Ezekiel Storm Update: Debris Flow Warning includes parts of Santa Barbara & Goleta in/below the CaveFire into Tuesday AM w/ heavy rain!!!

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

The main adjustment to the forecast was to the hazard grids for
the Flash Flood Watch and Winter Storm Warning to better reflect
areas impacted as snow levels lower.

For mountains below 5500
feet, the initial threat will be mainly heavy rainfall and the
potential for flash flooding with the initial heavy snow threat at
elevations mostly above 5500 feet.

As snow levels lower, the
threat at mountain elevations will gradually transition from
heavy rainfall to heavy snowfall.

The decrease in showers may be a little faster for Friday into
Friday evening than shown in the currently forecast, but the
current forecast remains little changed for now.

Another low pressure system for the weekend may remain just far
enough off the coast to limited precipitation mainly to Los
Angeles County inland. That low pressure system could eventually
bring some precipitation to more of far southwestern California
early next week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Dry weather will continue into this evening. A major winter storm
system will bring widespread heavy rainfall and mountain snowfall
at times for late tonight through Friday. Mountain areas below
5500 feet will transition from a heavy rainfall with possible
flash flooding threat, to a heavy snowfall threat as snow levels
lower.

The initial cold front is expected move through southwestern
California on Wednesday with precipitation rates briefly heavy.
A second round of more significant precipitation is expected for late
Wednesday night into Thanksgiving Day along with a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Showers will continue for Thursday night and
gradually decrease in coverage on Friday. Rainfall rates of one-
half inch or more per hour are possible in stronger showers and
isolated thunderstorms, especially for late Wednesday night
through Thanksgiving Day.

Rainfall at lower elevations and liquid equivalent at higher
elevations through Friday is expected to range from 1 to 1.5
inches near the coast, 1.5 to 2.5 inches in the valleys, and 2.5
to 4 inches in the mounains with locally greater amounts, with one
half to one inch in the deserts.

Snow levels will lower from around 5500 feet on Wednesday, to 4500
to 5000 feet for Wednesday night into Thanksgiving Day, and 3000
to 3500 feet for Thursday night into Friday. Total snowfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are expected between 4000 and 4500
feet, 6 to 18 inches from 4500 to 5500 feet, and from 1 to 3 feet
above 5500 feet. Snowfall for lower elevations below 4000 feet of
1 to 3 inches, mostly for late Thursday through Friday.

&&

Thank you Luisport,,,,,
Many people to be affected by this, and I pray they stay safe, with all the travel etc.

:58tt:

Your posts are greatly appreciated Luis!

Just a normal winter storm, nutten here move on...

Calm down and take a pill dude, you're wayyyyy toooo excited

So we are going to get rain.
They will still say we are in a drought.