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THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472

 
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Dorian's cloud pattern is becoming better organized and a CDO appears to be developing, I'm expecting an upgrade to 45 mph at 11am

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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
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better organized...
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
1500 UTC SUN AUG 25 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BARBADOS AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE
GRENADINES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. LUCIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DORIAN.
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472

@hurrtrackerapp
Seguir Seguir @hurrtrackerapp
Mais
JUST IN: The Government of Barbados has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Barbados and a Tropical Storm Watch for St. Vincent and the Grenadines. #Dorian


@hurrtrackerapp
39 seghá 39 segundos
Mais
The Government of St. Lucia has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for St. Lucia. #Dorian
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
FIUStormChaser • a minute ago
Alright now back to Weather, it appears that training will occur today over the South Florida Peninsula as the flow from SW to NE will bring abundant moisture on the decaying trough axis that is a part of 98L.

90L has moved inland, yet showers and storms continue to bubble up offshore. Widespread rain and flooding is possible over the coastal portions of the central gulf coast.

Dorian looks to be maintaining intensity, it is still too far out to understand the impacts for the leewards, PR, DR and Haiti. Small cores can fluctuate in intensity, for now all we can do is wait and see.
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

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Cat 1/2 they say...

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[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
And just two nights ago paul the cat was saying strong headwinds would hinder developement and break it up.

This looks like it could get wicked.
Projected national weather service developement for tropical depression 5

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]


Scary.

00
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77574355


Talking to myself here....

Looks like paul the cat's original forecast is developing.
Paul the cat is Paul Dellegatto from Fox13 Tampa Bay, he is usually more accurate than most of the screaming hyenas from the weather channel and other msm disinformation.

00
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
090
ABNT20 KNHC 251741
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dorian, located several hundred miles east-southeast of
the Lesser Antilles.

Recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation of an
elongated low pressure area centered about 350 miles south-southwest
of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, has become a little better
defined. While the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is
currently poorly organized, environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical or subtropical
cyclone is likely to form within the next few days while the system
moves slowly northeastward well offshore of the southeastern United
States. Interests along the coasts of South and North Carolina
should continue to monitor the progress of this system. The Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft mission scheduled for this
afternoon was canceled. However, another aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system on Monday, if necessary. Additional
information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

&&
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Looking good... [link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
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hiding
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Dorian is developing banding on its eastern side, a sign of shear letting up. If the earlier burst of convection manages to persist, things could become even more interesting. A microwave pass would be nice right about now

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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Sammy Hadi
@SammyHadiWx
#Dorian moving westward across the Atlantic. IMO, this one needs to be watched closely by the Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico and the Leeward Islands. Starting to see that classic S pattern.
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Sammy Hadi
@SammyHadiWx
#Dorian moving westward across the Atlantic. IMO, this one needs to be watched closely by the Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico and the Leeward Islands. Starting to see that classic S pattern.

 Quoting: Luisport


what is classic s pattern ? and how strong do you predict it will get?
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Sammy Hadi
@SammyHadiWx
#Dorian moving westward across the Atlantic. IMO, this one needs to be watched closely by the Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico and the Leeward Islands. Starting to see that classic S pattern.

 Quoting: Luisport


what is classic s pattern ? and how strong do you predict it will get?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77659245


Some models put it as Cat 1/2 on Texas coast, but first to make landfall on south Florida [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

Others say it will die on passing by islands
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
44% chance of Dorian being a 120mph cat 3 hurricane in 72hr according to SHIPS

SHIPS Prob RI for 20kt/ 12hr RI threshold= 8% is 1.5 times climatological mean ( 5.2%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 25kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 34% is 3.1 times climatological mean (10.9%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 30kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 23% is 3.3 times climatological mean ( 6.9%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 35kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 13% is 3.2 times climatological mean ( 3.8%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 40kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 12% is 5.4 times climatological mean ( 2.4%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 45kt/ 36hr RI threshold= 23% is 5.2 times climatological mean ( 4.5%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 55kt/ 48hr RI threshold= 33% is 7.2 times climatological mean ( 4.6%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 65kt/ 72hr RI threshold= 44% is 8.2 times climatological mean ( 5.4%)
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Dorian is running very fast to be a hurricane tomorrow... no shear area.

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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Andy Hazelton
@AndyHazelton
#Dorian looking relatively healthy "under the hood" on a recent SSMIS microwave pass. Nice curved band structure - almost looks like a partial eyewall trying to form.
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Sammy Hadi
@SammyHadiWx
#Dorian moving westward across the Atlantic. IMO, this one needs to be watched closely by the Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico and the Leeward Islands. Starting to see that classic S pattern.

 Quoting: Luisport


what is classic s pattern ? and how strong do you predict it will get?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77659245


Some models put it as Cat 1/2 on Texas coast, but first to make landfall on south Florida [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

Others say it will die on passing by islands
 Quoting: Luisport


..THIS ONE HERE COMIN STRAIGHT UP THRU THE EVERGLADES COULD PUSH WATER ON UP TO ORLANDO!...
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
hiding [link to tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Looks like its gonna unload and weaken over DR.
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Looks like its gonna unload and weaken over DR.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 45800998


looks where?
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
TROPICAL STORM DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
2100 UTC SUN AUG 25 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ST. LUCIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
MARTINIQUE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE ISSUED TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...INTERESTS IN
PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DORIAN.
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
Philip Klotzbach
✔
@philklotzbach
#Dorian has intensified and now has max winds of 50 mph - the strongest tropical cyclone in the Atlantic since Barry on July 14. The last time that the Atlantic had no named storms between July 15 - August 24 with winds >=45 mph was in 1982. #hurricane
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
6 days away for Florida
Time is now to get organized
Gas for the car and generator / propane for the grill
Check the generator / chainsaw


Don’t wait to the last minute !!
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Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472
50mph, 1003mb
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Sammy Hadi
@SammyHadiWx
#Dorian moving westward across the Atlantic. IMO, this one needs to be watched closely by the Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico and the Leeward Islands. Starting to see that classic S pattern.

 Quoting: Luisport


what is classic s pattern ? and how strong do you predict it will get?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77659245


Some models put it as Cat 1/2 on Texas coast, but first to make landfall on south Florida [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]

Others say it will die on passing by islands
 Quoting: Luisport


..THIS ONE HERE COMIN STRAIGHT UP THRU THE EVERGLADES COULD PUSH WATER ON UP TO ORLANDO!...
 Quoting: UH 70817168





GLP