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Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!

 
Hugh M Eye
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10/01/2013 10:34 PM
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Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
A Large and energetic Coronal Mass Ejection left the Sun on Sept. 30th and it seems to have arrived in a BIG WAY ahead of schedule. (It was forecast to arrive tomorrow at 10 am EDT). This means its velocity and, hence, dynamic pressure, is greater than thought.

Ten minutes after NOAA issued its sudden impulse warning the K-index leapt from K=2 to K=5 (Geomagnetic Storm Level) Check out this Realtime Bow-shock model of the magnetosphere:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Look at the Boulder Magnetometer reading now:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA Alerts and Warnings:

Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 108
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 01 1330 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Oct 02: G1 (Minor) Oct 03: G2 (Moderate) Oct 04: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/01/2013 10:45 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Here's a view of initial eruption of a solar filament of magnetism fro the Solar Dynamic Observatory:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

And a close-up movie from Lockheed Solarsoft:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

And here's the CACTus CME details of the mass ejection:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

DOOM is coming
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:45 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
It is time.

[link to www.spaceweather.ca]
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:46 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
bump 5 stars!
Gypsy Priest

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10/01/2013 10:46 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Tomatorunning
********Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please*******
Second Best

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10/01/2013 10:47 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
so this is it violin
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:49 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
NOT THIS SHIT AGAIN PUTIN
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:51 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Well, I WAS thinking about going outside and star gazing for a bit but now that you mention it!
hiding
Gypsy Priest

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10/01/2013 10:51 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
NOT THIS SHIT AGAIN PUTIN
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29749804


ohyeah
********Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please*******
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:54 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
A Large and energetic Coronal Mass Ejection left the Sun on Sept. 30th and it seems to have arrived in a BIG WAY ahead of schedule. (It was forecast to arrive tomorrow at 10 am EDT). This means its velocity and, hence, dynamic pressure, is greater than thought.

Ten minutes after NOAA issued its sudden impulse warning the K-index leapt from K=2 to K=5 (Geomagnetic Storm Level) Check out this Realtime Bow-shock model of the magnetosphere:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Look at the Boulder Magnetometer reading now:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA Alerts and Warnings:

Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 108
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 01 1330 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Oct 02: G1 (Minor) Oct 03: G2 (Moderate) Oct 04: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Ok so when it is gonna hit now? its almost 8 PM Pacific...???
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/01/2013 10:56 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
The filament eruption and subsequent CME accelerated protons in the direction of Earth and has caused an SEP Event (Solar Energetic Particle) and at one point an S2 Radiation Storm Alert. We are currently under an S1 Proton Warning-

Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 403
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 01 2123 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 402
Valid From: 2013 Sep 30 0500 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2013 Oct 02 2200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Satellite 3-Day Protons and Electrons:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Satellite 3-Day Proton Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
hiding
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:56 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Nothing will happen.

End of story.

I win.

Flawless Vitory.

/Thread

knockout
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:57 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Despite the accurate information here, this hit from the Sun won't produce noticeable effects for most people, who will go about their lives as always.
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:57 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
55 degrees and polewards- watch out eskimos!
pink cat

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10/01/2013 10:57 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Bump for interest
🦋
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:58 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Suspicious Observers had it pegged at a 4 yesterday. Good Guess.

a 5 is impressive. Should be able to see the northern lights even where I am tonight and it just cleared off. It will get crisp out tonight as we have had snow in the not so higher elevations. Winter comes early this it I think!
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 10:58 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
"When you see the swirly lights in the sky, run up high to where the goats are."

Words of wisdom from our ancestors, who carved them into rocks and caves up where the goats are.
Liquid_Pestilence

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10/01/2013 10:59 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
wow 12 hours early.

I hope the power goes out and never comes back on!!
"Fear paints pictures of ghosts and hangs them in the gallery of ignorance." Robert Green Ingersoll
Desert Fox

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10/01/2013 11:01 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
55 degrees and polewards- watch out eskimos!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12754433


I love baked Alaska.
:TOMABANEFOX:
It's more humane this way ya know, or burn on totem pole. Choice is yours.
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 11:03 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
NOT THIS SHIT AGAIN PUTIN
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29749804


eh coo man, I love canuks, can I do you in your...
Liquid_Pestilence

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10/01/2013 11:04 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
55 degrees and polewards- watch out eskimos!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12754433


I love baked Alaska.
 Quoting: Desert Fox


I love baked Alaskan Salmon,

yummmmmmmy ..

shark
"Fear paints pictures of ghosts and hangs them in the gallery of ignorance." Robert Green Ingersoll
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 11:05 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
A Large and energetic Coronal Mass Ejection left the Sun on Sept. 30th and it seems to have arrived in a BIG WAY ahead of schedule. (It was forecast to arrive tomorrow at 10 am EDT). This means its velocity and, hence, dynamic pressure, is greater than thought.

Ten minutes after NOAA issued its sudden impulse warning the K-index leapt from K=2 to K=5 (Geomagnetic Storm Level) Check out this Realtime Bow-shock model of the magnetosphere:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Look at the Boulder Magnetometer reading now:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA Alerts and Warnings:

Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 108
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 01 1330 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Oct 02: G1 (Minor) Oct 03: G2 (Moderate) Oct 04: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


suyp bro, thanks for the intell, good job and I know who you be, text me another pic like the other day @ midnight.

Peace out bra.
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 11:05 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
well here in new York city it will be 80 degrees f outside the next 2 days.

which is very warm above normal for October.

usually October in new York city is 50-70 degrees
NOLAangel

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10/01/2013 11:06 PM

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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
5 stars for solar info. I have been watching this one too, but you know far more than I do.

Thanks for the informative thread.
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 11:07 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
A Large and energetic Coronal Mass Ejection left the Sun on Sept. 30th and it seems to have arrived in a BIG WAY ahead of schedule. (It was forecast to arrive tomorrow at 10 am EDT). This means its velocity and, hence, dynamic pressure, is greater than thought.

Ten minutes after NOAA issued its sudden impulse warning the K-index leapt from K=2 to K=5 (Geomagnetic Storm Level) Check out this Realtime Bow-shock model of the magnetosphere:

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

Look at the Boulder Magnetometer reading now:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA Alerts and Warnings:

Space Weather Message Code: WATA30
Serial Number: 108
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 01 1330 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Oct 02: G1 (Minor) Oct 03: G2 (Moderate) Oct 04: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


suyp bro, thanks for the intell, good job and I know who you be, text me another pic like the other day @ midnight.

Peace out bra.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 47743490


12 our time
by the way Iron man 3 was cool.
Simple27

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10/01/2013 11:08 PM

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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Thanks Hugh!

bump 5 Stars! hf
~*Ride the Wave*~
Anonymous Coward
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10/01/2013 11:09 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
bump
Hugh, thanks for the info. You rock!
shadasonic

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10/01/2013 11:09 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
NOT THIS SHIT AGAIN PUTIN
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 29749804


This is pretty legit, we went from K2 TO K5 in less than ten minutes on solar storm impact, that's rare, at least for this cycle.
Check out the pocket of early plasma that hit us.

[link to www.n3kl.org]

Look at the mag spike and the electron spike, that's a big , quick hit. These guys are different than Flare induced CMEs, we may see irregular spikes for days as this big momma comes in.

I'd listen to HUGH he knows his shit!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
AnonCh4rl1

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10/01/2013 11:09 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Hugh ive been watching the KP for the past few hours and the chart im watching is still sleepy..


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


It'll be here soon, maybe your being premature?




in another note, small flare starting to show on soho and stereo, but no xray data that i can see, another lift-off?
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/01/2013 11:10 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
Solar wind spike recorded by the SOHO Spacecraft:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

The much-abused NASA Solar Wind-Magnetic Field realtime computer model:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

ACE Solar Wind Data plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

plasmatail
shadasonic

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10/01/2013 11:11 PM
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Re: Earth Under Attack! CME arrives ahead of schedule amidst radiation storm! Tomata plants in!
wow 12 hours early.

I hope the power goes out and never comes back on!!
 Quoting: Liquid_Pestilence


Its moving tad bit faster than expected, a lot of dense nucleii in this storm. You don't get large magnetic prominent eruptions on our earth ,sol footpoint often.

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 10/01/2013 11:16 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan





GLP