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6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...

 
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 09:11 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
Thread: Las Vegas Strip manhunt for multiple gunmen, one hour after Mandalay Bay shooting. Have not seen this on GLP yet.

^^^^^^^Insane thread^^^^^^^^
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 09:20 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
John Beilman's Fairport home searched by FBI the day before murder-suicide

[link to www.tennessean.com]
***HELIO***

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10/30/2017 09:26 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
If you look at America as a whole, about 7000 people die per day. Apply that rate to a crowd of 20,000 and you get about 14 people who would die from that group in a month.

But that 7000 a day number is probably mostly old people dying from age... And the concert was mostly young people.

Out of a crowd that size it wouldn't be odd statistically for 1-2 people to die in a month but 6 is quite high.
 Quoting: R. Wordsworth


you are a bit off with your math.

7000 divided by 320 million times 20,000 is 0.4375 person per month.

1 death would be more than TWICE the average death rate.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 72262474


You're mixing up per day and per month...geez
***SUPERFLY***
If we only knew what the fly on the wall knows!!
Ahatmose

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10/30/2017 09:27 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
If you look at America as a whole, about 7000 people die per day. Apply that rate to a crowd of 20,000 and you get about 14 people who would die from that group in a month.

But that 7000 a day number is probably mostly old people dying from age... And the concert was mostly young people.

Out of a crowd that size it wouldn't be odd statistically for 1-2 people to die in a month but 6 is quite high.
 Quoting: R. Wordsworth


Population 18 to 44 = 112,183,705 [link to www.census.gov (secure)]

Population 45 to 64 = 61,952,636

Total 18 to 64 = 175.136.272

Ignoring for now that there is probably more deaths in the over 64 crowns let's just use these numbers ...

7000 ( per day die) / 175,136,272 = 3.9968876350182902146050019838266e-5 deaths per day

20,000 x 3.9968876350182902146050019838266e-5 = 0.8 (rounded per day)

0.8 x 30 (month) = 24 (rounded)

Just saying the odds are strange but not the numbers

Check 24 / 20,000 = 0.0012 / 30 = 0.00004 x 175.136.272

= 7000 (7005 actual rounded)
Ahatmose

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10/30/2017 09:32 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
Here is a breakdown ...

[link to www.cdc.gov (secure)]

.
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 09:32 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
[link to www.wyff4.com]
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 09:39 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
bump
Sungaze_At_Dawn

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10/30/2017 09:46 AM

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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
It's quite a list, isn't it!

Sickening beyond belief.
The Devil tries to convince everyone he doesn't exist.
The state tries to convince everyone they cannot resist.
Do not go quietly into the good night. Rage Rage against the dying light!
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 09:59 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
There’s a lengthy list of folks who died within 2 years of 911, mostly those who saw things contrary to the given story and later those who refused to hush about it. One lady delving into the suspicious death of her husband claims she was threatened (by military men wasn’t it?).
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:00 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
"malley no show"
Feisty Broad

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10/30/2017 10:03 AM

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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
sooner or later were going to have to start fighting back
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75764051


By the time people realize what has happened at the elite levels, it will be far too late. They have already replaced us with human hybrids, and control our realities fully. So, good luck with all that revolution stuff.
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:04 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
fuck it

false flag massacres .. now they're gunning down entire crowds with machine guns

what next ? a 50 cal helicopter gun ?

we need a fucking revolution, we need a military coup ..

gunning down flags of Americans with machine guns ? I might add, they had just joined as a group to sing "America the beautiful" and still these false-flag staging animals had the coldness of heart to gun them down with machine guns

we should have done it after the massacres they staged at high schools and universities

crowds with machine guns that should be the last straw
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:07 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
6 people dead out of 20,000 after a month? Sounds about right.
SmoothSailing

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10/30/2017 10:13 AM

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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
bump
"A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within. An enemy at the gates is less formidable, for he is known and carries his banner openly. But the traitor moves amongst those within the gate freely, his sly whispers rustling through all the alleys, heard in the very halls of government itself. For the traitor appears not a traitor; he speaks in accents familiar to his victims, and he wears their face and their arguments, he appeals to the baseness that lies deep in the hearts of all men. He rots the soul of a nation, he works secretly and unknown in the night to undermine the pillars of the city, he infects the body politic so that it can no longer resist. A murderer is less to fear."
Marcus Tullius Cicero
Chugiakian

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10/30/2017 10:16 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
While not a direct witness, how about the mother of the police officer who was reported as dying from gunshot wounds there? Didn't she die in a freak escalator accident?
Chugiakian
bluebonnet

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10/30/2017 10:20 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
Same thing in JFK killing. Many eyewitnesses died suspiciously and untimely. These are the sea- eye- ah protocols and policies.


[link to www.assassinationresearch.com]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73029773


bigthis
bluebonnet
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:21 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
Has anyone been to a weekend long festival? Fri is 75% full, sat close to 100%, by Sunday less than 50% show up. I doubt there were more than 7000 people at that concert.
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:25 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
Dennis Carver and Lorraine Carver
Car crash and fire
1 in 3,200 in a year
Expected deaths in one month: 0.3

Imagine also the odds of them being named CARVER with the recent release of those Sandy Hook papers with Medical Examiner Carver being part of the hoax.
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:27 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
So they real question is why is Donald trump and the republicans killing all the witnesses

We never saw dead witnesses in Sandy hook when Obama was around
MarPep

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10/30/2017 10:27 AM

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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
If you look at America as a whole, about 7000 people die per day. Apply that rate to a crowd of 20,000 and you get about 14 people who would die from that group in a month.

But that 7000 a day number is probably mostly old people dying from age... And the concert was mostly young people.

Out of a crowd that size it wouldn't be odd statistically for 1-2 people to die in a month but 6 is quite high.
 Quoting: R. Wordsworth


Wasn't the actual crowd in attendance closer to 2000?
_______________
They let me off with a warning and a couple of bullet holes.
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:28 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
Thread: Police shot this person in Las Vegas. Second shooter?


siren2
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:28 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
I notice that the Chad is missing. Imagine that.
X1811

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10/30/2017 10:49 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
What will the death count be in a week?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75724750


By this time next month we can expect several more passing due to unnatural causes.
 Quoting: Cheyenne


Thisfife
All characters and events in this forum --even those based on real people-- are entirely fictional. All celebrity comments are impersonated...poorly. The above post contains coarse language and due to the content it should not be viewed by anyone.
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:51 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
Change name and running scared
ER
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10/30/2017 10:53 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
IT'S 7 WHEN U FIGURE THAT THE REAL CAMPOS IS DEAD OR MISSING AND THE


BIG BURRITO SUCKER FAT CAMPOS IS HELD HOSTAGE BY ROOM SERVICE NOW.....
ER
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10/30/2017 10:54 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
ALSO, WATCH OUT FOR 'ROCKY PALERMO' HE CHANGED HIS TUNE TO SHOOTERS IN THE CROWD...SO HE' ON THE LIST....
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 10:54 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
If you look at America as a whole, about 7000 people die per day. Apply that rate to a crowd of 20,000 and you get about 14 people who would die from that group in a month.

But that 7000 a day number is probably mostly old people dying from age... And the concert was mostly young people.

Out of a crowd that size it wouldn't be odd statistically for 1-2 people to die in a month but 6 is quite high.
 Quoting: R. Wordsworth


My math is a bit different...

335,000,000 million in the USA. At a death rate of 7000, that comes to .000028. Multiply that into 20000 and .41 people on average would die in a month.

But my math is off sometimes
 Quoting: Stumpknocker


Are you using the proper age group for attendees?
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 11:14 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
It's quite a list, isn't it!

Sickening beyond belief.
 Quoting: Sungaze_At_Dawn


Anyone that can't see it for what it is is a moron
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 11:15 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
So they real question is why is Donald trump and the republicans killing all the witnesses

We never saw dead witnesses in Sandy hook when Obama was around
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 15328662


First sentence bump

Second sentence need proof
Anonymous Coward
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10/30/2017 11:15 AM
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Re: 6 Vegas Witnesses Dead or Missing - Imagine the Actuarial Odds...
The Carvers, omg...this is insane--speak the truth and you're dead.





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