Why the North Korean missile launch is different this time and some history of North Korea.

North Korea has Kim.

South Korea has PSY.

Not sure if it's been brought up yet, but reckon the rare earth has a big part to play here!!

[link to thediplomat.com]

Link again on this page for the concert ...

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

Whatever happens NK will need dealing with eventually.

Only problem with your analysis is your heavy bias towards North Korea due to Western propaganda.

I guarantee that North Korean government isn't nearly as horrific as we are lead by believe by the media.

Fuck You too.

Wow. That has not been brought up enough, at least in my considerations. Better now or later - cause, yeah, they are going to need dealing with. Tempting to say later, always best to avoid war - yet, they get stronger every year.

Tough call.

It is possible to concede bias b/c of media propoganda and still realize that it seems whatever the reality is, it will get worse, b/c whoever is puling the strings seems hell bent on war.

North Korea have had a lot of sanctions.

Comparisons are difficult.

South Korea could have been the same as the North with sanctions.

A GLP thread that's written well, and is very informative.
Sure I'm still on GLP?

Only problem with your analysis is your heavy bias towards North Korea due to Western propaganda.

I guarantee that North Korean government isn't nearly as horrific as we are lead by believe by the media.

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

Did he not already declare war?
He also quoted that nuclear war in unavoidable.
IMO he has already decided the outcome and that is
thermonuclear war.

lol ok.

And how come you are so damn well informed?

Yes.

[2009] A recent Goldman Sachs report found that Pyongyang sits on mineral deposits worth some $3.7 trillion.

[link to www.thedailybeast.com]



Also, to clarify, Kim attended the Liebefeld-Steinhölzli Schule, Switzerland, from 1998.


[link to www.dailymail.co.uk]




Switzerland ;)

Good post. Very well written. Most intelligent thing I've read on this whole situation.

Blah blah blah - this is all written as though they are going to behave as nice little 'rational actors' - they are not!!!


They are acting with Iran, also not in any way a rational actor.

Iran needs to start WWIII, NK needs to destroy the US - if they can find a way to do it they will!!!

And an EMP is the perfect means for them to do so.

Thanks, hardly anyone notices my sig.

wrong, your first assumption is wrong they will launch the missile.

He could launch something into the sea to save face.

Unfortunately nobody knows where it would be going so he could be bombed on the launch pad.

He's either going to lose face or get bombed.

Will they risk him launching anything at this point?

Well the fat man has sung. PSY.

Remember the Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico in 2010 and SHR wrote the exact same sort of 'expert situational analysis' and how everything BP were trying was all in vain and how nothing was going to plug that hole, and he went into massive detail on how this thing would spiral out of control.

Well it didn't. He was completely wrong. And nobody knows how this North Korean thing will play out. Nobody knows their true nuke capabilities. Nobody knows their true military prowess, nor the machinations behind the powers that be. No one.

Great post, SHR!

He will have to launch something or lose face ...

He's on a high at the moment.

[link to www.flickr.com]

North Korea has the ability to become a regional powerhouse...
China are probably hoping NK start something, then they can sweep in and grab all of the pie to maintain its monopoly....

Bingo!!!! this I reckon is being earmarked for future generations. Its just like Afghanistan (rare earth metals), it will take decades if not a century to get the place safe enough to mine. Better get the ball rolling sooner rather than later.
You never know my great great great grandchildren might be fly in fly out of a unified Korea.

Somehow, this time around, Fat Man or Little Boy seems appropriate when talking about Un. Another strange coincidence of life.

He has really painted himself into a corner.

Both rolled into one.