Godlike Productions - Discussion Forum
Users Online Now: 1,344 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 451,988
Pageviews Today: 582,184Threads Today: 179Posts Today: 2,050
05:07 AM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

THE END OF SUMMER DIPLOMACY: ASSESSING U.S. MILITARY OPTIONS ON IRAN by Sam Gardiner, Colonel, USAF (Ret.): COMPLETE PDF or HTML URL (MORE)

 
BUSH MUST GO
Offer Upgrade

User ID: 105879
United States
09/21/2006 05:09 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
THE END OF SUMMER DIPLOMACY: ASSESSING U.S. MILITARY OPTIONS ON IRAN by Sam Gardiner, Colonel, USAF (Ret.): COMPLETE PDF or HTML URL (MORE)
"As an obvious consequence of the instability resulting from a U.S. strike, the price of oil almost certainly will spike. The impact will depend on how high and how long. The longer the conflict goes, the higher the price. A former Kuwaiti oil minister privately suggested a plateau of $125 per barrel. Confidential analysis by a major European bank suggests it would level off at $130, and a very conservative estimate would be over $200.

With prices surging to this level, third order consequences become apparent. The most obvious would be a global, synchronized recession, intensified by the existing U.S. trade and fiscal imbalances. Another political consequence would be that oil exporting countries outside the region would enjoy significant surges in revenue from higher prices. As a result, countries such as Venezuela and Russia would enjoy expanded influence while the West would be reeling from recession."


The End of Summer Diplomacy

Assessing U.S. Military Options on Iran

by Sam Gardiner, Colonel, USAF (Ret.)


A Century Foundation Report


COMPLETE PDF: www.tcf.org/publications/internationalaffairs/gardiner_summer​_diplomacy.pdf
[link to www.tcf.org]

HTML URL (WITH TABLE): www.tcf.org/list.asp?type=NC&pubid=1400
[link to www.tcf.org]


---


ALSO SEE THE EARLIER POST:


***** THE BUSHES & THE TRUTH ABOUT IRAN by Robert Parry *****

"The American people will be kept in the dark about their own history, like the subjects of some hereditary dynasty. Without the facts, they also face the possibility of being more easily manipulated by emotional appeals devoid of informed debate.

That moment has come sooner than many expected..."

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]


---


For the most recent articles shared search by 'user name' BUSH MUST GO in the Advanced GLP Search at www.godlikeproductions.com/searchhandle.php [link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
'Link, Copy, Paste, & Disseminate!'
Matrix
User ID: 144465
Australia
09/21/2006 05:24 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: THE END OF SUMMER DIPLOMACY: ASSESSING U.S. MILITARY OPTIONS ON IRAN by Sam Gardiner, Colonel, USAF (Ret.): COMPLETE PDF or HTML URL (MORE)
If the oil volume supplied starts to decrease due to a global recession, so will the petro dollar windfalls the U.S enjoys, so any further wars in the M.E will only damage America's standing, not secure it. bushpunch mahmoud
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 145403
United Kingdom
09/21/2006 06:48 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: THE END OF SUMMER DIPLOMACY: ASSESSING U.S. MILITARY OPTIONS ON IRAN by Sam Gardiner, Colonel, USAF (Ret.): COMPLETE PDF or HTML URL (MORE)
I huffed and puffed when I saw it was 26 pages (actually only 20), however, it was a thoroughly well researched analysis of the situation.

Thx BMG
BUSH MUST GO  (OP)

User ID: 105879
United States
09/22/2006 12:58 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: THE END OF SUMMER DIPLOMACY: ASSESSING U.S. MILITARY OPTIONS ON IRAN by Sam Gardiner, Colonel, USAF (Ret.): COMPLETE PDF or HTML URL (MORE)
[link to www.worldcantwait.org]

ANNOUNCING A DAY OF MASS RESISTANCE: THURSDAY, OCTOBER 5, 2006 - BRING THIS TO A HALT! THE WORLD CAN'T WAIT! DRIVE OUT THE BUSH REGIME!

"People look at all this and think of Hitler - and they are right to do so. The Bush regime is setting out to radically remake society very quickly, in a fascist way, and for generations to come.

We must act now; the future is in the balance."

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]


ALSO SEE:


THE END OF SUMMER DIPLOMACY: ASSESSING U.S. MILITARY OPTIONS ON IRAN by Sam Gardiner, Colonel, USAF (Ret.): COMPLETE PDF or HTML URL (MORE)

"As an obvious consequence of the instability resulting from a U.S. strike, the price of oil almost certainly will spike. The impact will depend on how high and how long. The longer the conflict goes, the higher the price. A former Kuwaiti oil minister privately suggested a plateau of $125 per barrel. Confidential analysis by a major European bank suggests it would level off at $130, and a very conservative estimate would be over $200.

With prices surging to this level, third order consequences become apparent. The most obvious would be a global, synchronized recession, intensified by the existing U.S. trade and fiscal imbalances. Another political consequence would be that oil exporting countries outside the region would enjoy significant surges in revenue from higher prices. As a result, countries such as Venezuela and Russia would enjoy expanded influence while the West would be reeling from recession."

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]


***** THE BUSHES & THE TRUTH ABOUT IRAN by Robert Parry *****

"The American people will be kept in the dark about their own history, like the subjects of some hereditary dynasty. Without the facts, they also face the possibility of being more easily manipulated by emotional appeals devoid of informed debate.

That moment has come sooner than many expected..."

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
'Link, Copy, Paste, & Disseminate!'





GLP