WARNING!! ALL MODELS BRING HUGE 940 - 950mb STORM ONSHORE!! MASSIVE STORM JUST DAYS AWAY for EAST COAST!! UPDATED

Eyewall replacement cycle. Sandy is gearing up for strengthening overnight and tomorrow.

[link to picasaweb.google.com (secure)]

finally got it!! YAY!!!

Last Edited by mrmuffins69 on 10/25/2012 05:58 PM

Doom on or off!?

on

I'd say its on..

Don't waste your time JayJ. Check out his/her/its karma. Just a troll.

Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

18z GFS shifting south again. now landfall at the Stone Pony, Asbury park, 939 mb.

Fucking INSANE! just looking at the model now. JUST WOW! EPIC BY ALL ACCOUNTS

My friend in Long Island says that the local news media is saying it's no big deal. Do you agree?

of course not, it will be very danderous

Snow, gale-force winds, hurricane remnants, full moon (high tides): forecasters warn of ‘perfect storm’ scenario

Posted on October 25, 2012


October 25, 2012 – NEW YORK - Much of the U.S. East Coast has a good chance of getting blasted by gale-force winds, flooding, heavy rain and maybe even snow early next week by an unusual hybrid of hurricane and winter storm, federal and private forecasters say. Though still projecting several days ahead of Halloween week, the computer models are spooking meteorologists. Government scientists said Wednesday the storm has a 70 percent chance of smacking the Northeast and mid-Atlantic. Hurricane Sandy in the Caribbean, an early winter storm in the West, and a blast of arctic air from the North are predicted to collide, sloshing and parking over the country’s most populous coastal corridor starting Sunday. The worst of it should peak early Tuesday, but it will stretch into midweek, forecasters say. “It’ll be a rough couple days from Hatteras up to Cape Cod,” said forecaster Jim Cisco of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration prediction center in College Park, Md. “We don’t have many modern precedents for what the models are suggesting.” It is likely to hit during a full moon when tides are near their highest, increasing coastal flooding potential, NOAA forecasts warn. And with some trees still leafy and the potential for snow, power outages could last to Election Day, some meteorologists fear. They say it has all the earmarks of a billion-dollar storm. Some have compared it to the so-called Perfect Storm that struck off the coast of New England in 1991, but Cisco said that one didn’t hit as populated an area and is not comparable to what the East Coast may be facing. Nor is it like last year’s Halloween storm, which was merely an early snowstorm in the Northeast. This has much more mess potential because it is a combination of different storm types that could produce a real whopper of weather problems, meteorologists say. “The Perfect Storm only did $200 million of damage and I’m thinking a billion,” said Jeff Masters, meteorology director of the private service Weather Underground. “Yeah, it will be worse.” But this is several days in advance, when weather forecasts are far less accurate. The National Hurricane Center only predicts five days in advance, and on Wednesday their forecasts had what’s left of Sandy off the North Carolina coast on Monday. But the hurricane center’s chief hurricane specialist, James Franklin, said the threat keeps increasing for “a major impact in the Northeast, New York area. In fact it would be such a big storm that it would affect all of the Northeast.” The forecasts keep getting gloomier and more convincing with every day, several experts said. Cisco said the chance of the storm smacking the East jumped from 60 percent to 70 percent on Wednesday. Masters was somewhat skeptical on Tuesday, giving the storm scenario just a 40 percent likelihood, but on Wednesday he also upped that to 70 percent. The remaining computer models that previously hadn’t shown the merger and mega-storm formation now predict a similar scenario. The biggest question mark is snow, and that depends on where the remnants of Sandy turn inland. The computer model that has been leading the pack in predicting the hybrid storm has it hitting around Delaware. But another model has the storm hitting closer to Maine. If it hits Delaware, the chances of snow increase in that region. If it hits farther north, chances for snow in the mid-Atlantic and even up to New York are lessened, Masters said. –Time [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

6 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

West Virginia would be buried in 2-3 feet of snow in recent GFS 18z run. Snow Depth: pic.twitter.com/MEMCITME

9 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

@SenhW if you look at the full spectral T574 fields, it is usually very close ... but your output is probably 0.5° grid

12 minBrian McNoldy‏@BMcNoldy

Long radar loop from #Miami of Hurricane #Sandy... new frames constantly added! [link to andrew.rsmas.miami.edu] … via @BMcNoldy

13 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

GFS 18z New Jersey landfall for #Sandy at near 940 mb central pressure on Tuesday 30th. +114hrs pic.twitter.com/XBrl1cd5

27 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

GFS 18z surface pressure of 938 mb as #Sandy is moved up coast thru 96-hours off NC/VA border coast. pic.twitter.com/YUGV6AKB

Asbury Park is only 2 towns over from me, and one of my favorite places. The Stone Pony is a legendary venue, as is Convention Hall/the Paramount which are directly on the beach there. There is so so much history in AP, it truly is a special place, I hope somehow it is spared :(

Thank you for providing this information OP- I heave heard a lot about NJ but is there any news on Maryland. One of the trajectories shows the hurricane going up the Chesapeake bay which would be disastrous for our area

To keep this up top!

this thread should be pinned as well as the other one

yes, maryland is out of the loop. but we will be SLAMMED regardless.

oh and...

There may actually be no election because of this and possibly other things on top of it

I posted part of this on the other thread and wanted to post it here as well- The Weather Channel just discussed the extreme low pressure forecast by the Euro model (939mb), and whether or not that could actually happen, and they basically said it has never happened before, but with so many models predicting such an intense low pressure center (for reasons we don't totally understand) it really might happen.

They also said not to be fooled by a perceived weakening hurricane/lower category storm, as they expect this to happen as Sandy transitions to an extratropical system. NOAA also said the intensity ratings would underrepresent the true power of the storm, because the standards only apply to true tropical systems, not extratropical hybrids. This is truly a never seen before, unique storm.

We have a family place on Long Island Sound. We got an Email notice from our Insurance Carrier that we need to get it ready for a serious storm/hurricane by the early part of next week. The insurance company has reps & contractors in the area to help with sand-bags, boarding up glass, etc. I was going to fly in, get it boarded up and hope I could get back out. Now it looks like I won't have to do so. Apparently they're offering this to their insured homeowners without charge. The email also warned people to be ready to evacuate with very little notice - maybe as little as an hour or less! Scary times and the homes in this area are worth a LOT of money (except ours which is huge, old, and needs EVERYTHING redone. It was built by my Grandparents as a summer place in 1921.) But the land it sits on is worth serious money today... who knows, we may have a vacant lot after next week is over!! Hope not, but it could happen!

Shit!