VERY Liberal ABC/WASHPOST DAILY Tracking Poll : R-50 O-47!! "Major Shift!" | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26304874 United States 10/25/2012 07:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26167151 United States 10/25/2012 08:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The majority of the people in the US are conservative. So how is it that liberals keep being put in office? The House constantly swings to the Dems, yet I seriously doubt that conservatives are voting them in. So I ask how is this possible? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26167151 United States 10/25/2012 08:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Obama will win whether he gets the most votes or not have you not figured that out yet OP? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6317675 yup, I'm bettin he steals it. Aren't you the same people that were saying that Bush would institute martial law to stay in office? Get a clue. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 23182389 United States 10/25/2012 08:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Devoted Follower User ID: 25606271 United States 10/25/2012 08:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 4454920 United States 10/25/2012 08:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The liberal channel talking heads are all frazzled. It's Romney. The first debate popped the Romney-Is-An-Incompetent-Monster bubble the Libs have inflated all year. It was all they could do really, given Obama's poor record. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 8464481 United States 10/25/2012 08:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sorry Dumbass, but Silver's statistical model actually includes and weighs the ABC daily poll very heavily in comparison to other polls. Seems like despite this anomaly of a day in the ABC poll--yesterday they had Obama up by 2 points--he still has Obama up and is giving him a 71% chance of winning this thing. Plus, big O is ahead in all the places that count--Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Iowa. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 23182389 United States 10/25/2012 08:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 23182389 United States 10/25/2012 08:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sorry Dumbass, but Silver's statistical model actually includes and weighs the ABC daily poll very heavily in comparison to other polls. Seems like despite this anomaly of a day in the ABC poll--yesterday they had Obama up by 2 points--he still has Obama up and is giving him a 71% chance of winning this thing. Plus, big O is ahead in all the places that count--Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Iowa. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 8464481 Stop snorting :BlueMeth: |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 17531086 Puerto Rico 10/25/2012 08:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Not so much, really... Quoting: PravdaDemocrat They just lowered the Pro-Dem polling bias to 2008 turnout +6 Democrat. As we get closer to SOCIALIST REJECTION DAY, the major media polls are forced to admit they have been wrong, all along, and trying to keep the few true Obama-voting sheep in the game. Of the 4 major tracking polls today, you had Obama gain a point in one poll, one stay unchanged, and the two that had been the best for Obama each move toward Romney. And in 3 of the 4 tracking polls, Romney is at or above 50%. It’s a clear trend. It is going to be hard for Obama to move that with 11 days to go now. He has been stuck at 47% for 3 years. (47%... IMAGINE THAT!!) Here is the commentary by ABC News Internals look VERY GOOD for Gov Romney [link to abcnews.go.com] HEY LIBS... HOW CAN THIS BE??? DIDN'T NATE SILVER/MSNBC SAY THAT ROMNEY’S MOMENTUM WAS STOPPED BY OBAMA’S BRILLIANT DEBATE PERFORMANCES!?? Wake us up when Romney pulls ahead in Ohio which will not happen. Without Ohio Romney can't win. The popular vote doesn't get you elected, its the Electorial College votes. Gee I wonder why Fox News hasn't old their low information votes this yet? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26167151 United States 10/25/2012 08:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sorry Dumbass, but Silver's statistical model actually includes and weighs the ABC daily poll very heavily in comparison to other polls. Seems like despite this anomaly of a day in the ABC poll--yesterday they had Obama up by 2 points--he still has Obama up and is giving him a 71% chance of winning this thing. Plus, big O is ahead in all the places that count--Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Iowa. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 8464481 Dream on. Real Clear Politics has had Romney up since the debates started. Sorry. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26167151 United States 10/25/2012 08:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26167151 United States 10/25/2012 08:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm watching The Ed Show on MSNBC which is a very liberal show. Ed is dicing up the numbers in such a way that makes Obama look like he might win. Some polls he shows the popular vote while others he shows the electoral college votes. What a joke. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 8464481 United States 10/25/2012 08:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26167151 United States 10/25/2012 08:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Your favorite model RCP, still has Big O up by almost 3 points. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 8464481 Today's NBC/Marist poll has Big O up by 3 in Nevada as well. Polling to come out soon on Iowa and Ohio again. Sorry Turds The average of the major polls has Romney up by .9%. I'm not sure what part of the poll you are looking at but there are six major polls listed that have Romney in the lead while only three have Obama leading. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 8464481 United States 10/25/2012 08:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Nevada: Democrats are leading Republicans by 20,000 in early voting. Not good, but more Republicans have voted early this time around and the early voting gap closes as each day passes. Tons of independents have voted as well, you figure more of them went to Romney than Obama. Quoting: Super Bowl Dave I think it will be SO close in Nevada. I think your best bets for close races are going to be in Colorado and Virginia. I honestly think that Nevada is in the bag for O. Obama's GOTV efforts are also much more robust. We'll see. This has become a barn burner. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26167151 United States 10/25/2012 08:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Nevada: Democrats are leading Republicans by 20,000 in early voting. Not good, but more Republicans have voted early this time around and the early voting gap closes as each day passes. Tons of independents have voted as well, you figure more of them went to Romney than Obama. Quoting: Super Bowl Dave I think it will be SO close in Nevada. This election is taking place in the entire country, not just in Nevada. Fuck Nevada. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26167151 United States 10/25/2012 08:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Nevada: Democrats are leading Republicans by 20,000 in early voting. Not good, but more Republicans have voted early this time around and the early voting gap closes as each day passes. Tons of independents have voted as well, you figure more of them went to Romney than Obama. Quoting: Super Bowl Dave I think it will be SO close in Nevada. I think your best bets for close races are going to be in Colorado and Virginia. I honestly think that Nevada is in the bag for O. Obama's GOTV efforts are also much more robust. We'll see. This has become a barn burner. This will be an easy victory for Romney. Expect a landslide. |
Just Some Guy
User ID: 1235825 United States 10/25/2012 08:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 26167151 United States 10/25/2012 08:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Obama will win whether he gets the most votes or not have you not figured that out yet OP? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6317675 You may be right. Democrats have been stealing elections for well over a hundred years. No one steals elections in the US. This is not a third world country. People in the US vote for idiots because the MSM brainwashes them into doing so. Don't like who wins for President? Replace the media. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 23525000 United States 10/25/2012 09:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 423542 United States 10/25/2012 09:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think the dem strategy of over-weighing the votes is going to bite them in the ass. As we get closer to election day the pollsters are going to have to slowly start weighing in a more realistic manner if they want to keep any illusion of accuracy going. So if Romney starts losing his momentum they will be a strong wind on his back pushing him onto victory. Them liberals sho is smart! |
PravdaDemocrat
(OP) User ID: 19228212 United States 10/25/2012 09:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
PravdaDemocrat
(OP) User ID: 19228212 United States 10/25/2012 09:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Nevada: Democrats are leading Republicans by 20,000 in early voting. Not good, but more Republicans have voted early this time around and the early voting gap closes as each day passes. Tons of independents have voted as well, you figure more of them went to Romney than Obama. Quoting: Super Bowl Dave I think it will be SO close in Nevada. How many of those Dem Early Voters in NEvada were actually BREATHING? |
a helpless lamb
User ID: 26309538 United States 10/25/2012 09:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 24420062 United States 10/25/2012 09:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Same thing happened The press pretended that the 1980 turnout was going to be identical to the 1976 turnout ( Very few Republicans voted in 1976 because of Watergate ) Even though every indicator pointed to a MASSIVE Republican turn-out and a tiny Democrat turnout the press kept using the figures from 1976 So right up until the middle of October they were predicting that Carter would be re-elected ...then just before the election, in a belated attempt to protect their credibility, they started using less unrealistic turnout numbers This changed the prediction from "Carter Wins" to "Too Close to Call" ( any of this seem familiar?) Well the election happens and "Too Close to Call" turned out to be Reagan 51% Carter 41% Now the Press tried to claim that it was "A Bad Debate Performance" and a "Crisis in the Middle East" that caused this ( Now it really sounds familiar ) But the reality is , people will ignore a poor debate performance by a popular President , and a popular President can actually improve his poll numbers during a crisis. Over the next week you'll see Obama's numbers drop even more Because while they have lowered the Dem turnout to +6, most polling indicates thats its going to be more like Dem +2 on election day ( In other words the press is still giving Obama up to 4 more points than he'll actually get) So be prepared for Obama getting 43%-47% of the vote and Romney getting 47-51% |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 4454920 United States 10/25/2012 09:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The TV station "polls" and the "polls" they choose to cover at first reflect their hopes and dreams. As the election approaches, they need to do two things: 1) Increase their credibility by moving the "polls" close to expected reality, so they are not embarrassed on election day. 2) Show a tightening race or one with momentum, to boost TV ratings. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 2913820 Australia 10/25/2012 09:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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snark
Forum Administrator User ID: 1050548 United States 10/25/2012 09:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I wish my favorite Mormons and big-time Nevada lovers would get out and rally Nevada for Mitt: T For Texas, T For Tennessee! The virtue of courage is a prerequisite for the practice of all other virtues, because otherwise one is virtuous only when virtue has no cost. There are times when something needs to be done, and yet we know that if we step up and do this needful thing, we will pay a heavy personal price. -C.S. Lewis |