Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315

You are loved. Just keep swimming.

The overall visitor chaos is down to holiday weekend levels instead of peak summer levels. So, I've got a good 30% of my peace back.

Caddyshack!!!

Just keep floating. It’s the best we can do.....

Maintenance is here. And he is regular masked up. And I blocked off Everything. So I only have two rooms to wipe down.

Stress Level Biblical....but we have Sesame Street and y’all. Could be worse.

That's going to have a significant economic impact in those developed nations that had a significant footprint in the air travel industry.

In the US our postal service does not have its own fleet of planes, they depend on commercial airlines for package and mail movement. With major schedule reductions more packages have to move by truck which significantly slows delivery of anything shipped via USPS.

It's pretty tough to know what the world is going to look like 4 years from now even without a global pandemic caused by a novel and mysterious virus.

I wonder if they'd be willing to make a dunce cap wager on that one?

CDC changes 7-17-2020 for healthcare return to work.... do not have confidence in this, seems based on testing supplies.... but nhl can have all the tests they want. Stoopid burns.

“Except for rare situations, a test-based strategy is no longer recommended to determine when to allow HCP to return to work.”

[link to www.cdc.gov (secure)]

God help us...

Public Woof Announcement

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Basic premise of new policy is that after 15 days from symptom onset, even though you may still be shedding viral RNA it's not actually infectious viral particles.

So new rule is regardless of test results, they can return to work 20 days after symptom onset, or if asymptomatic 20 days after first positive test.

Has anyone seen or heard from JypsieWind? She has not been on in almost a month...

Yah. That feels like less for the folks that step in poop constantly

Versus

The circuses that are testing two to three times per person per week.....

That doesn’t make me feel comfortable.

This isn’t an easy road.

Which reminds me....

GuyThu! Goofy Laughs.... order up!

[link to imgur.com (secure)]

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More scientists who say the virus will be here for a long time

Even with vaccine, ‘We will be dealing with this forever’: Virus experts Frieden, Osterholm

Frieden said expect the current living situation to last for another 8-12 months at minimum.

Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research & Policy at the University of Minnesota, said it is estimated that 7% to 9% of the total U.S. population has been infected with coronavirus, and that means the worst is yet to come. He said the best understanding in the medical field is that transmission will not slow down until 50% to 70% of the population is infected. “The pain, suffering, death and economic pain we’ve had to date — that’s 7% to 9% of the U.S. population. We’ve got a long way to go,” Osterholm said.

“Most businesses in the country will be hard-pressed to operate in a way they want to schedule when we have ‘houses on fire’ in our communities,” said Osterholm. “I understand the pain and economic suffering, but I don’t see any way we get numbers down regionally. We’ve got to stop this virus activity or there will be fear we will see these peaks, but every time it goes down, it plateaus at a higher level and just comes back again. In many communities in this country, I see no way to operate as they once did.”

In fact, both experts believe Covid-19 is here to stay.

“We will be dealing with this forever,” Osterholm said.

“Covid is here to stay,” added Frieden.

[link to www.cnbc.com (secure)]

Reminded me of something else I had read that gets affected by lack of flights. Weather forecasts!

[link to www.express.co.uk (secure)]

(@FirstSquawk)

FLORIDA TOTAL CORONAVIRUS DEATHS UP 191 ON TUE., THE HIGHEST SINGLE-DAY INCREASE SINCE PANDEMIC STARTED.



New cases: 9243 (effectively the same amount as last Tuesday)

Thread status is certainly CRUCIAL, eh?
Translation...if you think anything about this is fun you're a sick puppy.

The switch of data from the CDC to HHS may be able to disguise things for a little while, and keep the nothingburger crowd happily doing their thing and acting as vectors ... but the increase in hospitalizations, disability, and death will become very, very evident in coming weeks, I think. No matter how hard TPTB try to hide this scourge, they won't be able to do it for long.

Morning, everyone. I'm checking in before heading out to the nursery where I do bird care .... and then working from home for the day. My sleep schedule has been wacky .... I slept all day yesterday, woke up at 6 in time for a 7 pm Zoom meeting, and decided to spend the night doing some much needed organizing, and checking news in between. Now, it's time to begin a work day at a normal time in the morning, and hope I am tired enough to sleep tonight.

Love you all, and hope you are staying safe.

Critical Update 07.28.2020

Just finished a comparative analysis of COVID statistics between a county in Texas and counties in Virginia.

The results are remarkably the same:

Of those who test positive, approximately 1.1%-1.4% of them die.

Approximately 5%-8% of those who test positive end up hospitalized.

Of those who are hospitalized, approximately 22% of them die and leave the hospital in a body bag.

Extrapolated to the entire United States population, even assuming 60%-80% of the population is naturally immune, the numbers become quite large and indicate that the pandemic has only reached 10% of its inevitable outcome.

- Jackal

Not crucial, but he deserves it. I wouldn’t had been as prepared.

And if you think I am sick because I can remain calm and see the epic cosmic, unfortunately, morbid jokes.....that’s your issue. And I am sorry that you don’t see the care and kindness I put into 95% of my posts. But again that’s your problem....not mine.

I hope you have a blessed day.

Enjoy! You are loved as well. Stay safe.

I have not, GG, sorry.

60 to 80 % immunity assumption is extremely large.....

Oooo. Really hope they are still doing research into the lurking issues. That’s going to bite a lot of folks in the bottom.

Okay thanks. And LIVE IT UP!

Yes, it is. I try to be extremely generous with my assumptions. That being said, it does seem that the virus transmission slows extremely once about 28% of the population is infected which could support the theory of 72%-84% natural immunity.

I also purposefully neglected reinfection or double/triple infection in my calculations as a large scale effect from these has not yet been able to be empirically observed.

But if it is true that those recovered lose immunity after a few months and then are subjected to the same odds over and over again, the end state will have a compounding effect.

And well, in that case, the future looks very grim indeed.

- Jackal