OK,i gave u my theory as to how the US got a lower grade version of the virus. let's look at the future with the higher grade versions.

time line

let's do some simple math. 1 person infects 1 with the higher-grade virus,cases double each day, 1 of 10 gets sick to need hospital.very low 1% death rate.

1 person brings higher grade variant to a town- infected day 1-2ppl,day 2-4...... Day 7-256 infected with higher variant.
25 of those are in the hospital. 3 are dead.

wk2- D-14 32,768 infected, 3277 in hospital, 328 dead

can a city handle that high hospitalization #? many small counties would b overwhelmed starting by day 10. at this rate ,u would almost need a tight lockdown like WUHAN immediately.

contact tracing here has always been behind 2-3 weeks.by the time they realize there is an outbreak of a major variant,it is already spreading beyond that area.

here is where the problem lies. the govern is not trusted and is slow to react. by the time it tries to implement a lockdown of any kind,the hospitals are at breaking point.the public will not comply nor will the cheap masks stop this. now,some ppl would stay home a short time,avoiding ppl does slow things,less ppl would b going to work. at the very least , u would have that many cases the following day and the day after that that many more sick,and so on.however,the hospitals can not double capacity any farther.the testing is also overwhelmed.u will start getting stagnate #'s until the govern ramps testing up more.

in the US,what helped was we did not have outbreaks everywhere at the same time. med workers and sick patients could b moved from an infected area to a noninfected and vice versa.this helped avoid overwhelming the hospitals and collapsing the system, in each city. that will not work with this exponential growth rate. in the 2wks it took for the health dept to realize they have a major outbreak, the high-grade variant would have already spread beyond the town. and hence we have a domino effect-in 2weeks the next town realizes an outbreak but has infected the next at least and so on. i think each town will infect 5 others considering how much ppl move about and shop.

for the US govern to move NG troops everywhere and enforce a full curfew or lockdown will take about a month.how many cities and towns will be infected with a full blown outbreak before the FED. govern starts to act? most likely each initial case would now b at a state level of exposure. the US govern would impose a quarantine between states.

within the state that had infections, anarchy will occur. the goal of the govern will b COG. prevent the anarchy from spreading.

if the vaccines help slow the variants by 50%, then it will take a month to reach the above #'s.if they are testing ppl for the specific variants, it is possable they will have a warning to impose lockdowns sooner. however, a soft lockdown like we had before will not help enuf. Farci hinted at this already. he said if everyone gets the shot then mayb they can have a bar-b-q in their backyards with the household family for the 4th of JULY.not a local fireworks show. NG troops were moved a YEAR ago in preparations for the initial outbreak.

the govern knows this and has moved troops into place.the CDC hints at this, so we know they are aware and looking for these outbreaks. last month the 3 main variants,SA,UK,BRAZIL, have have already started to spread within the US.

since the govern is aware and has plans being implemented, we should start seeing those plans become actions next week. the more worried the govern is the harder the lockdown will be. if the US govern's goal is to save ppl, the lockdown has to be harsher than before and done quickly. it the goal is to spread the virus and let ppl die, they will drag their feet and look bewildered. then u will hear the blame game more and more.