X FLARES from the sun. Four X flares since 10/25/2013 | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 46678410 United States 10/25/2013 11:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TS66 User ID: 48539647 United States 10/25/2013 12:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11308172 United States 10/25/2013 12:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
calidruid
User ID: 41238644 United States 10/25/2013 12:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Called it last night,along with a couple of other GLP'ers, 1882 is the spot to watch! Eyes to the skies kids! "Big waves are nature's way of flipping out" - Corky Carroll, surfer dude “This is a fierce bad rabbit; look at her savage whiskers, and her claws and her turned-up tail.” ~Beatrix Potter |
Hugh M Eye
User ID: 48848344 United States 10/25/2013 12:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Pic of X2.1 Flare- SDO-AIA 131 image of X1 Flare- :10/25-1882M2: AR1882 Magnetogram- :10/25-1882mag: A Big, fast CME has developed (NOT Earth-directed): SOHO- [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] STEREO B- [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] |
~OneSpirit~
User ID: 48550771 United States 10/25/2013 12:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
calidruid
User ID: 41238644 United States 10/25/2013 12:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Indeed!! It isn't just the coffee! Taking the kids to school this morning, I got the ear ringing for about 15 sec. and then the headache that lasted around 15 min! I have been taking note and realizing a correlation these last 6 months or so. "Big waves are nature's way of flipping out" - Corky Carroll, surfer dude “This is a fierce bad rabbit; look at her savage whiskers, and her claws and her turned-up tail.” ~Beatrix Potter |
calidruid
User ID: 41238644 United States 10/25/2013 12:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Pic of X2.1 Flare- Quoting: Hugh M Eye SDO-AIA 131 image of X1 Flare- :10/25-1882M2: AR1882 Magnetogram- :10/25-1882mag: A Big, fast CME has developed (NOT Earth-directed): SOHO- [link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov] STEREO B- [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Wow! 1882 has a LOT of complexity!! We are going to be in for a bumpy ride going into this last week of October! "Big waves are nature's way of flipping out" - Corky Carroll, surfer dude “This is a fierce bad rabbit; look at her savage whiskers, and her claws and her turned-up tail.” ~Beatrix Potter |
Hugh M Eye
User ID: 48848344 United States 10/25/2013 12:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 46813305 United States 10/25/2013 12:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SeriouslyFolks
User ID: 14142539 United States 10/25/2013 12:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back??? Oh, and 5* !!! Last Edited by SeriouslyFolks on 10/25/2013 12:34 PM ...same as it ever was |
pepe3797
User ID: 48910962 Peru 10/25/2013 12:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Astrophysicist User ID: 48912130 United States 10/25/2013 12:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question to Solar watchers... Quoting: SeriouslyFolks Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back??? Oh, and 5* !!! Faster CME's can and do 'bunch up' with slower ones and arrive simultaneously. Is that what you were wondering? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 44770023 United States 10/25/2013 12:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Astrophysicist User ID: 48912130 United States 10/25/2013 12:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Astrophysicist User ID: 48912130 United States 10/25/2013 12:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question to Solar watchers... Quoting: SeriouslyFolks Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back??? Oh, and 5* !!! Faster CME's can and do 'bunch up' with slower ones and arrive simultaneously. Is that what you were wondering? To expand on this a bit, if we have several Earth directed CME's in a <48 our period, you can bet particles from all events will be reaching Earth at the same time, because not all particles are going the same velocity. Fortunately, elevated electron counts tend to accompany the initial flares, which strengthen the integrity of the magneto shield. It's a;; part of a very intelligent design that is fully reactive. It can however be overburdened or like captain kirk, caught off guard with the shields down. The most geoffective events occur when repeated proton events have battered the geomagnetic field with a drop in electron flux that typically accompanies such patterns, or a massive event occurs without any build up. To simplify it, electrons power up the 'shields' and protons weaken them. The orientation of the interplanetary heliosphere or solar magnetic field to the earths magnetic field is critical to predicting outcome of any particular event. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12251163 United Kingdom 10/25/2013 12:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Astrophysicist User ID: 48912130 United States 10/25/2013 12:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.n3kl.org] Notice there was no magnetic impulse or geomagnetic disturbance associated with any of these flares. This indicates the solar and earth magnetic fields are not coupled in a way that is conducive to or indicative of likely severe geoeffective events. Notice also electron flux is stable and we see no evidence of arriving protons as of yet, which indicated the magnetic field has buffered them |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 17095177 United States 10/25/2013 12:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question to Solar watchers... Quoting: SeriouslyFolks Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back??? Oh, and 5* !!! Thats what im worried about. |
Anonymous Astrophysicist User ID: 48912130 United States 10/25/2013 01:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It will eventually, when the right combination of events occur simultaneously. During the last solar cycle people did die from solar events in the 10's of thousands in Europe and India. A failure in the power grid is inevitable. It's not if, it's when, and when it happens it could be ac cross entire continents or even global. The implications are total chaos, a total breakdown in all modern infrastructure. |
SeriouslyFolks
User ID: 14142539 United States 10/25/2013 01:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question to Solar watchers... Quoting: SeriouslyFolks Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back??? Oh, and 5* !!! Faster CME's can and do 'bunch up' with slower ones and arrive simultaneously. Is that what you were wondering? Yes! Is that possible if the solar activity continues as it has in the last few days and what would/could be the effect to Earth? ...same as it ever was |
Anonymous Astrophysicist User ID: 48912130 United States 10/25/2013 01:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question to Solar watchers... Quoting: SeriouslyFolks Being we have several smaller incoming CME's in the next few days, and guessing that this new spot is going to keep flaring, is it possible for the plasma to "build" so to speak, like a solar tsunami with all this activity happening back to back??? Oh, and 5* !!! Faster CME's can and do 'bunch up' with slower ones and arrive simultaneously. Is that what you were wondering? Yes! Is that possible if the solar activity continues as it has in the last few days and what would/could be the effect to Earth? Like I said, if the data I am getting is correct we have nothing to worry about at this time. I see no evidence of direct coupling of the Earths magnetic field with the Suns, and the electron flux is stable as well as the geomagnetic field. We're probably good to go. Conditions are not conducive to efficient conductivity of charged particles from the Sun to Earth at this time. W will probably eventually see a geomagetic effect along with moderate to high proton flux at moderate energy levels and an s-2 to s-3 radiation event. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 46678410 United States 10/25/2013 01:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 40530597 United States 10/25/2013 01:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 48806230 United States 10/25/2013 01:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | During the last solar max, folks in the know were advising that we should look out for a barrage of CMEs from flares as the early ones have an effect on the magnetic field resulting the later ones having more impact than their initial size would predict. Interesting chance to see if this was correct. |
Anonymous Astrophysicist User ID: 48912130 United States 10/25/2013 01:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | During the last solar max, folks in the know were advising that we should look out for a barrage of CMEs from flares as the early ones have an effect on the magnetic field resulting the later ones having more impact than their initial size would predict. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48806230 Interesting chance to see if this was correct. Yes, this is true. Protons weaken the geo geomagnetic field. But we see no evidence of an efficient transfer of protons from the Sun to earth along magnetic field lines. As long as the election flux remains stable it shouldn't be a problem |
calidruid
User ID: 41238644 United States 10/25/2013 01:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Curious to know if the Sun's poles have already flipped, or is this the build up to that happening? "Big waves are nature's way of flipping out" - Corky Carroll, surfer dude “This is a fierce bad rabbit; look at her savage whiskers, and her claws and her turned-up tail.” ~Beatrix Potter |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 48539647 United States 10/25/2013 01:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130 Notice there was no magnetic impulse or geomagnetic disturbance associated with any of these flares. This indicates the solar and earth magnetic fields are not coupled in a way that is conducive to or indicative of likely severe geoeffective events. Notice also electron flux is stable and we see no evidence of arriving protons as of yet, which indicated the magnetic field has buffered them So the multitude of Solar Alerts are from ??? Unseen alien invader disturbances ??? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Of course they are effecting our magnetosphere. And yes there are several different types of geomagnetic disturbances from these events. No, they are not Carrington events, but we can't just make up our own facts dear. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 40530597 United States 10/25/2013 01:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130 Notice there was no magnetic impulse or geomagnetic disturbance associated with any of these flares. This indicates the solar and earth magnetic fields are not coupled in a way that is conducive to or indicative of likely severe geoeffective events. Notice also electron flux is stable and we see no evidence of arriving protons as of yet, which indicated the magnetic field has buffered them So the multitude of Solar Alerts are from ??? Unseen alien invader disturbances ??? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Of course they are effecting our magnetosphere. And yes there are several different types of geomagnetic disturbances from these events. No, they are not Carrington events, but we can't just make up our own facts dear. You are obviously new to AA/IDW All he ever does is make up "facts" |
TS66 User ID: 48539647 United States 10/25/2013 01:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Anonymous Astrophysicist 48912130 Notice there was no magnetic impulse or geomagnetic disturbance associated with any of these flares. This indicates the solar and earth magnetic fields are not coupled in a way that is conducive to or indicative of likely severe geoeffective events. Notice also electron flux is stable and we see no evidence of arriving protons as of yet, which indicated the magnetic field has buffered them So the multitude of Solar Alerts are from ??? Unseen alien invader disturbances ??? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Of course they are effecting our magnetosphere. And yes there are several different types of geomagnetic disturbances from these events. No, they are not Carrington events, but we can't just make up our own facts dear. You are obviously new to AA/IDW All he ever does is make up "facts" LOL, actually no, just being nice about it |