Netanyahu will make his likely exit as painful, prolonged and destructive as possible:





Less than 50%:


Assuming that in the next two weeks no government can be formed and Netanyahu's Likud party doesn't abandon him to form a national unity government with Benny Gantz's Blue and White Party, or contest the next elections minus Netanyahu, Israel will go to a third election, probably in March, with Netanyahu as the Likud's leading candidate.
Israeli law states that an indicted prime minister -- as opposed to an ordinary minister -- does not need to resign until there's a conviction, though the attorney general may rule next week on motions arguing that an indicted prime minister should not be allowed to form a government.
As unimaginable and unbelievable as it seems, Netanyahu could run again, conceivably win and try to defend himself during a trial while leading the country. It's worth noting that former Prime Minister Ehud Olmert was indicted in 2009 (he had resigned by then) and it wasn't until 2016 that his conviction was upheld. He then served 16 months of a 27-month prison sentence. That was a seven-year process.



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