Earthquake 6.5+ predicted for June 16 due to asteroids swarming Earth

Keep taking your meds you idiot.

Interesting. Ignore the nay sayers.

My prediction theads had always attacted naysayer comments but my high degree of accuracy shut them up, almost. It hard to debate the facts.

And that is.... every date that had NEA counts of 13+ correlated with a big quake on that day or within a day and every date with less than 9 NEAs made no big quake.

And since the number of currently know NEAs can be looked up for future dates it affords one the ability to predict significant quake dates, as I have in my old threads

Couple of years ago I was tracking the number of NEA (Near Earth Asteroids) approaching Earth each day and making earthquake predictions based on my theory that when the daily count is high there is an increased likelihood of a significant quake.

I posted my predictions and answered questions about my theory here in GLP which you can search.

Few days ago I revisited my theory looking up the NASA and USGS data to see if the theory still works. Here is what I discovered...

Every quake from April 1 to May 20 that was 6.5 or greater occurred on dates when the total number of NEAs coming within 0.5 LD of Earth totaled 9 or more.

Here are the nine 6.5+ quakes from April to May 20:

DATE ---------Mag
04/03/16 -- 6.9
04/06/16 -- 6.7
04/07/16 -- 6.7
04/10/16 -- 6.6
04/13/16 -- 6.9
04/15/16 -- 7.0
04/16/16 -- 7.8
04/28/16 -- 7.0
05/18/16 -- 6.8

There were 10 days during this period when the NEA count was 12 or more (up to 17), and on 6 of those 10 days one of the big quakes occurred. The remaining 3 big quake dates had NEA counts of 9 to 11.

Only one day on May 1 there was no big quake yet the daily NEA count was 12.

In contrast, every day that had a count of 8 NEAs or less had none the 9 quakes measuring 6.5+ occur.

Based on this, here are some dates I think have a good chance of being significant quake dates, especially if the current NEA count increases as new asteroids are discovered prior to (and after) these dates:

DATE --------NEA count (currently)
06/01/16 -- 8
06/15/16 -- 8
06/16/16 -- 9
06/19/16 -- 8
07/09/16 -- 9
07/16/16 -- 8
07/22/16 -- 8
07/27/16 -- 11
08/10/16 -- 9
08/14/16 -- 8

Right now the best bets to predict a 6.5+ earthquake is within a day June 15-16 and July 27, followed by July 9th and Aug 10 as candidates.

There are a few other indicators I crunch to narrow down the best dates in the future but have not done that yet, but I will, and will post that soon. Loosely is based on moving averages on the NEA daily counts.

Thread: Earthquake within 24 hours of July 17, 2014 due to asteroids - FAIL - predicted: 6.7+ - reality: 5.9 Southeastern Alaska

Thread: Earthquake within 48 hours due to asteroid swarm - FAIL - predicted: 6.7+ on June 8 +/- 1 day - reality: 5.8 Northern Alaska
...

Highest number of daily NEOS in near future:

Jun 08, 2014 = 8
Jun 14, 2014 = 8
Jun 23, 2014 = 8
Jun 28, 2014 = 9
Sep 22, 2014 = 8
Oct 01, 2014 = 9

*** First thread yes a fail... Only 6.0 that day per USGS

*** Second thread yes June 8 was fail... but in the post I also listed these potential quake dates:



Results?

Jun 14-- HIT-- 6.5 on June 14, with next 6.5+ quake Jun 23...
Jun 23-- 3 HITS -- 3 big quakes of 7.9, 6.9, 6.7 plus three 6.0s that day, plus 6.3 and 6.2 next day on Jun 24 which are largest quakes until June 29...
Jun 28-- 2 HITS -- 2 big quakes of 6.9, 6.7 plus 6.4, 6.2, 6.0 all next day on Jun 29 with no 6.5+ quakes until Jul 04...
Sep 22-- miss, only 6.2 on Sep 24 but largest quake in a week
Oct 01-- miss-- just a 6.0, but only 6.0+ quake during 2 week window

So within 24 hrs of dates with high NEA counts ALL the largest quakes during that period happened, except for Sep 22.

I will comment on the other failed threads you pointed out next.

...

Thread: Largest earthquake in over a month to strike within 48 hours due to asteroid swarm - HIT - predicted: 6.7+ on May 24 +/- 1 day - reality: 6.8 Aegean Sea

Thread: Crazy month for earthquakes! April 27 asteroid and quake connection - FAIL - predicted: April 27 (no mag given but I guess from your usual pattern a 6.7+) - reality: 5.6 Philippine Islands Region

Thread: Earthquake watch next 72 hours due to asteroids Nov 7-8-9, 2013 - FAIL - predicted: significant earthquake Nov. 7 to 9 - reality: 5.7 Southeast of Loyalty Islands (5.7 is not a "significant earthquake").

...

Potential "doom" dates with CURRENT above average (highest) NEO daily counts.

When count rises above 8... quake watch.
(Sometimes the count rises AFTER the date)

11/09/13 -- 8 NEOs
11/11/13 -- 7
11/16/13 -- 8
12/06/13 -- 7
12/18/13 -- 7
01/07/14 -- 7
03/08/14 -- 7
03/16/14 -- 8

At an average there is 1 EQ 6.7+ per month.

Giving 3 dates +/- 1 day makes 12 days in a month of 30 days.

Thus your chance of getting a hit is 2.5.

As I said before: Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

.

In June the 9 biggest quakes were 6.3 plus... All of these quakes occurred within a day of my four June target dates and none of them occurred outside those dates. My target dates covered June 7-8-9-13-14-15-22-23-24-27-28-29 or 12 days. Chances of hit is 12 out of 30 or 40% chance, but 100% of the biggest quakes in June hit on one of the 12 dates.. and none of those largest quakes hit on days not targeted.

And that is.... every date that had NEA counts of 13+ correlated with a big quake on that day or within a day and every date with less than 9 NEAs made no big quake.

Every quake from April 1 to May 20 that was 6.5 or greater occurred on dates when the total number of NEAs coming within 0.5 LD of Earth totaled 9 or more.
And I didn't know that there ever were 9 NEOs on a single day passing between Earth and Moon = 0.5 LD.

When you started this bullshit in 2013/2014, I told you to check for negatives - apparently you didn't learn something.

.

Again: Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
And you ever heard of after shocks?



2014-07-07 - 6.9 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico - # of NEO within 0.5 AU +/- 1d: 4-2-7
2014-07-11 - 6.5 Off East Coast of Honshu, Japan - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 3-7-7
2014-07-21 - 6.6 Fiji Islands Region - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 7-2-5

2014-08-24 - 6.8 Central Peru - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 10-6-6

2014-09-17 - 6.7 Mariana Islands - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 5-8-7

2014-10-09 - 7.0 Southern East Pacific Rise - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 12-6-11
2014-10-14 - 7.2 Off Coast of Central America - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 4-11-7

2014-11-07 - 6.6 New Britain Region, P.N.G. - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 12-9-9
2014-11-15 - 7.0 Northern Molucca Sea - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 9-12-7
2014-11-16 - 6.7 Off E. Coast of N. Island, N.Z. - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 12-7-13
2014-11-21 - 6.5 Northern Molucca Sea - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 9-11-16
2014-11-26 - 6.7 Northern Molucca Sea - # of NEO within 0.5 AU: 10-13-7

Only 3 of the 12 EQ between July and November may meet your 13+ NEO claim.

4 of the 12 EQ definitely prove your claim "no major EQ with less than 9 NEOs" wrong.

Oh, and what major EQ happened on August 14, 2014 - 13 NEOs?
Or on August 16, 2014 - 13 NEOs?
Or on August 30, 2014 - 15 NEOs?
Or on September 1, 2014 - 13 NEOs?
Or on September 29, 2014 - 13 NEOs?
Or on October 18, 2014 - 13 NEOs?
Or on October 29, 2014 - 13 NEOs?
Or on December 14, 2014 - 14 NEOs?

Another FAIL!

No Earthquake 6.5+ and no asteroids swarming Earth that day or this year

The prediction is for June 16, 2016.. since that day has not arrived yet -- WTH are you talking about?

Leaving this here.......
Thread: The Hall Of Fails.
Just in case this DOES go into the Hall of Fails.

2) My statement about "every date that had NEA counts of 13+ correlated with a big quake on that day or within a day and every date with less than 9 NEAs made no big quake. " was for the facts for the April 1 to May 20, 2016 period I had been discussing, not for any and all time frames and not June to Dec 2014. For christs sake. Try harder.

1) What does aftershocks have to do with the fact that ALL the biggest quakes in June 2014 hit on the 12 targeted dates derived for 4 days with highest NEA counts?

When you started this bullshit in 2013/2014, I told you to check for negatives - apparently you didn't learn something.

...

Based on this, here are some dates I think have a good chance of being significant quake dates, especially if the current NEA count increases as new asteroids are discovered prior to (and after) these dates:

DATE --------NEA count (currently)
06/01/16 -- 8
06/15/16 -- 8
06/16/16 -- 9
06/19/16 -- 8
07/09/16 -- 9
07/16/16 -- 8
07/22/16 -- 8
07/27/16 -- 11
08/10/16 -- 9
08/14/16 -- 8

Right now the best bets to predict a 6.5+ earthquake is within a day June 15-16 and July 27, followed by July 9th and Aug 10 as candidates.

...

Update to daily NEA count, new ones were added after the fact and the NEA count for May 31 has reached 8... and there was a 6.4 quake on May 31st.

All earthquakes over 6.0 mag past 30 days:

Date -- mag -- NEA count

06/01/16 -- 6.6 -- 8
05/31/16 -- 6.4 -- 8 -- highest since May 18

05/28/16 -- 7.2 -- 3
05/28/16 -- 6.6 -- 3
05/27/16 -- 6.4 -- 4

05/18/16 -- 6.8 -- 12
05/18/16 -- 6.7 -- 12

*** First thread yes a fail... Only 6.0 that day per USGS

*** Second thread yes June 8 was fail... but in the post I also listed these potential quake dates:



Results?

Jun 14-- HIT-- 6.5 on June 14, with next 6.5+ quake Jun 23...
Jun 23-- 3 HITS -- 3 big quakes of 7.9, 6.9, 6.7 plus three 6.0s that day, plus 6.3 and 6.2 next day on Jun 24 which are largest quakes until June 29...
Jun 28-- 2 HITS -- 2 big quakes of 6.9, 6.7 plus 6.4, 6.2, 6.0 all next day on Jun 29 with no 6.5+ quakes until Jul 04...
Sep 22-- miss, only 6.2 on Sep 24 but largest quake in a week
Oct 01-- miss-- just a 6.0, but only 6.0+ quake during 2 week window

So within 24 hrs of dates with high NEA counts ALL the largest quakes during that period happened, except for Sep 22.

I will comment on the other failed threads you pointed out next.

Today's current NEA daily count for near future dates:
(Above average bolded)

06/05/16 -- 6
06/06/16 -- 7
06/07/16 -- 5
06/08/16 -- 6
06/09/16 -- 5
06/10/16 -- 7
06/11/16 -- 6
06/12/16 -- 3
06/13/16 -- 8
06/14/16 -- 2
06/15/16 -- 8
06/16/16 -- 9
06/17/16 -- 5
06/18/16 -- 4
06/19/16 -- 9