COVID* STANDFORD MASK STUDY---Elsevier journal to retract widely debunked masks study whose author claimed a Stanford affiliation p345

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COVID-19 antibody study in Spain warns herd immunity 'cannot be achieved' without devastating effects

A study in Spain has found that only a small percentage of people have COVID-19 antibodies, warning that herd immunity will be “difficult to achieve.”

[snip]

The Spanish study, which was published in the Lancet, involved more than 61,000 participants.

[snip]

Just 5 percent of those surveyed had antibodies, a number which fell to less than 3 percent in coastal regions, although this was higher in some other parts of Spain. More than 10 percent of people surveyed around Madrid, for example, had antibodies.

[snip]

The study found that, despite the high impact of COVID-19 in Spain, estimates of the prevalence of antibodies remain low and are “clearly insufficient” to provide herd immunity. “This cannot be achieved without accepting the collateral damage of many deaths in the susceptible population and overburdening of health systems,” the researchers wrote. “In this situation, social distance measures and efforts to identify and isolate new cases and their contacts are imperative for future epidemic control.”

[link to www.thelancet.com (secure)]

Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain (ENE-COVID): a nationwide, population-based seroepidemiological study

[snip]

Findings

Seroprevalence was 5·0% (95% CI 4·7–5·4) by the point-of-care test and 4·6% (4·3–5·0) by immunoassay, with a specificity–sensitivity range of 3·7% (3·3–4·0; both tests positive) to 6·2% (5·8–6·6; either test positive), with no differences by sex and lower seroprevalence in children younger than 10 years (<3·1% by the point-of-care test). There was substantial geographical variability, with higher prevalence around Madrid (>10%) and lower in coastal areas (<3%). Seroprevalence among 195 participants with positive PCR more than 14 days before the study visit ranged from 87·6% (81·1–92·1; both tests positive) to 91·8% (86·3–95·3; either test positive). In 7273 individuals with anosmia or at least three symptoms, seroprevalence ranged from 15·3% (13·8–16·8) to 19·3% (17·7–21·0). Around a third of seropositive participants were asymptomatic, ranging from 21·9% (19·1–24·9) to 35·8% (33·1–38·5). Only 19·5% (16·3–23·2) of symptomatic participants who were seropositive by both the point-of-care test and immunoassay reported a previous PCR test.

Interpretation

The majority of the Spanish population is seronegative to SARS-CoV-2 infection, even in hotspot areas. Most PCR-confirmed cases have detectable antibodies, but a substantial proportion of people with symptoms compatible with COVID-19 did not have a PCR test and at least a third of infections determined by serology were asymptomatic. These results emphasise the need for maintaining public health measures to avoid a new epidemic wave.

Eventually this has to end.

Eventually this has to stop.

What's the status on India and their borders re=opening to tourist.

[link to www.cnn.com (secure)]



New model predicts more than 208,000 Covid-19 deaths in the US by November



The University of Washington has extended its projection of how many people are likely to die from coronavirus in the US to November 1, predicting at least 208,255 deaths by then, based on the current scenario.

But if 95% of the population wears a mask in public, that number would drop to approximately 162,808, the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) said Tuesday.

Last week, the IHME forecasted about 175,168 total deaths by October 1, based on the current scenario. But if almost everyone wears a face mask, that number would fall to just over 150,000.

How the modeling works: The current model includes forecasts that anticipate the re-imposition of strong social distancing mandates when deaths per day reach a level of eight per one million people, combined with widespread mask adoption, versus an approach that takes no preventive action. For instance, strong social distancing measures in Florida could cut 6,173 deaths there by October 1.




So the model is best case scenario. That ain't gonna happen.

It will be a long time before this ends.

[link to www.worldometers.info (secure)]

India has the 3rd most cases in the world after Brazil and the US.



There will be no tourism for a long time.

I strongly suspect that India has way more cases and deaths, their health system is simply incapable of capturing all the information. I suspect in China that happened also, although to a lesser degree, but is in part why the numbers in China never add up, together with the purposeful cover up.

My own country has a difference of around 3K deaths between the official figures and a more detailed weekly report from a department of the Health Ministry that is way more comprehensive but much less known and is not readily available, only journalist know in advance how to download it.

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Brain problems linked to even mild virus infections: study

Paris (AFP) - Potentially fatal COVID-19 complications in the brain including delirium, nerve damage and stroke may be more common than initially thought, a team of British-based doctors warned Wednesday.

Severe COVID-19 infections are known to put patients at risk of neurological complications, but research led by University College London suggests serious problems can occur even in individuals with mild cases of the virus.

The team looked at the neurological symptoms of 43 patients hospitalised with either confirmed or suspected COVID-19.

They found 10 cases of temporary brain dysfunction, 12 cases of brain inflammation, eight strokes and eight cases of nerve damage.

Most of those patients with inflammation were diagnosed with acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM) -- a rare condition typically seen in children after viral infections.

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Churches Were Eager to Reopen. Now They Are a Major Source of Coronavirus Cases.

PENDLETON, Ore. — Weeks after President Trump demanded that America’s shuttered houses of worship be allowed to reopen, new outbreaks of the coronavirus are surging through churches across the country where services have resumed.

The virus has infiltrated Sunday sermons, meetings of ministers and Christian youth camps in Colorado and Missouri. It has struck churches that reopened cautiously with face masks and social distancing in the pews, as well as some that defied lockdowns and refused to heed new limits on numbers of worshipers.

Pastors and their families have tested positive, as have church ushers, front-door greeters and hundreds of churchgoers. In Texas, about 50 people contracted the virus after a pastor told congregants they could once again hug one another. In Florida, a teenage girl died last month after attending a youth party at her church.

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New Jersey to Require Outdoor Face Masks in Addition to Indoor

New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy says he will issue an executive order Wednesday requiring people to wear face masks outdoors when they can't socially distance, in addition to the existing rules for indoor masks.

[snip]

Murphy said an outdoor mask mandate at places like Jersey Shore boardwalks, while difficult to police, was necessary given the rising number of cases in most of the country. (The state recently saw its infection rate hit a 10-week high, and Hoboken reported a cluster of new cases tied to out-of-state travelers.)

FluTrackers.com Retweeted
Ronan Kelly
@RonanKelly13
Florida reporting 120 fatalities in the past 24 hrs. 232,718 cases of #Covid19 #Coronavirus with 4,111 fatalities

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Steve Lookner Retweeted
Manuel Bojorquez
@BojorquezCBS
·
27m
JUST IN: Florida has added 8,935 new #COVID19 cases to its total count. Testing was down significantly from the previous reported day (24k fewer people), but the percent positive of new cases hit a high, 18.39% -- it's been above 14% for 10 consecutive days now.

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What happened to the theory of hot weather slowing it down. They don’t even mention that anymore

That was just wishfull thinking, and no one talks about it to protect the image of you know who.

The virus determines when it stops.

When it mutates to some less lethal form like a common cold...it will over. For now since anti-bodies dont last....we are literally stuck with it until evolution does its thing. Could be decades, could be tommorrow

Well no. It seems to be less virulent in the summer. Yeah it's still spreading but not like it was in the winter. Remember it killed 50,000 in 2 weeks in italy.

Look at how well it is doing in tropical Brazil. I do think it will worsen in winter, it has already done here in Chile, but it increases in lethality only, the spread is smooth year round.

More people are spending time outdoors in the summer, and that will help. But now that places are reopening their indoor facilities, the numbers will climb.

Heat does not affect the virus nor the false numbers coming out of the main stream media and the Health authorities who have never been elected and are telling us one story after another.
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check out Peggy Hall, she'd done amazing research on the numbers and the masks, plus she's funny and fun to watch.

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San Francisco Chronicle
@sfchronicle
JUST IN: More than 40 South Bay school principals are in quarantine after being exposed to COVID-19 during an in-person meeting to plan the reopening of schools.

[link to www.sfchronicle.com (secure)]



News that more than 40 Santa Clara principals and other district officials were exposed to the coronavirus when they met inside weeks ago prompted county officials to question Thursday the wisdom of such a large in-person gathering.

County officials said that the seemingly unnecessary gathering was “a lesson for other government agencies.”

The incident raises questions about how seriously some public officials are taking the pandemic, even as cases are spiking across Bay Area counties, including Santa Clara. Public health officials have urged people to avoid in-person meetings with those not in their homes and to wear masks at all times. It’s unclear why the district’s meeting was not held via video conference.

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Dr. Ali Nouri
@AliNouriPhD
REPORT: The majority of transmission is attributable to people who are not exhibiting symptoms

Even if all symptomatics are isolated, vast outbreak may unfold

Testing/tracing to identify pre- & asymptomatic cases is critical before lifting restrictions

[link to www.pnas.org (secure)]

The implications of silent transmission for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks

Abstract

Since the emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), unprecedented movement restrictions and social distancing measures have been implemented worldwide. The socioeconomic repercussions have fueled calls to lift these measures. In the absence of population-wide restrictions, isolation of infected individuals is key to curtailing transmission. However, the effectiveness of symptom-based isolation in preventing a resurgence depends on the extent of presymptomatic and asymptomatic transmission. We evaluate the contribution of presymptomatic and asymptomatic transmission based on recent individual-level data regarding infectiousness prior to symptom onset and the asymptomatic proportion among all infections. We found that the majority of incidences may be attributable to silent transmission from a combination of the presymptomatic stage and asymptomatic infections. Consequently, even if all symptomatic cases are isolated, a vast outbreak may nonetheless unfold. We further quantified the effect of isolating silent infections in addition to symptomatic cases, finding that over one-third of silent infections must be isolated to suppress a future outbreak below 1% of the population. Our results indicate that symptom-based isolation must be supplemented by rapid contact tracing and testing that identifies asymptomatic and presymptomatic cases, in order to safely lift current restrictions and minimize the risk of resurgence.

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Jose-Luis Jimenez
@jljcolorado
1/ Thread on the relative importance of transmission modes

A very difficult question, everyone reluctant to guess. As evidence accumulates, I decided to venture a guess, hoping to start some discussion. Pls comment w/ flaws in my arguments, other arguments, give your guess.



This is a great thread on aerosol xmission versus other modes. I highly recommend you read it.

Wear your fucking face coverings.

This case study of one asymptomatic person that tainted an elevator and got 71 other people infected kind of puts everything in perspective.

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Newsom orders closure of indoor activities across California as coronavirus cases increase

California Gov. Gavin Newsom on Monday ordered a halt to indoor activities at certain businesses statewide as cases of coronavirus surge in the country’s most populous state.

Newsom, a Democrat, announced during a press briefing that all bars across the state must close up shop and that restaurants, wineries, tasting rooms, family entertainment centers, zoos, museums and card rooms must suspend indoor activities.

The governor also announced that all gyms, places of worship, malls, personal care services, barbershops, salons, and non-critical offices in counties on the state’s “monitoring list” had to shut down under the new order. The order affects more than 30 counties which are home to about 80 percent of California’s population.

They planned that.

That's chilling.

Yup chilling

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Atlanta, L.A., San Diego to keep schools closed

Resisting pressure from President Donald Trump, three of the nation's largest school districts said Monday that they will begin the new school year with all students learning from home.

Schools in Los Angeles, San Diego and Atlanta will begin entirely online, officials said Monday. Schools in Nashville plan to do the same, at least through Labor Day.







Indianapolis, too.


Good.