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possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market

 
Mental Case

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09/18/2019 05:11 PM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
And to to the guy who said "let them fail" keep in mind if the bank that has your money fails, then you won't have access to it.

-------------------

Great point! But it's even bigger than that!

If banks aren't signing "letters of credit" then cargo ships wont get unloaded...then no items in the stores.

You desperately needed brake pads that come from hong kong? Tough fuckin' noogies!

NO DRIVING FOR YOU!
If I am going to be damned...I am going to be damned for who I really am!
Anonymous Coward
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09/18/2019 07:38 PM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Notice this is happening in a Blue State...

Who's next....

Illinois, California...
 Quoting: DuckNCover


Not too educated on the Federal Reserve, eh? It's ok, there's a lot of ignorant people out there.

The NY Fed has nothing to do with red/blue states. The NY Fed conducts the Federal Reserve System's open market operations. It's the real mothership of the FRS while the DC office is mostly window dressing.
Anonymous Coward
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09/19/2019 06:08 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
another 75 BILLION this morning,,

well, prepare as you are able.
Anonymous Coward
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09/19/2019 06:28 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
5 stars

Pine it
Monty Python

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09/19/2019 08:54 AM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
For a second day, the New York Fed spent billions to calm the financial market

The Fed on Wednesday poured another $75 billion into the market following a $53 billion rescue by the NY Fed on Tuesday. Overnight lending rates have suddenly spiked, and the Fed is acting to bring them back down to keep markets functioning smoothly.
Until this week, the Fed hadn't launched an operation like this since 2008.

 Quoting: [link to www.cnn.com (secure)]


Last Edited by Monty Python on 09/19/2019 08:54 AM
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Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/19/2019 11:24 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Nice post OP. Thanks
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77754923


sure. And thanks for the pin, GLP!!!
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/19/2019 11:29 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
This only happens when banks stop lending to each other.

Banks only stop lending to each other when they need to hang on to cash or they fear the borrower will default.

This is big...and not in a good way!
 Quoting: Mental Case

Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/19/2019 11:30 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
...


If Corporations filed an extension, that was due this week I believe?

If that were the case, unless tax laws changed drastically, we would see this as a pattern this time of year?
 Quoting: Bodhi Sita


Yes corporate deadline for 2018 tax return was Monday the 16th but that was also the day to pay in the 3rd quarterly estimated tax payment toward 2019. Still not sure this would cause a 53 billion dollar shortage of money. And to to the guy who said "let them fail" keep in mind if the bank that has your money fails, then you won't have access to it.
 Quoting: Eleven 11


^^^This^^^ Glad to see someone else point out the significance of what this will mean for everyone who has a mortgage and/or other bills to pay to creditors. All one has to do is look at what they did in Greece. If this happens here, any money you have in the bank will no longer be accessible. In Greece, the money was outright stolen from accounts. Unfortunately, we have become so reliant on this system that to "let them fail" is something no one should seriously want to see happen.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77713188

IF rates go to zero or below which Trump is advocating, You will have your money stolen from your banks accounts.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25026387


well said!!
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/19/2019 11:32 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
causing overnight collateral rates to spike: hitting over 8%!

-----------------

HO-LY SHIT! 8% is massive in todays markets...insane!
 Quoting: Mental Case

Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/19/2019 11:33 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Investors take for granted that the Federal Reserve controls interest rates. Rarely do they have to think about how.

But a surprisingly lively couple of days in short-term money markets has meant that the “how” became nearly as important as the “why.”

The stress started on Monday in the market for repurchase agreements, or repos. The repo market channels more than $1 trillion in funds through Wall Street every day, usually without fanfare. That money is used to pay for the day-to-day operations of big banks and hedge funds.

Then the Fed’s key interest rate, known as the federal funds rate, hit 2.3 percent on Tuesday. That’s above the central bank’s target, and the rise reflected unexpected strains.
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The central bank on Wednesday lowered interest rates by a quarter percentage point as part of its effort to ensure that the economic expansion continues. It also announced steps to make sure short-term interest rates do what it wants, saying that it would cut what it pays banks for their excess reserves.

And on Thursday, for the third time this week, the Fed pumped billions into the financial markets to push rates lower.

In the past, when the repo markets managed to make headlines, it was in exceptional episodes of market stress — for instance, in the early days of the financial crisis.


[link to www.nytimes.com (secure)]
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Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/19/2019 11:35 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Bank reserves are normally obscure, even to bankers and professional investors. But this week they have hit the news when a shortage of them caused a key measure of borrowing costs—known as the overnight repo rate—to spike. That is a worry because typically these more wonky areas of finance only become interesting when something is going wrong.

The overnight repo rate, which is what banks and other financial players charge each other to lend cash in exchange for supersafe bonds, should be close to 2%, but it shot up almost as high as 10% on Tuesday. One of the underlying causes of this is a scarcity of reserves compared with the amount of Treasury bonds in the market. That has made banks less willing to lend to each other even in exchange for safe government bonds.

To settle markets down, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has dipped into this market, conducting three auctions this week where banks could swap Treasurys (or bonds from institutions like Fannie Mae ) for new reserves. It conducted a third auction on Thursday morning and offered $75 billion in repos.

Here is a simplified rundown of what reserves are and how they have come to matter.

What are reserves?

Not many people realize this, but there are two basic types of money in the world. There is central bank money, which is known as reserves, and there is money that the rest of us use.

Central bank money can only be used by banks, governments and some government-linked institutions. They have this money in accounts at the central bank, where it is called “reserves.” The money that the rest of us use is private money that is created by ordinary banks. There is also some special central bank money that everyone can use: The notes and coins in our wallets.

....reserves have been shrinking because of the reversal of QE, increased government borrowing in the Treasury market and a recent wave of tax payments, among other things.

One key cause of the crunch in overnight lending markets is that there are more Treasurys around than banks want to own, but some banks are still being forced to buy them. These are the so-called primary dealers who buy Treasurys from the government and then sell them to investors.

If banks don’t want to spend their own reserves to buy Treasury bonds, they have to borrow those reserves from elsewhere. They can do that directly in specialist bank-only markets, or they can try to borrow private money in overnight lending markets, where rates spiked this week.

That is why the short-term fix has been for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to offer to take some of those Treasurys in exchange for new reserves. The longer-term solution could be a more permanent arrangement where the Fed conducts regular auctions—unless it turns out that the problem isn’t just with banks, but that there is a real need for funding coming from somewhere else in the system that hasn’t yet been identified.

[link to www.wsj.com (secure)]

Last Edited by Digital mix guy Spock on 09/19/2019 11:37 PM
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Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/19/2019 11:38 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Chaos in short-term funding markets this week led the Federal Reserve to step in with a series of overnight rescue operations to help keep credit flowing through the financial system.

Here are five things to know about gyrations in overnight lending rates, which several times in the past week spiked to almost 10%. The strain forced the Fed to open three daily borrowing facilities, so far, to add juice to funding markets.

Thursday morning’s $75 billion operation was the latest effort, bringing short-term borrowing rates on less risky collateral to about 1.8% to 1.95% in afternoon trade, according to Russ Certo, Brean Capital’s head of rates products.

That put borrowing levels within the desired range set forth by the Fed’s rate-setting committee, which voted Wednesday to cut the federal-funds rate to a 1.75% to 2% range and trim 5 basis points off the rate it pays banks to excess reserves at the central bank, or IOER, to 1.80%.
Who is bearing the brunt of higher repo rates?

Broker-dealers, hedge funds and other institutional investors who rely on leverage to run their operations are seeing the biggest impact of higher overnight repo rates, said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont, which in May became one of 24 primary dealers in the U.S. Treasury debt market.

“The repo market is the market where people running leveraged positions borrow,” Stanley told MarketWatch in an interview. “Obviously, that doesn’t apply to 401(k) funds or mutual funds, where you are investing real money without leverage.”

[link to www.marketwatch.com (secure)]
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Mental Case

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09/19/2019 11:41 PM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
OK, now I'm reading it's gone from 8% to 10%.

A large bank MUST be on the edge of collapse...and who ever has exposure to that bank is in serious trouble...and nobody knows which banks have exposure to the big bank that's on the edge...so nobody wants to lend to anybody.

That's the only thing that makes sense.

I feel like Wile E. Coyote with my tiny umbrella up.

Last Edited by Mental Case on 09/19/2019 11:43 PM
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Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/19/2019 11:52 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
OK, now I'm reading it's gone from 8% to 10%.

A large bank MUST be on the edge of collapse...and who ever has exposure to that bank is in serious trouble...and nobody knows which banks have exposure to the big bank that's on the edge...so nobody wants to lend to anybody.

That's the only thing that makes sense.

I feel like Wile E. Coyote with my tiny umbrella up.
 Quoting: Mental Case


yup. let's keep on top of this!! thanks for your comments here!
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/19/2019 11:55 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Thread: the most important issue in the world??!!! will the dollar remain as the world's reserve currency??!!!
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Anonymous Coward
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09/20/2019 12:07 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
OK, now I'm reading it's gone from 8% to 10%.

A large bank MUST be on the edge of collapse...and who ever has exposure to that bank is in serious trouble...and nobody knows which banks have exposure to the big bank that's on the edge...so nobody wants to lend to anybody.

That's the only thing that makes sense.

I feel like Wile E. Coyote with my tiny umbrella up.
 Quoting: Mental Case


Any guesses as to which?

Softbank
Deutschebank
HSBC
Banco Santander
An American bank?
Mental Case

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09/20/2019 12:08 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
We usually find out on a friday evening, so the FDIC can have the matter settled by monday morning market open.

I'm not saying it will be tomorrow...but it's almost always a friday evening that they march into the banks & shut it down.
If I am going to be damned...I am going to be damned for who I really am!
Mental Case

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09/20/2019 12:11 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
My guess (and it's only a guess) is DB (Deutschebank).

The problem is what banks have exposure to DB and how much exposure? It's probably many MANY banks! And how bad will each bank be hurt by DBs collapse?

Then if a few of those banks collapse because of it...which banks had exposure to THOSE banks (and the dominos start falling).
If I am going to be damned...I am going to be damned for who I really am!
Mental Case

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09/20/2019 12:25 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
One thing we have going for us is the spot price of gold has not gone insane. It's staying relatively flat at $1500.

If you see gold go up $100 (or more) in a day...it's time to raise your eyebrows.
If I am going to be damned...I am going to be damned for who I really am!
Anonymous Coward
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09/20/2019 12:30 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Are they going to crash the markets before the war?
 Quoting: Ostria1


There isn't going to be a war. More sanctions.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78003865


Let's hope.
Anonymous Coward
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09/20/2019 12:30 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
One thing we have going for us is the spot price of gold has not gone insane. It's staying relatively flat at $1500.

If you see gold go up $100 (or more) in a day...it's time to raise your eyebrows.
 Quoting: Mental Case


You might not get that much warning. Gold could go up thousands in an hour.
Anonymous Coward
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09/20/2019 01:03 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
They are protecting their own interests, didn't they buy up a lot of stuff in the BO administration?
Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/20/2019 09:18 AM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
bump
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Mental Case

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09/20/2019 11:14 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
You might not get that much warning. Gold could go up thousands in an hour.

-----------

If that happens I hope you got food preps at home!!!

It'll be time to hit the vending machines...they wont know the dollar has collapsed!
If I am going to be damned...I am going to be damned for who I really am!
Mental Case

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09/20/2019 11:15 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
I was driving & caught a little bit of glen beck on the radio (yeah I know)...

He said the FED did it again last night :(
If I am going to be damned...I am going to be damned for who I really am!
Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/22/2019 10:57 AM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Bump
Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP
Monty Python

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09/22/2019 07:54 PM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Fed Admits Failure of ‘Plan A’ to Control Money Market Rates, Shifts Back to Repos (which was ‘Plan A’ till 2008)

With its announcement this morning, the New York Fed confirmed that the Fed’s Plan A of manipulating the federal funds rate into its target range – now between 1.75% and 2.0% — has miserably failed, and that it will switch to Plan B to control short-term interest rates. But this Plan B used to be Plan A that the Fed had routinely deployed to control short-term interest rates before the Financial Crisis. So back to the future.

<snip>

These overnight interest-bearing loans unwind the next morning, with the Fed getting its $75 billion in cash back, and the dealers getting their collateral back. As these operations were undertaken every day for the past four days, it’s essentially the same $75 billion that gets recycled every day. The daily amounts are not additive. And these operations have nothing to do with QE.
 Quoting: [link to wolfstreet.com (secure)]


Last Edited by Monty Python on 09/22/2019 08:00 PM
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Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2019 08:17 PM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
This only happens when banks stop lending to each other.

Banks only stop lending to each other when they need to hang on to cash or they fear the borrower will default.

This is big...and not in a good way!
 Quoting: Mental Case


Theyre gonna crash the mkt n blame trump. Declass is coming.
 Quoting: Phennommennonn


BINGO

NAILED IT
Digital mix guy  (OP)

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09/23/2019 12:23 AM

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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
Related..


[link to www.bloomberg.com (secure)]
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Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2019 12:36 AM
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Re: possible financial market alert: New York Fed spends $53 billion to rescue the overnight lending market
epiclol





GLP