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Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315

 
Serenity Now

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11/17/2020 07:39 PM

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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
DUTCHY, do u have any research handy that tells us how long the virus survives in air with the colder temps? we kknow it lates longer on surfcaes,but did anyone run scenarios for tha cold air?

was thinking of this today as ppl walk out of stores and remove the masks. that virus doesn't die fast like it would in summer with sun and heat.
 Quoting: JAZZz50


Pretty sure in here somehwere, I posted a link to a website that would calculate the time in the site based on temp and humidity.
 Quoting: Guythu



Oh good. We'll wait right here while you go dig that up. (Jk.) chuckle
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Guythu

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‘Standing Up For Our Patients’: Nearly 800 St. Mary Medical Center Nurses On Strike Over Alleged Staffing Issues, Wages As COVID-19 Cases Soar

[link to philadelphia.cbslocal.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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Watching hard talk on bbc1 the host is getting ripped. He hasn’t got a clue haha mental covax initiative
Serenity Now

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11/17/2020 07:49 PM

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...


Well that ain’t going to happen. But along with herd immunity tho short lived immunity i put it at 45-60% need to take the vaccine. With other factors like shielding could knock it down again to 30-40% needing to take the vaccine.
Dutchy what do you reckon.
 Quoting: antivirus201


Need to push R<1. So with a wild R of 2.5-3.5 you need 60-72% of the population immune at any time to get it stable (R=1) and a bit higher to get it below 1. Statistically most clusters would death-end before gaining traction at that point. So if we assume ~10-20% having natural immunity you have roughly 40-62% to go, at 90% efficacy you need 44-68.2% of population vaccinated.

But it's subject to the assumptions of wild R, natural immunity being present in all infected population etc. Ranges given are about what I feel safe to assume now.
 Quoting: Dutchy20



I understand the math and reasoning behind the above, but someone please explain to me (and I'm being serious, not snarky) how they can call it a vaccine when you can still get Covid?

I know they said the people in the study who got Covid didn't have SEVERE symptoms, but that implies that they did indeed have symptoms. Don't MOST people have less than severe symptoms? The probability would seem high that those people in the study would have had the same outcome WITHOUT the vaccine.

This just seems like a pre-treatment, if anything. Kind of like Spray and Wash. chuckle
 Quoting: Serenity Now


Vaccine is not a cure or a pre-cure. It's a controlled infection that is hopefully less severe and tricks the body into having a immune response equal to what it would have from natural infection.

It's like a practice fight with wooden swords you are less likely to get wounded and hopefully you won't stand there and pee yourself when the real one's come into play.
 Quoting: Dutchy20



Not arguing, but I didn't use the word cure or even pre-cure. I used the term pre-treatment on purpose, because I think treatment and cure are two very different things.

The vaccines that are tried and true do not stand on hoping that the disease will be less severe (ie, measles, mumps, rubella, dip-tet, etc). That was my main point.

But the sword analogy was good.
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Oh the bad decisions......

Serenity Now

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Their rationale is flawed....

They are still operating on mild cases not being a buildup or detrimental to longterm.

SN, I see it as the masses will still make the world go go go.

Can’t have the peasants being out sick.
 Quoting: CleverCreator



I agree, and I understand the Catch-22 in play here. We need a functioning economy as well as overall public health. But color me skeptical over this vaccine.

I wonder what color skeptical should be? They say you are green with envy, you see red when you're angry, or you're yellow if you are a coward. I say skeptical should be purple.

I'm just purple with skepticism! lmao
 Quoting: Serenity Now


poked dotted
 Quoting: JAZZz50



That sounds more like doubt. "I have polka dots of doubt." Yep. Lol.
First tell the truth, then give your opinion....
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Texas reports nearly 11,000 new coronavirus cases, biggest one-day increase on record

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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
They are now showing that the 2 vaccines are neutralizing vaccines. Which means this thing will be over once mass coverage is completed.
Plan your July trips now to save money. I recommend visiting a real state line California and not some shitty fly over shit hole.
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11/17/2020 08:11 PM
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Heart Medicine

[imgur] [link to imgur.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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11/17/2020 08:21 PM
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Some good news on USA new cases

Monday Oct 26: 70k
Monday Nov 3: 95k (25k increase)
Monday Nov 10: 144k (49k increase)
Monday Nov 17: 155k (11k increase)


That's a big slowdown on the increase in the week before.
Anonymous Coward
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NYC getting a bit rougher....but the dude is excited about his job. But that voice..... sounds sick.

Anonymous Coward
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Quick Check today came back -

2 more people tested + in my Dept, but work in a totally separate area miles away from my workplace but there is some
cross connect

Boss is asymptomatic

His Wife is "Flu" sick

Her Brother is pretty damn sick in the hospital

Got a major plant renovation going on with a lot of people I've never seen getting real close to the guys i work with

Not feeling real Warm & Fuzzy right now

Was out of the plant doing field work today by myself and will not have to be involved with close contact with my coworkers except the guy that relieves me on the weekends till the 2nd week in Dec.

Got a bad feeling there's going to be a lot of the Virus spread in my Dept coming

burnit
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Some good news on USA new cases

Monday Oct 26: 70k
Monday Nov 3: 95k (25k increase)
Monday Nov 10: 144k (49k increase)
Monday Nov 17: 155k (11k increase)


That's a big slowdown on the increase in the week before.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79558702


Now the Long Plateau .....
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Some good news on USA new cases

Monday Oct 26: 70k
Monday Nov 3: 95k (25k increase)
Monday Nov 10: 144k (49k increase)
Monday Nov 17: 155k (11k increase)


That's a big slowdown on the increase in the week before.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79558702


Now the Long Plateau .....
 Quoting: CleverCreator


Till we go over the cliff

burnit
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While Trump was out there sniffing himself and spreading COVID19 at his “rallies,” Dolly Parton donated 1 million bucks to Moderna to help fund their highly effective COVID19 vaccine.

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What Is COVID Doing to Our Hearts?

The disease may damage cardiac muscle even in those who never displayed symptoms.

[link to www.ucsf.edu (secure)]

burnit
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
They are now showing that the 2 vaccines are neutralizing vaccines. Which means this thing will be over once mass coverage is completed.
Plan your July trips now to save money. I recommend visiting a real state line California and not some shitty fly over shit hole.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78287559


Neutralizing the population yes it would seem like the vaccine will do that.
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Was told today that if you get a - result with the Quick Test that really doesn't mean you don't have Covid

But

On the other hand if you get a + test result that there's a more than likely chance that you got Covid

Bosses Wife had two consecutive - tests

Third test came back +

She sick as hell and still waiting on Lab results along with the Boss

burnit
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11/17/2020 08:50 PM
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Was told today that if you get a - result with the Quick Test that really doesn't mean you don't have Covid

But

On the other hand if you get a + test result that there's a more than likely chance that you got Covid

Bosses Wife had two consecutive - tests

Third test came back +

She sick as hell and still waiting on Lab results along with the Boss

burnit
 Quoting: Cock Goblin


Hang in there.

I am going to bed.... blah!

Goodnight, beautiful souls.
Guythu

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Dog owners who walk pooches at higher risk of contracting COVID-19: study

Dog owners who walk their pooches are 78% more likely to come down with COVID-19, a new study claims.

[link to nypost.com (secure)]


The spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain: Hygiene habits, sociodemographic profile, mobility patterns and comorbidities

Highlights
• Living with a COVID-19 patient increased the risk of contagion by 60 times.
• Walking the dog increases the risk of contagion of COVID-19 by 78%.
• The most effective hygiene measure was disinfecting products purchased.
• Working on site at the workplace increased the risk of contagion by 76%.
• Obtaining basic products using home delivery service raised the risk of contagion.

[link to www.sciencedirect.com (secure)]

Last Edited by Guythu on 11/17/2020 08:54 PM
Moniker Shmoniker

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11/17/2020 08:54 PM

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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Was told today that if you get a - result with the Quick Test that really doesn't mean you don't have Covid

But

On the other hand if you get a + test result that there's a more than likely chance that you got Covid

Bosses Wife had two consecutive - tests

Third test came back +

She sick as hell and still waiting on Lab results along with the Boss

burnit
 Quoting: Cock Goblin


I mentioned this the other day.

First off, sorry yall are dealing with this.

Infectious disease person at husband's work said based on husband's reporting, he probably had it although he tested negative. He (infectious disease person) said everyone who did rapid test with same symptoms had a neg test, but with the brain poke swab they had a positive. I've not put much stock into the testing being accurate.
TlvmmCpoft

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11/17/2020 08:54 PM
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Dog owners who walk pooches at higher risk of contracting COVID-19: study

Dog owners who walk their pooches are 78% more likely to come down with COVID-19, a new study claims.

[link to nypost.com (secure)]


The spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain: Hygiene habits, sociodemographic profile, mobility patterns and comorbidities

[link to www.sciencedirect.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Guythu


Sure, the dog walkers catch it, but do less of them drop dead of a heart attack/blood clot while they have it?
I don't know what lies they told you, but I can promise they were lies.

There's a fine line between training, trauma, and torture.
Guythu

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11/17/2020 08:55 PM
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Dog owners who walk pooches at higher risk of contracting COVID-19: study

Dog owners who walk their pooches are 78% more likely to come down with COVID-19, a new study claims.

[link to nypost.com (secure)]


The spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain: Hygiene habits, sociodemographic profile, mobility patterns and comorbidities

Highlights
• Living with a COVID-19 patient increased the risk of contagion by 60 times.
• Walking the dog increases the risk of contagion of COVID-19 by 78%.
• The most effective hygiene measure was disinfecting products purchased.
• Working on site at the workplace increased the risk of contagion by 76%.
• Obtaining basic products using home delivery service raised the risk of contagion.

[link to www.sciencedirect.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Guythu


I’m thinking Fomites
Dutchy20

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11/17/2020 08:58 PM
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
Was told today that if you get a - result with the Quick Test that really doesn't mean you don't have Covid

But

On the other hand if you get a + test result that there's a more than likely chance that you got Covid

Bosses Wife had two consecutive - tests

Third test came back +

She sick as hell and still waiting on Lab results along with the Boss

burnit
 Quoting: Cock Goblin


Yeah antigen tests are iffy. Proper protocol is to use them mostly for population testing. Test a entire class, if there is a single positive do PCR's. With proper supply test self daily for monitoring but if you have known exposure do PCR.
Vaid
Status: It's a small world after all!
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Covid19/2021-22 OMICRON/ VIRUS "IHU" FRANCE:P13310/NEWEST VIRUS: "NEOCOV" HIGH INFECTION RATE+1 IN 3 DIE !?! P13315
I spoke with a friend of mine in a federal agency recently. I don't want to reveal too much because he will most likely get in trouble if something he says based on knowledge obtained from his job is found posted publicly. He's not even allowed to have a FaceBook account. Those of you who know me know I'm not a LARP-er; those of you who don't can take this with however much salt you want. But he is in a position to know these things.

He essentially said that it does not matter whether or not the United States locks down at this point. This winter is going to be brutal as far as the covid numbers are concerned. We're just going to have to buckle up for the bumpy ride and get through it.

That being said, he also gave me some hope on the vaccines that are currently in the pipe. He indicated there are just some unknowns that will remain unknowns until they deploy the vaccines on a national scale, and there might be some initial problems with efficacy across all virus strains, but the scientific progress that has been made over the past 10 months has been far more staggering than is generally known. And while we might not get back to "normal" this year or next, we will get back to "normal" sooner than most people think.

You all know I am not one for hopium, but I did feel better about our long-term outlook after talking to him.

Take that for what it's worth.
 Quoting: Riff-Raff


Well, that makes feel a bit better! I was beginning to wonder how the richest country in the world could cock this up so badly.
 Quoting: Lago


Rich in what?
Guythu

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11/17/2020 09:33 PM
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BREAKING: South Australia, including Adelaide, to be put on 6-day lockdown as COVID cluster grows to 22 cases

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Guythu

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11/17/2020 09:34 PM
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Vice President Pence was told during today's COVID Task Force meeting that the situation is dire and worsening, and the daily death toll could reach 2,000 by Christmas if nothing changes - CBS

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Guythu

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Ohio projections are not looking good. Close to ~12k/day by 11/23

[link to iem-covid-19-modeling.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com (secure)]

Find your state here
[link to iem.com (secure)]

Last Edited by Guythu on 11/17/2020 09:46 PM
Hnry Bwmn

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Vice President Pence was told during today's COVID Task Force meeting that the situation is dire and worsening, and the daily death toll could reach 2,000 by Christmas if nothing changes - CBS

[link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Guythu


I think #'s will be much worse
we've discussed how as hospitals congest and begin to fail
from both lack of personnel
lack of PPE and ALL supplies

While Being Overwhelmed

With Vast Numbers of People

will be bad

Numbers are now doubling at increased rate.
> Have been increasing rate//All Along <
Geometric progression. Doctors and Nurses are not going to keep up
will have increasing difficulty staying ABLE to cope with such a crowd.

Numbers WERE doubling every 2 months
2 months ago

Now doubled in last month

next or now doubling every week already.
By Thanksgiving I expect X 2 every 3-4 days.

{ Sort of an Average World Wide? }

Wuhan Part II
I truly do expect it to get worse here than even in Wuhan at it's worst.

" Truly Scary Times Ahead "
Hnry


Top that off with going to Aunt Ethels' For Big Thanksgiving.

Enjoy it, will likely be the last


Last Edited by Hnry Bwmn on 11/17/2020 10:01 PM

"Pissed Off Patriot"
Retired Union Millwright, Turbine Mechanic

<}~ Seeker of the Black Crown ~{>
}> I Am the Storm <{
~Hnry~
Hnry Bwmn

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I also regret making light JackAss humor of the Plight

of People that got trapped in their apartments

in Wuhan and elsewhere in China.

It was wrong of me. Very Wrong. I am Sorry.

Sad, Sad world we have here.


"Pissed Off Patriot"
Retired Union Millwright, Turbine Mechanic

<}~ Seeker of the Black Crown ~{>
}> I Am the Storm <{
~Hnry~





GLP