie


hi
Arnie!
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ManoChao

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01/22/2012 06:41 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 06:47 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
What would you do if the Internet died?


WASHINGTON — If a day without Wikipedia was a bother, think bigger. In this plugged-in world, we would barely be able to cope if the entire Internet went down in a city, state or country for a day or a week.

Sure, we'd survive. People have done it. Countries have, as Egypt did last year during the anti-government protests. And most of civilization went along until the 1990s without the Internet. But now we're so intertwined socially, financially and industrially that suddenly going back to the 1980s would hit the world as hard as a natural disaster, experts say.

No email, Twitter or Facebook. No buying online. No stock trades. No just-in-time industrial shipping. No real-time tracking of diseases. It's gotten so that not just the entire Internet but individual websites such as Google are considered critical infrastructure, experts said.

"Nobody would die, but there would be a major hassle," said computer security expert Mikko Hypponen, chief research officer at F-Secure in Helsinki, Finland.

If an Internet outage lasted more than a day or two, the financial hit would be huge, with mass unemployment, said Ken Mayland, a former chief bank economist and president of ClearView Economics. Eugene Spafford, director of Purdue University's Center for Education and Research in Information Assurance and Security, worries about bank runs and general panic.

Psychologically, too, it could be wrenching.

"I think it's easier to get off heroin," said Lisa Welter of New York City, who weaned herself for a month last year from just the social aspects of the Internet — she still paid bills online — and felt as if she was "living in a cave."

"There would be a sense of loss: What would I do with my time?" said Kimberly Young, a psychologist who directs the Center for Internet Addiction and Recovery.

On Wednesday, certain websites, most prominently Wikipedia, went dark to protest legislation in Congress that would crack down on pirated movies and TV shows. It was a one-day stunt. But it raises questions about our connectedness.
It is possible that hackers, terrorists, accidents or even sunspots could take down the Internet and cause areas to become cut off and unreachable, said Spafford, one of the foremost experts on computer security. The U.S. and other developed nations have multiple and robust routing systems that make it unlikely large areas would be affected, but smaller countries could be vulnerable to nationwide outages, Hypponen said.

The world only has to look back one year to Egypt to see what a sudden unplugging could spawn.

read more.....
[link to www.pnj.com]
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Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 06:49 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Oh hell, it's going to be a very interesting day..tuning in and waiting for info..I'll try to check for myself of some activities when I arrive home..

hf Ohh..Pizza and Beer for everyone..tounge
 Quoting: Jhoevz 1416729


Beer in saudi Arabia? You must be kidding
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 06:52 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Green K for you Tom, for keeping up with this....

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
I do not recall ever seeing the orange color on this thing..........
meer
 Quoting: Arnie


I have it uploaded to post here if they would approve my smilies this morning..hense all the little weird letters around my posts. haha

Yes that is a really strong level of saturation in the ionosphere. That will be disrupting radio communications at the hz indicated on the right of the graph. Mostly satellite, shipping, aircraft, shortwave, GPS

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/22/2012 06:52 AM
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 06:58 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
POES Auroral Oval is starting to light up now. All of the areas located under the red shading that are on the far side of the sun will be seeing Aurora Borealis. The area of coverage will likely grow rapidly.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Starwind

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01/22/2012 07:00 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
POES Auroral Oval is starting to light up now. All of the areas located under the red shading that are on the far side of the sun will be seeing Aurora Borealis. The area of coverage will likely grow rapidly.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Will this storm rage long enough to show auroras in the united states (12-14 hours from now for east coast)
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 07:02 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
double p

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/22/2012 07:03 AM
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 07:03 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Got a mail from SIDC belgium:



Issued: 2012 Jan 22 1155 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# GPS Space Weather Service - MAK model forecast alert #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#



The MAK model forecasts a K-index of 7

well, we will see
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 07:06 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Got a mail from SIDC belgium:



Issued: 2012 Jan 22 1155 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# GPS Space Weather Service - MAK model forecast alert #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#



The MAK model forecasts a K-index of 7

well, we will see
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


What does a K-index of 7 mean?
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 07:07 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
POES Auroral Oval is starting to light up now. All of the areas located under the red shading that are on the far side of the sun will be seeing Aurora Borealis. The area of coverage will likely grow rapidly.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Will this storm rage long enough to show auroras in the united states (12-14 hours from now for east coast)
 Quoting: Starwind


Good question. This was a three part wave. The third strongest part was forcast by NASA for a duration of 16 hrs. It started in the early AM. It may still be going.
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Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 07:08 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
K index now down to 3 GREEN

[link to www.solarham.com]
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 07:08 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Got a mail from SIDC belgium:



Issued: 2012 Jan 22 1155 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# GPS Space Weather Service - MAK model forecast alert #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#



The MAK model forecasts a K-index of 7

well, we will see
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


We are just under kp 6 now.
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Anonymous Coward
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Croatia
01/22/2012 07:13 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
GoodMorning all,

49 minutes the Aurora should be at 'STORM' LEVEL!

AuroraLive(Alaska)
[link to salmon.nict.go.jp]


Region 1401 keeps on rocking:


2012/01/21 20:44:00 21:43:00 21:20:00 C1.3 N17W10 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 02:32:00 03:06:00 02:57:00 C7.1 N17W13 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 03:36:00 05:10:00 04:00:00 C3.4 N21W11 ( 1401)
2012/01/22 08:47:00 09:01:00 08:54:00 C2.2 N18W14 ( 1401)

[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I bloged the 7.1 here.
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Nice TOM!

Well, had to overread all this yesterday as i arrived and need some sleep then im rdy to work now...:)

Will make some cafe and then i can start
coffeecup
superman
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I keep saying I am going to get some sleep but It is hard to stop when this comes along. I have been up for 22 hrs now.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


OMG

do you think that SUN won't come out tomorrow if you're not here to see it?

jeeeez damned
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 07:17 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
K index now down to 3 GREEN

[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 990383


That is from when they took a reading earlier during a dip. If you look at this USAF Graph you see a time line. The green and yellow bubbles represent the 1hr predicted kp, and the small + sign is the 4 hr predicted kp. The large crosses are one for the i hr with a bubble under it for the curre1 hr and the other large cross with a small + under it is for the 4 hr ahead predicted. The blue bar is the USAF estimated kp for the time and you can see what is is by following it over to the verticle white dotted line that is the current time.Hope that makes sense.
[link to www.solarham.com]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/22/2012 10:21 AM
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 07:17 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
What would you do if the Internet died?

 Quoting: tomasgod1


uhoh

I will finally find time to do sooooo many other more important things in life than just staring in monitor and damaging my eyes!!!!!

CAN'T WAIT gaah
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 07:23 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
What would you do if the Internet died?

 Quoting: tomasgod1


uhoh

I will finally find time to do sooooo many other more important things in life than just staring in monitor and damaging my eyes!!!!!

CAN'T WAIT gaah
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9329897


lmao

I would lost my job

uhoh
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 07:26 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
...


I bloged the 7.1 here.
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Nice TOM!

Well, had to overread all this yesterday as i arrived and need some sleep then im rdy to work now...:)

Will make some cafe and then i can start
coffeecup
superman
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I keep saying I am going to get some sleep but It is hard to stop when this comes along. I have been up for 22 hrs now.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


OMG

do you think that SUN won't come out tomorrow if you're not here to see it?

jeeeez damned
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9329897


Hardly haha! It's called dedication. I have a responsibility to update a blog that keeps track of these occurences. Try posting somewhere with people that appreciate you. I think you stumbled in through the wrong door; don't let it hit you on the way out.
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Arnie

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01/22/2012 07:37 AM

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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Got a mail from SIDC belgium:



Issued: 2012 Jan 22 1155 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# GPS Space Weather Service - MAK model forecast alert #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#



The MAK model forecasts a K-index of 7

well, we will see
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76



IWTB, do you ever sleep? K+ for your dedication to interesting things ! You're a one in a million treasure,,,,
spec
AKA Auntie Arnie
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 07:43 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Oh hell, it's going to be a very interesting day..tuning in and waiting for info..I'll try to check for myself of some activities when I arrive home..

hf Ohh..Pizza and Beer for everyone..tounge
 Quoting: Jhoevz 1416729


Beer in saudi Arabia? You must be kidding
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 986909


It seems there's a lot of things you don't know about this country my friend.. tounge

It's a cold fine afternoon here in Jeddah..nothing unusual at the moment..
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 08:22 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 737
Issue Time: 2012 Jan 22 1231 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2012 Jan 22 1230 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Jan 22 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA is really dragging it's feet on this one. We have already exceeded a kp of 5 earlier, but then they did not expect a CME today. This is not the first time that they have drug their heels when they were so far off the mark.

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/22/2012 08:23 AM
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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OVRANALYZE

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01/22/2012 08:24 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 737
Issue Time: 2012 Jan 22 1231 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2012 Jan 22 1230 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Jan 22 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA is really dragging it's feet on this one. We have already exceeded a kp of 5 earlier, but then they did not expect a CME today. This is not the first time that they have drug their heels when they were so far off the mark.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


i know..sometimes i wonder if they are paying attention.
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 08:28 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Antarctica had a 6.0 earthquake...wondering if there was a connection?
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 08:33 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
HI TG1,
Thanks for videos! Hope you are doing well!
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


Very good post just wondering if this is related
[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]





GLP