All these forecasts are based upon public data and the assumption that the financial system is operating as advertised. In other words the way we are taught in school.

That's not the case. After the 2008 financial collapse Ron Paul was able to get a partial audit of the FED and we found out the FED had secretly loaned European Banks $17 TRILLION dollars.

My question is "What else are they secretly doing?" Are we supposed to believe they aren't doing that sort of thing to keep the system going? Of course they are.

So how in the hell can someone make an accurate forecast when you don't know all the secret financial transactions that are taking place?

You can't.