Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in! | |
Hugh M Eye
(OP) User ID: 39479530 United States 10/01/2013 10:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's a view of initial eruption of a solar filament of magnetism fro the Solar Dynamic Observatory: [link to www.spaceweather.com] And a close-up movie from Lockheed Solarsoft: [link to www.spaceweather.com] And here's the CACTus CME details of the mass ejection: [link to www.sidc.oma.be] |
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Gypsy Priest
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Second Best
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Gypsy Priest
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 43080811 United States 10/01/2013 10:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A Large and energetic Coronal Mass Ejection left the Sun on Sept. 30th and it seems to have arrived in a BIG WAY ahead of schedule. (It was forecast to arrive tomorrow at 10 am EDT). This means its velocity and, hence, dynamic pressure, is greater than thought. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Ten minutes after NOAA issued its sudden impulse warning the K-index leapt from K=2 to K=5 (Geomagnetic Storm Level) Check out this Realtime Bow-shock model of the magnetosphere: [link to pixie.spasci.com] Look at the Boulder Magnetometer reading now: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] NOAA Alerts and Warnings: Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 108 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 01 1330 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Oct 02: G1 (Minor) Oct 03: G2 (Moderate) Oct 04: None (Below G1) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Ok so when it is gonna hit now? its almost 8 PM Pacific...??? |
Hugh M Eye
(OP) User ID: 39479530 United States 10/01/2013 10:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 403 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 01 2123 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Extension to Serial Number: 402 Valid From: 2013 Sep 30 0500 UTC Now Valid Until: 2013 Oct 02 2200 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ACE Satellite 3-Day Protons and Electrons: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Satellite 3-Day Proton Flux: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
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pink cat
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 47060380 Canada 10/01/2013 10:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | a 5 is impressive. Should be able to see the northern lights even where I am tonight and it just cleared off. It will get crisp out tonight as we have had snow in the not so higher elevations. Winter comes early this it I think! |
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Liquid_Pestilence
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Desert Fox
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Liquid_Pestilence
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 47743490 United States 10/01/2013 11:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A Large and energetic Coronal Mass Ejection left the Sun on Sept. 30th and it seems to have arrived in a BIG WAY ahead of schedule. (It was forecast to arrive tomorrow at 10 am EDT). This means its velocity and, hence, dynamic pressure, is greater than thought. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Ten minutes after NOAA issued its sudden impulse warning the K-index leapt from K=2 to K=5 (Geomagnetic Storm Level) Check out this Realtime Bow-shock model of the magnetosphere: [link to pixie.spasci.com] Look at the Boulder Magnetometer reading now: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] NOAA Alerts and Warnings: Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 108 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 01 1330 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Oct 02: G1 (Minor) Oct 03: G2 (Moderate) Oct 04: None (Below G1) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] suyp bro, thanks for the intell, good job and I know who you be, text me another pic like the other day @ midnight. Peace out bra. |
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NOLAangel
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 47743490 United States 10/01/2013 11:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A Large and energetic Coronal Mass Ejection left the Sun on Sept. 30th and it seems to have arrived in a BIG WAY ahead of schedule. (It was forecast to arrive tomorrow at 10 am EDT). This means its velocity and, hence, dynamic pressure, is greater than thought. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Ten minutes after NOAA issued its sudden impulse warning the K-index leapt from K=2 to K=5 (Geomagnetic Storm Level) Check out this Realtime Bow-shock model of the magnetosphere: [link to pixie.spasci.com] Look at the Boulder Magnetometer reading now: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] NOAA Alerts and Warnings: Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 108 Issue Time: 2013 Oct 01 1330 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Oct 02: G1 (Minor) Oct 03: G2 (Moderate) Oct 04: None (Below G1) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] suyp bro, thanks for the intell, good job and I know who you be, text me another pic like the other day @ midnight. Peace out bra. 12 our time by the way Iron man 3 was cool. |
Simple27
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shadasonic
User ID: 41520215 United States 10/01/2013 11:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is pretty legit, we went from K2 TO K5 in less than ten minutes on solar storm impact, that's rare, at least for this cycle. Check out the pocket of early plasma that hit us. [link to www.n3kl.org] Look at the mag spike and the electron spike, that's a big , quick hit. These guys are different than Flare induced CMEs, we may see irregular spikes for days as this big momma comes in. I'd listen to HUGH he knows his shit! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
AnonCh4rl1
User ID: 47446969 United Kingdom 10/01/2013 11:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hugh ive been watching the KP for the past few hours and the chart im watching is still sleepy.. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] It'll be here soon, maybe your being premature? in another note, small flare starting to show on soho and stereo, but no xray data that i can see, another lift-off? |
Hugh M Eye
(OP) User ID: 39479530 United States 10/01/2013 11:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Solar wind spike recorded by the SOHO Spacecraft: [link to umtof.umd.edu] The much-abused NASA Solar Wind-Magnetic Field realtime computer model: [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] ACE Solar Wind Data plot: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
shadasonic
User ID: 41520215 United States 10/01/2013 11:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Its moving tad bit faster than expected, a lot of dense nucleii in this storm. You don't get large magnetic prominent eruptions on our earth ,sol footpoint often. Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 10/01/2013 11:16 PM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |