2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #28A (Special Update)
By: NCHurricane2009 , 07:42 PM GMT em 02 de Julho de 2014
...WEDNESDAY JULY 2 2014 3:35 PM EDT...
Tropical Storm Arthur has become a very well organized and compact tropical cyclone with an eye located at 29.5N-79W as the visible satellite image below shows. And given the favorable atmospheric and thermodynamic conditions mentioned in discussion #28...I am forecasting a period of rapid intensification in the short-term especially since Arthur is a compact tropical cyclone and such tropical cyclones are prone to rapid development. My updated intensity forecast is listed below the satellite image.
8 PM Wednesday July 2...80 mph max sustained wind
category 1 hurricane centered offshore of northeastern Florida.
8 PM Thursday July 3...120 mph max sustained wind
category 3 hurricane centered offshore of South Carolina.
8 PM Friday July 4...100 mph max sustained wind
category 2 hurricane centered just offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks. If their is a slight westward shift in track...then hurricane conditions could strike the Outer Banks of North Carolina on Friday.
8 PM Saturday July 5...80 mph max sustained wind cyclone offshore of New England transitioning to a non-tropical gale. [
link to www.wunderground.com]