Heads Up, Soviet Reconnaissance Satellite coming down Sunday 2/16/2014. update (its down)

Just in time for my daughters birthday on sunday. :(

Fireworks for the party

Not the kind we want. :(

Thanks RayGun. Will keep my eyes aimed skyward Sun and be ready to take evasive action.

Wonder what the odds are of getting hit by a piece of this?

I wonder if there are risks greater than being hit by a piece of it?

Are they all nuclear powered? Are they all named different variations of Cosmos? Questions questions.


"American officials issued assurances that the reactor should not explode in re-entry. When a similar satellite with a similar reactor, Cosmos 954, plunged to earth in 1978, the nuclear fuel burned up in the upper atmosphere but several fragments, some of which were radioactive, landed near Great Slave Lake in Canada's Northwest Territories. Standby Alert by Team

For this reason, the State Department announced that the Nuclear Emergency Search Team, operated by the Department of Energy, had been placed on standby alert to fly anywhere in the United States with sophisticated remote-sensing equipment to locate and clean up any radioactive debris from the satellite. Mr. Hughes, the State Department spokesman, said the United States was also offering to assist other nations that might be hit with debris. "
[link to www.nytimes.com]

With so much junk floating out there, seems more likely as time goes by that someone might eventually get hit by it. Depends on who you believe as to whether there's a risk:

"Hazard to people or property from reentering space hardware is very limited. No known reports of death from such events have ever been received."
[link to www.aerospace.org]

This link says, "Had the debris of Cosmos 954 come down in populated areas, massive damage to health and property could have occurred."
[link to books.google.com]

Is there really one coming down? Is it a conspiracy? Someone on this site said:

"I also happened to see Cosmos 1220 marked with a decay date of June 20, 1982 (see [link to en.wikipedia.org] even thought the website [link to www.satview.org] says that Cosmos 1220 is expected to decay next month, leading me to suspect whether the decay date given on Wikipedia is disinformation too."

To which someone replied, "I thought the KH-11's where intentionally de-orbited and not allowed to decay. I believe the dates are not announced, just noticed as no longer being in orbit by amateur satellite trackers."

More at link:
[link to forum.nasaspaceflight.com]

Duck and cover to be sure.

[link to www.aerospace.org]

Looks like Africa and the Pacific are in the cross-hairs. I'll run to the beach and try to get a video when if fly's over Sunday just in case it comes down early.

[link to www.satview.org]

Thanks, That's a good one.

Found a Russian link. [link to www.7sur7.be]

"It is not even entirely excluded that the machine crashed on populated areas, "

Cosmos-1220 was launched in 1980 from Baikonur atop the Cyclone-2 rocket. Mysterious explosions registered on board - on June 20, 1982, and August 25, 1982, according to available data. After those explosions, a 'cloud' of approximately 100 pieces of space debris formed in orbit. Over 80 of them have already ceased ballistic existence, according to the U.S. space monitoring system. [link to www.laserfocusworld.com]

The second Actual breakup was at 666km....

almost exactly a year after chelyabinsk?

cover up?

I found another satellite tracker site for Cosmos 1220. [link to www.satflare.com]

Here's a picture of Joseph Remis prediction of crash site.

[link to imgur.com]

Youtube video of Cosmos 1220.

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

"A defunct soviet military satellite that is about to enter Earth's atmosphere was seen on Thursday from Puerto Rico, reports Sociedad de Astronomia del Caribe (SAC). The satellite was clearly seen with the naked eye. Cosmos 1220 is a spy satellite that was used to determine enemy naval forces. It was launched by the former Soviet Union on 1980 from Kazakhstan. "

Fox news has a story on it. [link to www.foxnews.com]

bump, 5 star and pin request since there is one pinned but this thread was first.

I did pin request too. Hadn't noticed another one pinned. RayGun has had this one going for a 3 days.

C'mon Mods. Pin it!

Thx

Thx Nine's

Russian reconnaissance satellite to hit Earth Sunday

Portions of Russia’s defunct Kosmos-1220 satellite will come crashing back to the planet on Sunday following a fiery, uncontrolled descent through the Earth’s atmosphere, Russian officials said.

Fragments of the former reconnaissance satellite are expected to survive the high-speed re-entry and will most likely plunge harmlessly into the Pacific Ocean, Colonel Alexei Zolotukhin told Russian news agency Ria Novosti.

“As of February 7, 2014 the fragments are expected to fall on February 16. The exact impact time and location of the fragments from the Kosmos-1220 satellite may change due to external factors,” Zolotukhin said.

That uncertainty means the satellite could potentially fall anywhere on Earth.
[link to www.foxnews.com]

It flew directly over my house about 20 minutes ago. Was planning on trying to see it but got distracted.

Will be going to the beach tomorrow evening when it suppose to fly by at 18:06 EST. 6:06 pm EST

Watch out below! Russian satellite set to hit earth TOMORROW poses 'very real danger', experts warn

Space experts have warned there is a 'very real danger' associated with a Russian satellite that is due to come crashing back down to earth on Sunday.

Portions of the now-defunct Kosmos-1220 satellite will survive the high-speed re-entry to the planet and make a fiery, uncontrolled descent through the Earth's atmosphere, Russian officials have confirmed.

Of the utmost concern however is the location where the fragments will land, which remains unknown.
[link to www.dailymail.co.uk]

Russia—Uh-Oh, A Kosmos Krash (Satellite)

Uncertainty over the reentry time means that the satellite, orbiting in a high-inclination orbit, could impact nearly any point on Earth's surface, including populated areas. The size and weight of the Kosmos-1220, a naval electronic surveillance satellite, remain unknown, although the Tsiklon-2 rocket it was launched on in 1980 has a maximum payload capacity of around three metric tons.
[link to www.satnews.com]

This link is saying the Pacific tomorrow 2:29 UTC time +/- 3 hours [link to www.aerospace.org]

Found another that agrees with you. Yours is probably the most recent.

Probably a dumb question, but I wonder if this will affect the satellite?
Solar flare passage update
via Solarham.net

Just a quick update regarding the CME passage. A geomagnetic sudden impulse measuring 23 nT was observed at 13:11 UTC. This is the exact moment when magnetometers around the globe observed the passage. The solar wind remains elevated above 400 km/s and the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) is currently pointed north. A minor increase in geomagnetic activity will be possible during the hours ahead.

sorry mine got pinned today, search didn't pop anything up.. I 5* and Greened ya!! :)