Hurricane Humberto: Humberto is now a MAJOR HURRICANE, a Category 3 with 120mph sustained winds. Hurricane warning for Bermuda NOW!!!p14

Humberto on the verge of major status, category 3, if not already

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97L

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Southeast Texas coast may get flooding rains this week

A lackadaisical disturbance just off the Texas coast will be slow to move inland this week, resulting in a multi-day threat of heavy rains across southeast Texas. NHC gives the system a 20% chance of becoming a tropical depression before it comes ashore late Tuesday or Wednesday, later than originally expected. Data from the European model ensemble suggests that rainfall could add up to the 10-20” range somewhere close to the Houston area, obviously a worrisome prospect for this flood-weary area. GFS ensemble amounts are closer to the 5-10” range. In any case, rainfall rates of 2-4” per hour are a safe bet, and flash flooding will be a distinct possibility. It’s too soon to nail down which periods will see the heaviest rainfall and exactly where.

The National Weather Service office in Houston/Galveston offered this advice in its Monday afternoon forecast discussion: “There will be changing, potentially large run-to-run swings of model solutions. Don`t focus on just one. Just know the overall conditions are favorable for heavy rain which could cause flooding.”
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Just a reminder this was the model in 2017 for Harvey

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It's heading out to sea, doom off.

Thank God!

OMG! Now 45 inches for eastern Texas...

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Humberto is out in the ocean. Major hurricane that isn't going to nothing but spin around in the ocean. We're fine. Stop panicking.

Who is paniking??? We are folowing this event, just that!

Thread: TS Imelda: NEW: Flash Flood Warnings issued for Beaumont/Port Arthur, TX!!!p17

THIS IS NOW 'THE SHIT'!

...FUCK HUMMBERTOE THE SPEEDY GONZALEZ OUT OF HERE...MOSTLY...MOST-LY...

Dorian was a warning of things to come

and now TD 10...

THIS IS "IT" 'NOW' PEOPLE!....DISASTER FOR TEX AND MEX !

Thread: LORENZO HURRICANE: Storm Lorenzo path – UK braces for 65mph winds as dozens of flood alerts issued!!!p19

Humberto continues to strengthen as it heads toward Bermuda

Hurricane Hunters found flight-level winds of 110 mph on Tuesday morning in Hurricane Humberto, prompting the National Hurricane Center to upgrade Humberto to a Category 2 storm with top surface winds of 100 mph. As of 11 am EDT, Humberto was just over 500 miles west of Bermuda, moving east-northeast at 8 mph. Humberto’s central pressure was 961 mb, which would typically correspond to stronger peak surface winds. However, the pressure gradient driving the winds was spread out over a larger area than usual. Hurricane-force winds now extend up to 50 nautical miles (57 miles) southeast of Humberto’s center, with tropical-storm-force winds extending up to 150 nm (172 mi). This zone of high winds will affect Bermuda even though Humberto’s center and eyewall will likely pass well northwest of the territory. The latest NHC forecast brings Humberto’s center to within about 60-70 miles northwest of Bermuda. Large swells will affect the island as well as much of the Southeast U.S. coast.

The 0Z ensemble runs of the GFS and European models agree that Humberto will continue out to sea later next week, with a slight northward jog on Thursday and Friday. As it passes over unusually warm waters for its latitude and gets a boost from upper-level jet dynamics, Humberto could reach major hurricane status on Wednesday, as consistently predicted by the HWRF model, one of the best tools for intensity prediction in the 24- to 48-hour range.
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What if Bermuda gets leveled like the Bahamas?