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China Update: Some Predictions Indicate Wuhan Coronavirus Could Turn Into Major Pandemic Live from Hong Kong, China.

 
HO LEE FUKK

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01/25/2020 11:45 AM

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China Update: Some Predictions Indicate Wuhan Coronavirus Could Turn Into Major Pandemic Live from Hong Kong, China.
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The ‘Year of the Rat’ started with little celebration as the entire country of China is overwhelmed with the outbreak of the Wuhan coronavirus.
Experts are now warning of the possibility of an epidemic. One doctor on Twitter discussed the danger of the Wuhan coronavirus:

HOLY MOTHER OF GOD – the new coronavirus is a 3.8!!! How bad is that reproductive R0 value? It is thermonuclear pandemic level bad – never seen an actual virality coefficient outside of Twitter in my entire career. I’m not exaggerating… #WuhanCoronovirus #CoronavirusOutbreak pic.twitter.com/6mmxIHL9Ue

— Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 25, 2020

3/ … We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8-5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, and by 21 January a total of 11,341 people (prediction interval, 9,217-14,245) had been infected in Wuhan since the start of the year. Should the epidemic continue unabated in Wuhan….

— Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 25, 2020

5/ travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February. Our findings are…

— Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 25, 2020

7/ a basic reproductive number for this 2019-nCoV outbreak is higher compared to other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.”!!!! #wuhanvirus #CoronavirusOutbreak #ChinaCoronaVirus …

— Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 25, 2020
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01/25/2020 12:33 PM

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Re: China Update: Some Predictions Indicate Wuhan Coronavirus Could Turn Into Major Pandemic Live from Hong Kong, China.
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HO LEE FUKK  (OP)

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01/25/2020 12:34 PM

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Re: China Update: Some Predictions Indicate Wuhan Coronavirus Could Turn Into Major Pandemic Live from Hong Kong, China.
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01/25/2020 12:36 PM
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Re: China Update: Some Predictions Indicate Wuhan Coronavirus Could Turn Into Major Pandemic Live from Hong Kong, China.
Thread: Harvard scientist tweets: Holy mother of God, this Virus has an Ro of 3.8
HO LEE FUKK  (OP)

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01/25/2020 12:50 PM

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Re: China Update: Some Predictions Indicate Wuhan Coronavirus Could Turn Into Major Pandemic Live from Hong Kong, China.


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