THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 04:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Euro ensembles [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 04:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Dorian is becoming better organized, as banding is developing around it and ahead of the small CDO it's trying to build. This is vital to encasing it from Dry air. If it does this successfully it stands a good chance to survive as shear is light aloft. [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 04:52 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 04:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 As mentioned in the NHC discussion. A slight shift north has occured in the track. [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
humbird
User ID: 73158440 United States 08/26/2019 05:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 [link to twitter.com (secure)] Quoting: Luisport #BREAKING Tropical Depression Five has formed in the Atlantic basin. The NHC expects this to become a hurricane as it moves into the Caribbean. The last time I heard the name Dorian, was the movie The Portrait of Dorian Grey. Is this code for something? or just an odd name choice... ? You are onto something. Because the Portrait was Mandellad into "The Picture Of Dorian Gray."Mandela effects are often multiple. So this storm will have a high strangeness. "Aside from the small band of Forteans scattered around the world, nobody seems to notice all aspects of this phantasmagoria." John Keel |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 05:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77330562 Germany 08/26/2019 06:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 As mentioned in the NHC discussion. A slight shift north has occured in the track. Quoting: Luisport [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] This shift is significant and puts dorian on track to touch Eastern Puerto Rico as cat1 storm The storm is a full degree north of original predictions, again showing it is far too early to trust any of the models. 00 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 06:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 As mentioned in the NHC discussion. A slight shift north has occured in the track. Quoting: Luisport [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] This shift is significant and puts dorian on track to touch Eastern Puerto Rico as cat1 storm The storm is a full degree north of original predictions, again showing it is far too early to trust any of the models. 00 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 06:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Good morning, From the NWS in Melbourne. Labor Day Weekend...All eyes shift to the weekend and the fate of Dorian as tropical moisture approaches the FL peninsula. Have drawn PoPs near climo at 50%, however this may take an upward trend later this week depending on the evolution of the tropical cyclone. Models are still producing various solutions in the fate of Dorian over the next seven days, as it moves WNW across the northeast Caribbean and Greater Antilles, leading to much uncertainty in the forecast. For now, higher moisture is expected to reach FL by Saturday, leading to the potential for a soggy Labor Day weekend. Since any potential impacts are nearly a week away, and the peak of the hurricane season is rapidly approaching, all persons in Florida should closely monitor forecasts and updates this week from both the National Hurricane Center and your local National Weather Service Office. There`s no better time than now to review your hurricane preparedness plan, and make sure you hurricane supply kit is fully stocked and up to date. & |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 06:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 000 WTNT65 KNHC 260956 TCUAT5 Tropical Storm Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 600 AM AST Mon Aug 26 2019 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS... The government of the Netherlands has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Saba and St. Eustatius. SUMMARY OF 600 AM AST...1000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.0N 56.7W ABOUT 200 MI...330 KM ESE OF BARBADOS ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM ESE OF ST. LUCIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 06:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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abrock
User ID: 77817863 United States 08/26/2019 06:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Odd thing, I just checked ICON again and at 120 hours the model shows Dorian just to the NE of Cuba. Earlier when I posted about it shooting the Florida Straits, it showed the storm in the GOM at about 27.36 N, 86.73 W. This is a pretty huge change in 3 hours. Curious to see next run. Was it a computer glitch for the model? Don't know but hoping that's all it was because ICON was amazingly dead on with Barry. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 06:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 06:25 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Odd thing, I just checked ICON again and at 120 hours the model shows Dorian just to the NE of Cuba. Earlier when I posted about it shooting the Florida Straits, it showed the storm in the GOM at about 27.36 N, 86.73 W. This is a pretty huge change in 3 hours. Curious to see next run. Was it a computer glitch for the model? Don't know but hoping that's all it was because ICON was amazingly dead on with Barry. Quoting: abrock [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 06:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 06:56 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Current Intensity Analysis UW - CIMSS ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ADT-Version 9.0 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm ----- Current Analysis ----- Date : 26 AUG 2019 Time : 102021 UTC Lat : 11:57:35 N Lon : 56:40:19 W CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 3.3 / 999.8mb/ 51.0kt Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 3.3 3.5 3.5 Center Temp : -50.3C Cloud Region Temp : -54.5C Scene Type : CURVED BAND with 0.96 ARC in LT GRAY Subtropical Adjustment : OFF Extratropical Adjustment : OFF Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT Weakening Flag : OFF Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs : - Average 34 knot radii : 32nmi - Environmental MSLP : 1012mb Satellite Name : GOES16 Satellite Viewing Angle : 25.6 degrees |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 07:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 07:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 ...COMPACT DORIAN GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED... ...EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY... 8:00 AM AST Mon Aug 26 Location: 12.0°N 57.0°W Moving: W at 14 mph Min pressure: 1002 mb Max sustained: 60 mph |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77949927 United States 08/26/2019 07:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 07:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 ABNT20 KNHC 261146 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 26 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Dorian, located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. An elongated area of low pressure located about 275 miles south- southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina has become a little better organized overnight. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional gradual development, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form later today or Tuesday while the system moves slowly northeastward well offshore of the United States east coast. The reconnaissance aircraft mission for today has been canceled. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown Conflicting outlook. Oh well no recon |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 07:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Current Intensity Analysis UW - CIMSS ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ADT-Version 9.0 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm ----- Current Analysis ----- Date : 26 AUG 2019 Time : 112020 UTC Lat : 12:00:33 N Lon : 56:52:32 W CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 3.4 / 998.5mb/ 53.0kt |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 08:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Florida... [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 08:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Dorian looks frankly incredible this morning, literal classic "hurricane" shape with the two bands and an expanding CDO. The banda should help protect the core from dry air intrusion and allow it to continue strengthening [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77952942 Portugal 08/26/2019 08:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: THE GREAT DORIAN HURRICANE CAT5. 906Mb : Max wave 30.7 m, or 100.7 feet! That matches max wave during the Perfect Storm in 1991!!!p472 Lots of lightening, hot towers and some expansion as well. Looks like a borderline TS to H... [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)] |