Earthquake 6.5+ predicted for June 16 due to asteroids swarming Earth | |
tucson ranger User ID: 68473522 United States 06/05/2016 11:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TheTruthWorker
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Hydra
User ID: 69249660 Germany 06/06/2016 09:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | asterpids and your hemmoroids have NOTHING to do with earthquakes. It is called PLATE TECTONICS idjit... Quoting: tucson ranger 68473522 How do you explain away the facts? What facts? The facts that EQ 6.5+ occur despite a low number of NEOs? The facts that no EQ 6.5+ occur despite a high number of NEOs? The facts that the average number of NEOs per day is eight, your threshold for 6.5+ EQ? . :ase26122019: Annular Solar Eclipse - December 26, 2019 - Kannur, Kerala, India |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72271913 United States 06/07/2016 06:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | asterpids and your hemmoroids have NOTHING to do with earthquakes. It is called PLATE TECTONICS idjit... Quoting: tucson ranger 68473522 How do you explain away the facts? What facts? The facts that EQ 6.5+ occur despite a low number of NEOs? The facts that no EQ 6.5+ occur despite a high number of NEOs? The facts that the average number of NEOs per day is eight, your threshold for 6.5+ EQ? . 1) Driving sober doesn't mean you won't get in an accident, but driving under the influence increases your chances of having one. 2) Drunk drivers have higher chance of getting in accident but don't always. 3) The average daily NEA count for the PAST is 8. The average for FUTURE daily counts is currently 5 over next 30 days and 4.5 over next 100 days. This is because the daily count grows over time, after the fact, as new objects are added to database sometimes weeks later. Triggers are being above average or the highest. With future dates the highest is 8-9-10+ (above average of 5) which may increase later. For the recent past 12+ is a good trigger (above the average of 8). Look at this chart and tell me you don't see the pattern: CHART: [link to 49918107-946278124331844532.preview.editmysite.com] UPDATE on FUTURE NEO daily counts as of yesterday: 06/06/16 -- 8 06/07/16 -- 6 06/08/16 -- 6 06/09/16 -- 5 06/10/16 -- 8 06/11/16 -- 6 06/12/16 -- 3 06/13/16 -- 9 Next highest 06/14/16 -- 2 06/15/16 -- 8 06/16/16 -- 10 06/17/16 -- 5 06/18/16 -- 4 06/19/16 -- 10 06/20/16 -- 1 06/21/16 -- 6 06/22/16 -- 3 06/23/16 -- 6 06/24/16 -- 2 06/25/16 -- 2 06/26/16 -- 2 06/27/16 -- 6 06/28/16 -- 4 06/29/16 -- 6 06/30/16 -- 4 07/01/16 -- 3 07/02/16 -- 3 07/03/16 -- 3 07/04/16 -- 7 07/05/16 -- 4 Last Edited by TheTruthWorker on 06/07/2016 06:35 PM |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72271913 United States 06/07/2016 06:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | June 13th now has a daily count of 10 |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72271913 United States 06/07/2016 06:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The asteroid – discovered June 4 – is about 20 feet wide and will pass within about 100,000 miles (153,000 km) this afternoon according to clocks in North America. If you’re in North America, it’ll be mid-afternoon today (June 7, 2016) when a small asteroid labeled 2016 LT1 has its extremely close pass near the Earth, reaching a minimum distance inside the moon’s orbit... the asteroid will pass only about 100,000 miles... It’s about 20 feet (6 meters) wide... [link to earthsky.org] (2016 LT1) 2016-Jun-07 20:25 0.38 LD 0.00097 AU [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov] |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72271913 United States 06/07/2016 06:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Asteroid Day 2016: a worldwide event – 30 June 2016 Next 30 June 2016, anniversary of the 1908 Tunguska event, will be internationally celebrated as the “Asteroid Day“: it is “a global awareness movement where people from around the world come together to learn about asteroids and what we can do to protect our planet, our families, communities, and future generations“. [link to www.virtualtelescope.eu] |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72271913 United States 06/07/2016 07:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | New Significant Earthquake June 7th Mag 6.3 in Indonesia 2016-06-07 19:15:16 UTC38.3 km deep [link to earthquake.usgs.gov] UPDATE on recent PAST NEO daily counts: mm/dd/yy --NEAs--Quake Mag 06/07/16 -- 6 -- 6.3 06/06/16 -- 8 06/05/16 -- 6 -- 6.3 06/04/16 -- 5 06/03/16 -- 5 06/02/16 -- 5 06/01/16 -- 9 -- 6.6 05/31/16 -- 10 -- 6.4 Recent significant quakes all within a day of an 8+ NEA count. Next trigger date is June 13 with a current count of 10. What makes an earthquake "significant"? According to USGS, events in their list and shown in red on their real-time earthquake map and list are considered “significant events’, and they are determined by a combination of magnitude, number of Did You Feel It responses, and PAGER alert level. Here is the equation: mag_significance = magnitude * 100 * (magnitude / 6.5); pager_significance = (red) ? 2000 : (orange) ? 1000 : (yellow) ? 500 : 0; dyfi_significance = min(num_responses, 1000) * max_cdi / 10; significance = max(mag_significance, pager_significance) + dyfi_significance; Any event with a significance > 600 is considered a significant event and appears on the list. Last Edited by TheTruthWorker on 06/07/2016 07:55 PM |
TheTruthWorker
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TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72271913 United States 06/10/2016 03:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | June 10 has a current NEA count of 8, above average and likely to increase. We also had a new event added to to USGS significant quake list... 6.1 17km E of Puerto Morazan, Nicaragua 2016-06-10 03:25:22 UTC10.0 km deep [link to earthquake.usgs.gov] UPDATE of Future NEA counts: 06/10/16 -- 8.0 -- trigger -- 6.1 quake 06/11/16 -- 6.0 -- 6 06/12/16 -- 3.0 -- 3 06/13/16 -- 10.0 -- trigger 06/14/16 -- 2.0 -- 2 06/15/16 -- 8.0 -- trigger 06/16/16 -- 10.0 -- trigger 06/17/16 -- 5.0 -- 5 06/18/16 -- 5.0 -- 5 06/19/16 -- 10.0 -- trigger 06/20/16 -- 1.0 -- 1 06/21/16 -- 6.0 -- 6 |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72367726 United States 06/11/2016 01:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Mag 5.2 20km NNW of Borrego Springs, CA 2016-06-10 08:04:38 (UTC) [link to earthquake.usgs.gov] |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72367726 United States 06/11/2016 01:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPDATE to PAST daily NEA counts: 6/10/16 -- 10 -- Trigger - 6.1 & 5.2 quakes 6/9/16 -- 7 6/8/16 -- 6 6/7/16 -- 7 - 6.3 quake 6/6/16 -- 8 -- Trigger 6/5/16 -- 6 - 6.3 quake 6/4/16 -- 5 6/3/16 -- 6 6/2/16 -- 5 6/1/16 -- 9 -- Trigger - 6.6 quake 5/31/16 -- 10 -- Trigger - 6.4 quake Next trigger date is June 13 with currently 10 NEAs |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72367726 United States 06/11/2016 01:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | On June 10th a 2nd significant quake was added to the USGS list: Quoting: TheTruthWorker Mag 5.2 20km NNW of Borrego Springs, CA 2016-06-10 08:04:38 (UTC) [link to earthquake.usgs.gov] Thread: HOLY SHIT!!! Earthquake swarm in So Cal! |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72367726 United States 06/13/2016 06:29 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | No significant quakes since June 10th (and last high NEA count of 10) but based on above average NEA count for June 13 of 10 currently I am looking for one within next 24 hours. If no quake then looking for 6.5+ quake within a day of June 15-16... likely 2 + quakes during that window of 6.3+ Last Edited by TheTruthWorker on 06/13/2016 06:34 AM |
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TheTruthWorker
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Hydra
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_The_Seer
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nikki nikita
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TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72367726 United States 06/14/2016 05:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Strong Earthquake M6.2 – 92km NNW of Isangel, Vanuatu Today [link to news.islandcrisis.net] 6.2-magnitude earthquake hits Vanuatu: USGS There are no immediate reports of damage. [link to www.channelnewsasia.com] |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72367726 United States 06/14/2016 05:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPDATE to PAST daily NEA counts: Quoting: TheTruthWorker 6/10/16 -- 10 -- Trigger - 6.1 & 5.2 quakes 6/9/16 -- 7 6/8/16 -- 6 6/7/16 -- 7 - 6.3 quake 6/6/16 -- 8 -- Trigger 6/5/16 -- 6 - 6.3 quake 6/4/16 -- 5 6/3/16 -- 6 6/2/16 -- 5 6/1/16 -- 9 -- Trigger - 6.6 quake 5/31/16 -- 10 -- Trigger - 6.4 quake Next trigger date is June 13 with currently 10 NEAs Largest quake since June 10th trigger day hit: M 6.2 - 98km NNW of Isangel, Vanuatu Time: 2016-06-14 13:49:22 UTC UPDATE: June 10th had a 6.1 and 6.2 UPDATE: June 13th NEA count is now 10 UPDATE: June 15th is now 9, June 16 is still 10 |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72367726 United States 06/14/2016 05:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPDATE on FUTURE daily counts of NEAs: DATE -- NEAs -- Within window +- 24 hours of high count day 06/14/16 -- 2 -- YES -- 6.2 quake 06/14/16 06/15/16 -- 9 -- YES -- High count 06/16/16 - 10 -- YES -- High count 06/17/16 -- 5 -- YES 06/18/16 -- 5 -- YES 06/19/16 - 10 -- YES -- High count 06/20/16 -- 2 -- YES 06/21/16 -- 6 -- 06/22/16 -- 6 -- 06/23/16 -- 7 -- (may become high count) 06/24/16 -- 3 -- 06/25/16 -- 2 -- 06/26/16 -- 2 -- 06/27/16 -- 6 -- 06/28/16 -- 4 -- 06/29/16 -- 7 -- (may become high count) 06/30/16 -- 4 -- 07/01/16 -- 4 -- 07/02/16 -- 3 -- 07/03/16 -- 5 -- 07/04/16 -- 7 -- (may become high count) 07/05/16 -- 5 -- 07/06/16 -- 5 -- 07/07/16 -- 4 -- 07/08/16 -- 5 -- YES 07/09/16 - 11 -- YES -- High count Last Edited by TheTruthWorker on 06/14/2016 08:38 PM |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 72367726 United States 06/15/2016 09:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | UPDATE on FUTURE daily counts of NEAs: DATE -- NEAs -- Within window +- 24 hours of high count day 06/15/16 -- 10 -- YES -- High count 06/16/16 -- 11 -- YES -- High count |
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TheTruthWorker
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TheTruthWorker
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 29717472 United Kingdom 06/16/2016 06:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Couple of years ago I was tracking the number of NEA (Near Earth Asteroids) approaching Earth each day and making earthquake predictions based on my theory that when the daily count is high there is an increased likelihood of a significant quake. Quoting: TheTruthWorker I posted my predictions and answered questions about my theory here in GLP which you can search. Few days ago I revisited my theory looking up the NASA and USGS data to see if the theory still works. Here is what I discovered... Every quake from April 1 to May 20 that was 6.5 or greater occurred on dates when the total number of NEAs coming within 0.5 Here are the nine 6.5+ quakes from April to May 20: DATE ---------Mag 04/03/16 -- 6.9 04/06/16 -- 6.7 04/07/16 -- 6.7 04/10/16 -- 6.6 04/13/16 -- 6.9 04/15/16 -- 7.0 04/16/16 -- 7.8 04/28/16 -- 7.0 05/18/16 -- 6.8 There were 10 days during this period when the NEA count was 12 or more (up to 17), and on 6 of those 10 days one of the big quakes occurred. The remaining 3 big quake dates had NEA counts of 9 to 11. Only one day on May 1 there was no big quake yet the daily NEA count was 12. In contrast, every day that had a count of 8 NEAs or less had none the 9 quakes measuring 6.5+ occur. Based on this, here are some dates I think have a good chance of being significant quake dates, especially if the current NEA count increases as new asteroids are discovered prior to (and after) these dates: DATE --------NEA count (currently) 06/01/16 -- 8 06/15/16 -- 8 06/16/16 -- 9 06/19/16 -- 8 07/09/16 -- 9 07/16/16 -- 8 07/22/16 -- 8 07/27/16 -- 11 08/10/16 -- 9 08/14/16 -- 8 Right now the best bets to predict a 6.5+ earthquake is within a day June 15-16 and July 27, followed by July 9th and Aug 10 as candidates. There are a few other indicators I crunch to narrow down the best dates in the future but have not done that yet, but I will, and will post that soon. Loosely is based on moving averages on the NEA daily counts. Numbers tard |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 64820889 United States 06/16/2016 06:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | On 16 June 2016 at 13:54 UT, the 30 meters large near-Earth asteroid 2016 LK49 will make a close, but safe, encounter with the Earth, coming at 1.2 millions of km from us, that is 3.2 lunar distances. At Virtual Telescope we tried to grab it,as part of our imaging project, involving all the asteroids coming significantly close to the Earth.... [link to www.virtualtelescope.eu] *** Interesting that this is only currently known rock to approach us less than 5 LD over next FUTURE 60 days but in the PAST 60 days there were 30 events... so... they discover a new one about every 2 days *** [link to neo.jpl.nasa.gov] |
TheTruthWorker
(OP) User ID: 64820889 United States 06/16/2016 06:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Research by Richard Binzel, a professor of planetary science at MIT, suggests that many near-Earth asteroids experience a seismic jolt when they pass too close to our planet’s gravitational field. He has proposed a new field of study: asteroid seismology... ASTEROIDS ZIPPING TOO CLOSE TO EARTH CAN EXPERIENCE SEISMIC ACTIVITY [link to www.universetoday.com] Related: [link to science.nasa.gov] *** These articles are about how close approaches to Earth causes quakes on asteroids... But not asteroids causing or triggering quakes on Earth. Is there an "electric universe" connection? If not, why the pattern? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 29717472 United Kingdom 06/18/2016 06:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Couple of years ago I was tracking the number of NEA (Near Earth Asteroids) approaching Earth each day and making earthquake predictions based on my theory that when the daily count is high there is an increased likelihood of a significant quake. Quoting: TheTruthWorker I posted my predictions and answered questions about my theory here in GLP which you can search. Few days ago I revisited my theory looking up the NASA and USGS data to see if the theory still works. Here is what I discovered... Every quake from April 1 to May 20 that was 6.5 or greater occurred on dates when the total number of NEAs coming within 0.5 Here are the nine 6.5+ quakes from April to May 20: DATE ---------Mag 04/03/16 -- 6.9 04/06/16 -- 6.7 04/07/16 -- 6.7 04/10/16 -- 6.6 04/13/16 -- 6.9 04/15/16 -- 7.0 04/16/16 -- 7.8 04/28/16 -- 7.0 05/18/16 -- 6.8 There were 10 days during this period when the NEA count was 12 or more (up to 17), and on 6 of those 10 days one of the big quakes occurred. The remaining 3 big quake dates had NEA counts of 9 to 11. Only one day on May 1 there was no big quake yet the daily NEA count was 12. In contrast, every day that had a count of 8 NEAs or less had none the 9 quakes measuring 6.5+ occur. Based on this, here are some dates I think have a good chance of being significant quake dates, especially if the current NEA count increases as new asteroids are discovered prior to (and after) these dates: DATE --------NEA count (currently) 06/01/16 -- 8 06/15/16 -- 8 06/16/16 -- 9 06/19/16 -- 8 07/09/16 -- 9 07/16/16 -- 8 07/22/16 -- 8 07/27/16 -- 11 08/10/16 -- 9 08/14/16 -- 8 Right now the best bets to predict a 6.5+ earthquake is within a day June 15-16 and July 27, followed by July 9th and Aug 10 as candidates. There are a few other indicators I crunch to narrow down the best dates in the future but have not done that yet, but I will, and will post that soon. Loosely is based on moving averages on the NEA daily counts. Fail |