Just wanted to share my 2 cents, even though I know that no one probably cares, LOL! I said yesterday the current curve and trends we have been seeing are NOT a result of the virus, but rather a result of human behavior combined from both voluntary and involuntary mitigations (forced by local governments). While I hope R.W is right and he actually has been spot on through a lot of this, I just don't see the overall number of cases or deaths going down. There may be a few days of data stabilization here and there, but ultimately we are going to be looking at 300-400k cases/day by end of Dec into Jan along with approx 1% death rate which will be 3,000-4,000 per day if not higher.

Why do I think this is going to happen? First reason is a combination of Pandemic Fatigue and the growing number of people who realize they literally have a 1% or less chance of dying if they get this--more so when they have friends and family that have went through it already and hear this first hand. We see this in the case growth itself despite the education and constant messaging of masks and social distancing. Unlike March/April and part of the early summer, there are way more people tired of this, no longer wearing their masks as regularly (if at all), not washing their hands as much, and getting more careless about family. They may be saying they aren't having Thanksgiving-- but I am not seeing reports of an over abundance of Turkeys at grocery stores. I am actually seeing them run out. People are saying one thing and doing another which will just contribute further. As we start getting snow storms across the country its going to force more people to be together and inside. Second reason is just common sense-- do you see the regular flu normally level off or decline in Dec-March? No, and to think the same is not going to happen here is just not realistic (sorry for the double negative). I'm not sounding doom. I'm actually relieved if this happens. The more cases we care get behind us the closer we get to the other "real" side of this pandemic. As the world continues to try to play God by stifling this, we are just continuing to create man-made data curves and trying to make sense out of this as the actual virus spreading more or less-- when the data is human behavior. At the end of the day if we do nothing, the virus will try to expose itself to every potential host on the planet, as viruses have tried to do for billions of years.