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ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!

 
Hugh M Eye
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10/27/2013 11:43 PM
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ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
EDIT 10/29-AR1875 has unleashed an X 2.3 Flare and huge CME aimed directly toward the incoming comet ISON......updates begin on page 3.

*************************************************************​********************


The latest X-flare from AR1875 has blasted a huge CME in the direction of Comet ISON. I sure hope ISON is made of titanium or some other sturdy materials. We don't want a repeat of Elenin. In any event, we should see a major brightening of the comet in 3 days or so.

Here's the NASA cone model for this CME:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Latest SOHO C2 image of CME:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Close-up SDO Movie of X-Flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]


10/28-X1sam
:10/28-x-zone:

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 10/29/2013 07:58 PM
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2013 11:45 PM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
nice catch!
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2013 11:46 PM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
indeed!
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/27/2013 11:46 PM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
This is breaking news, so I'll try to update things as more info and images become available.
farside

arnoldSolarDoom!
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/27/2013 11:51 PM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
NOAA has already issued a Proton Warning for this event.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 405
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0233 UTC

WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2013 Oct 28 0235 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Oct 28 1400 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01
Serial Number: 90
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0219 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 28 0141 UTC
Maximum Time: 2013 Oct 28 0203 UTC
End Time: 2013 Oct 28 0212 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.0
Optical Class: 2n
Location: N04W66
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Here's the GOES X-Ray flux monitor:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

And the GOES Proton Flux Monitor:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2013 11:56 PM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Perhaps it shatters ISON as it nears the head of Virgo at the end of the month. A crown for the Virgin.
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2013 11:58 PM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Anyone know what time it is yet?
OVRANALYZE

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10/28/2013 12:00 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
good video of the flare. thanks
zacksavage

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10/28/2013 12:01 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Mercy,...







Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Simple27

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10/28/2013 12:06 AM

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
bump smile_kiss
~*Ride the Wave*~
Stripper Orphanage

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10/28/2013 12:14 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
The sun has a kick ass self defense system that puts Putin's to shame...

Although this one is pretty wild too.

[youtube [link to www.youtube.com (secure)]


Please send my shill checks to:
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If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? 

You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3.

"- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl

Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal

?
Stripper Orphanage

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10/28/2013 12:14 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
5* op
Please send my shill checks to:
2600 Scenic dr
Austin TX 78703

If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? 

You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3.

"- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl

Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal

?
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 12:18 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
That CME is looking mighty ferocious now!

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

pinkDoomsday
Stripper Orphanage

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10/28/2013 12:19 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Perhaps it shatters ISON as it nears the head of Virgo at the end of the month. A crown for the Virgin.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 44534076


lovethispost
Please send my shill checks to:
2600 Scenic dr
Austin TX 78703

If I have a bill for $4.27 and give the cashier $5.02, the stunned look on their faces as they give me back $.75 (three quarters) is akin to a magic trick. How did you do that? 

You've never been lost until you've been lost at Mach 3.

"- i liked the song before boobs were added. but now. well, boobs. they make everything better dont they? " ~ Green Girl

Credit to all uploaders whose content I steal

?
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 12:20 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
This is sunspot #11875, the source of this recent X-flare-

10/27-1875huge
justanothergranny

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10/28/2013 12:26 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
bump and added to favorites so I can follow...

Thanks for the info and heads-up!

hf
TANSTAAFL - There Ain't No Such Thing As A Free Lunch
Liquid_Pestilence

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10/28/2013 12:30 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
:bumpzzz:
"Fear paints pictures of ghosts and hangs them in the gallery of ignorance." Robert Green Ingersoll
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
FLASHBACK:In 2011 Comet Elenin disintegrated as it approached the sun.

COMET CORPSE: "Doomsday Comet" Elenin was briefly famous for inaccurate predictions that it might hit Earth. Instead it disintegrated as it approached the sun last month. (Doomsday canceled.) Over the weekend, Italian astronomer Rolando Ligustri spotted the comet's remains. It's the elongated cloud in this Oct. 22nd photo of the star field where Elenin would have appeared if it were still intact: (snip)

Pic and more here from Spaceweather.com's Time Machine:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Does anyone remember how close Elenin was to perihelion when it went 'poof'? I think it was about a month out......just like ISON. Hmmmm. Well, I hope ISON survives and just gets even brighter.
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 12:32 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
:10/28-CME:

[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 12:39 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 12:42 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
In the NASA cone model you'll have to visualize ISON between Mars and the Sun-

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

This video may help-



[link to www.youtube.com]
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 12:49 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Wow, the same region (1875) just blasted an M5.1 flare.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Any additional CME would give the first one a little more 'ooomph'.

Here's a GONG H-alpha movie, watch the spot in the upper right quadrant.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Elfsong

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10/28/2013 12:49 AM

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
The latest X-flare from AR1875 has blasted a huge CME in the direction of Comet ISON. I sure hope ISON is made of titanium or some other sturdy materials. We don't want a repeat of Elenin. In any event, we should see a major brightening of the comet in 3 days or so.

Here's the NASA cone model for this CME:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Latest SOHO C2 image of CME:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Close-up SDO Movie of X-Flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]


10/28-X1sam
:10/28-x-zone:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Again? aren't you getting a little tired of this?
Really?
working with Positive Thoughts will result in Positive Outcomes.
Elfsong

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10/28/2013 12:50 AM

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
This is sunspot #11875, the source of this recent X-flare-

10/27-1875huge
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


It looks like an eye.
working with Positive Thoughts will result in Positive Outcomes.
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 12:58 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 197
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 28 0441 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2013 Oct 28 0440 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Proton flux beginning to rise at Earth geosynchronous orbit:


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 10/28/2013 01:04 AM
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 01:03 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
First CME movie I could find:

[link to www.lmsal.com]


explosionahhhabomb
Hugh M Eye  (OP)

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10/28/2013 01:13 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20883406


Thanks for posting this, AC. You did a fine job of editing in a short amount of time. Kudos!

applausecheers
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 01:17 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
The latest X-flare from AR1875 has blasted a huge CME in the direction of Comet ISON. I sure hope ISON is made of titanium or some other sturdy materials. We don't want a repeat of Elenin. In any event, we should see a major brightening of the comet in 3 days or so.

Here's the NASA cone model for this CME:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Latest SOHO C2 image of CME:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Close-up SDO Movie of X-Flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]


:10/28-X1sam:
:10/28-x-zone:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


bump

hiding
Anonymous Coward
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10/28/2013 01:19 AM
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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
i told youz guyz that something like this would happen and it would alter the course of ison and would make it dangerous for earth,but noone listened...
ctruth333

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
bumpbumpbump
IsFreedomFree?

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Re: ISON in the Crosshairs-Update: ANOTHER X-FLARE & CME AIMED AT COMET ISON!!!!
:bumpzzz:
 Quoting: Liquid_Pestilence


Goofy Thum





GLP