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WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month

 
scoobie doo

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09/15/2020 10:51 AM

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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Appreciate your work OP. Just curious if the latest study that provides evidence that Covid was engineered in the lab has any baring on what we can expect going forward. Is it a study we can trust? Would it makes things better combatting it, worse or does it matter?
[link to zenodo.org (secure)]
"Ruh Roh"
deplorable recollector  (OP)

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09/15/2020 12:45 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Appreciate your work OP. Just curious if the latest study that provides evidence that Covid was engineered in the lab has any baring on what we can expect going forward. Is it a study we can trust? Would it makes things better combatting it, worse or does it matter?
[link to zenodo.org (secure)]
 Quoting: scoobie doo



The only thing that matters in the man-made vs natural virus is the ability to have a proper vaccine.

Leaving aside that a proper vaccine is 3 years away (if we break all the records), if this virus is man-made, there won't be any vaccine. And this is the "good" news.


The bad news is that if this is indeed a man-made virus, we're screwed, because a biological weapon have a single purpose : to win a war without firing a single shot, by destroying your enemy ability to wage war.


Which means either massive deaths, either massive hospitalizations, either social collapse forced by massive quarantines.



But we might be lucky and if this is a man-made virus which was accidentally released, it might not be that good as a bio-weapon.

Last Edited by Recollector on 09/15/2020 01:41 PM
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 02:59 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
I was going to wait until tomorrow to make this post. But as I’m reading this now I’ll go ahead. Yesterday I commented how we recorded the highest death rate since April 30th during the first wave.

Today’s death figures that I’m reading, at what I’ve referred to as the half way point of the day, are currently saying 11 (which tips yesterday’s record which came in at 9) so the last time a reading was this high, was 18 (‘the record’ which was a one time event at the first peak, which occurred April 14th) so it could rise further when I check in again tomorrow as I always do.

Either way that states a lot. I fully understand what’s occurring here thanks to following this thread since the start. We should be ahead of the game in Europe as it was an early opener. I also checked in on the populations with highest infection rates to 100,000 people, and czech is in third place in Europe behind Spain and France:

Spain 270.7 France 153.9 Czech 111 per 100,000

It will be a unique scenario and one to keep an eye on. As the first wave barely registered here as anything significant compared to other countries. This has then led to an extra disregard for what’s happening, as people think it somehow missed this place. To think we have people in the US still claiming it’s fake etc, but generally people in higher affected countries have more familiarity with what’s going on. Well here, those deniers are more exaggerated in my experience and plus there was never a first wave to properly focus minds in general.

The damage has been caused already during summer I feel, and we still have good weather and I see events locally that have been had and are to go ahead. So the potential is still there and no one seems phased by the uptick.

I know it’s still early days, but I’ve checked on the data everyday through summer and beyond. I’m very familiar with the slightest subtle changes, what I’m seeing with the pattern is a stark uptick. It’s going exponential. Btw potentially today’s figures are also on par to break the record yet again for daily infections. I’m looking forward to DR’s mid October date, without lockdown every week leading till then should be dramatic. I’ll continue to update. Definitely on a roll here now.
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 03:16 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
...



Not really.


France today: 9,843.
Spain today : 10,764.


Still not worried.


I will be when they have 12-13k cases/day...which should be next week probably.


These are the numbers I expect the week to be in France and Spain, with 15k/day the week after next.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector


You can start your worrying a little early, DR...

Spain +12,183

damned
 Quoting: Vegz




Friday is always the day with highest numbers. Sure, Spain have 12k+ today, and France will most likely have around 11k today.

I am expecting this for today.


However, I will worry when such numbers will be next week, on Tue, Wed, Thu and Friday.


But it's not about France and Spain only. There are another 10 countries in Europe with spikes this week, 3 of them with massive spikes.


The pandemic will grow in Europe, as I said since June. It will start in in the beginning of August, it will slowly build until end of August, it will grow significantly in the first half of September (all this already happened) and it will explode all over Europe in October.


By mid-October, it will be decision time : lock-down or not.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector

Maybe it is time to start worrying now. I live in Belgium and they say this second wave will be worse than the first one as now, the coronavirus is everywhere. The same, I guess is true for most other countries.

What if the numbers really start to peak a few weeks from now? What if they go on climbing? What if this time, ECU's (emergence care units) REALLY get overwhelmed and again choices have to be made as to who is worth saving and who is not?

How will this affect society, the economy, people's income? Will there be many people losing their job? Maybe losing their homes, become homeless?

Maybe we should starting thinking in earnest about what the course of events could be in such a scenario - so as to avoid maximally to be taken by surprise.

And if possible, on a country per country basis. Other threads should be opened for this I assume.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78553095


Places like Italy UK were ahead in the first wave. We saw what happened there. They are due to have higher waves no doubt. The media there is downplaying the low death rates to lull people to lower their guard (as the death rates haven’t registered yet) what I’m seeing here in Czech tells me the rates will rise everywhere else in the same fashion, but they’re downplaying it as much as they can til the last moment.

I have family in UK and Spain and have a rounded idea of all the media approaches for each country. As I said above, czech should be a litmus test for other countries. All seems to be going ahead as per DR has stated. It is time to prepare (not worry that won’t help) but all is on the cards.

Imo the rates will absolutely rocket at a rate not even seen in the first wave, it’s now more contagious, plus we have a whole fall and winter season ahead, unlike it happening before at the end of the season.

In the thread that Jazz wrote, he has it spot on for phase 5, which I can see occurring before the year is out. ICU cases are quickly rising here, this is then reflected in the death rates.

In answer to your question. Read here what Jazz has outlined for phase 5

Thread: PHASES OF A PANDEMIC OUTBREAK
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 05:20 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
I should make a correction. The cases per 100,000 was for EU countries
Anonymous Coward
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09/15/2020 05:21 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
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scoobie doo

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09/15/2020 05:34 PM

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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Appreciate your work OP. Just curious if the latest study that provides evidence that Covid was engineered in the lab has any baring on what we can expect going forward. Is it a study we can trust? Would it makes things better combatting it, worse or does it matter?
[link to zenodo.org (secure)]
 Quoting: scoobie doo



The only thing that matters in the man-made vs natural virus is the ability to have a proper vaccine.

Leaving aside that a proper vaccine is 3 years away (if we break all the records), if this virus is man-made, there won't be any vaccine. And this is the "good" news.


The bad news is that if this is indeed a man-made virus, we're screwed, because a biological weapon have a single purpose : to win a war without firing a single shot, by destroying your enemy ability to wage war.


Which means either massive deaths, either massive hospitalizations, either social collapse forced by massive quarantines.



But we might be lucky and if this is a man-made virus which was accidentally released, it might not be that good as a bio-weapon.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector


Thanks DR. I was worried that might be the case. Zero Hedge just said that the doctor who published that paper got their Twitter account suspended...doesn’t bode well. Stay healthy.
"Ruh Roh"
SWOOPSTER

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09/15/2020 11:01 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Appreciate your work OP. Just curious if the latest study that provides evidence that Covid was engineered in the lab has any baring on what we can expect going forward. Is it a study we can trust? Would it makes things better combatting it, worse or does it matter?
[link to zenodo.org (secure)]
 Quoting: scoobie doo



The only thing that matters in the man-made vs natural virus is the ability to have a proper vaccine.

Leaving aside that a proper vaccine is 3 years away (if we break all the records), if this virus is man-made, there won't be any vaccine. And this is the "good" news.


The bad news is that if this is indeed a man-made virus, we're screwed, because a biological weapon have a single purpose : to win a war without firing a single shot, by destroying your enemy ability to wage war.


Which means either massive deaths, either massive hospitalizations, either social collapse forced by massive quarantines.



But we might be lucky and if this is a man-made virus which was accidentally released, it might not be that good as a bio-weapon.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector

This is one of my thoughts, someone fucked up and it got out.

Or, it was released intentionally. It's not going to wipe out civilization, but they can play it to push more control and they can get rid of liabilities in the process.
Think of the elderly and the weak.
Liabilities, they cost the States lots of money.
~S~
Storm2come
Natural Law always wins in the end

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09/16/2020 01:43 AM

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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Associated Press India surpasses 5 million coronavirus cases, 82,066 deaths

NEW DELHI (AP) — India’s coronavirus confirmed cases crossed 5 million on Wednesday, still soaring and testing the country’s feeble health care system in tens of thousands of impoverished towns and villages.


I bet the real numbers are a lot worse, as DR says it's not just the covid, but all of the other medical services that are not being performed right now.

Last Edited by Storm2come on 09/16/2020 01:44 AM
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Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2020 03:39 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
...


You can start your worrying a little early, DR...

Spain +12,183

damned
 Quoting: Vegz




Friday is always the day with highest numbers. Sure, Spain have 12k+ today, and France will most likely have around 11k today.

I am expecting this for today.


However, I will worry when such numbers will be next week, on Tue, Wed, Thu and Friday.


But it's not about France and Spain only. There are another 10 countries in Europe with spikes this week, 3 of them with massive spikes.


The pandemic will grow in Europe, as I said since June. It will start in in the beginning of August, it will slowly build until end of August, it will grow significantly in the first half of September (all this already happened) and it will explode all over Europe in October.


By mid-October, it will be decision time : lock-down or not.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector

Maybe it is time to start worrying now. I live in Belgium and they say this second wave will be worse than the first one as now, the coronavirus is everywhere. The same, I guess is true for most other countries.

What if the numbers really start to peak a few weeks from now? What if they go on climbing? What if this time, ECU's (emergence care units) REALLY get overwhelmed and again choices have to be made as to who is worth saving and who is not?

How will this affect society, the economy, people's income? Will there be many people losing their job? Maybe losing their homes, become homeless?

Maybe we should starting thinking in earnest about what the course of events could be in such a scenario - so as to avoid maximally to be taken by surprise.

And if possible, on a country per country basis. Other threads should be opened for this I assume.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78553095


Places like Italy UK were ahead in the first wave. We saw what happened there. They are due to have higher waves no doubt. The media there is downplaying the low death rates to lull people to lower their guard (as the death rates haven’t registered yet) what I’m seeing here in Czech tells me the rates will rise everywhere else in the same fashion, but they’re downplaying it as much as they can til the last moment.

I have family in UK and Spain and have a rounded idea of all the media approaches for each country. As I said above, czech should be a litmus test for other countries. All seems to be going ahead as per DR has stated. It is time to prepare (not worry that won’t help) but all is on the cards.

Imo the rates will absolutely rocket at a rate not even seen in the first wave, it’s now more contagious, plus we have a whole fall and winter season ahead, unlike it happening before at the end of the season.

In the thread that Jazz wrote, he has it spot on for phase 5, which I can see occurring before the year is out. ICU cases are quickly rising here, this is then reflected in the death rates.

In answer to your question. Read here what Jazz has outlined for phase 5

Thread: PHASES OF A PANDEMIC OUTBREAK
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 47864185


I find it a coincidence that the uk are having problems with testing capacity right at the time when everyone always catches a cold. Isn’t it the case that the tests would come back positive for people with a cold, with it also being a type of corona virus? Lots of people are ill right now with the usual back to school colds so this would massively inflate the number of positive tests if all could access one.
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2020 05:08 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Appreciate your work OP. Just curious if the latest study that provides evidence that Covid was engineered in the lab has any baring on what we can expect going forward. Is it a study we can trust? Would it makes things better combatting it, worse or does it matter?
[link to zenodo.org (secure)]
 Quoting: scoobie doo



The only thing that matters in the man-made vs natural virus is the ability to have a proper vaccine.

Leaving aside that a proper vaccine is 3 years away (if we break all the records), if this virus is man-made, there won't be any vaccine. And this is the "good" news.


The bad news is that if this is indeed a man-made virus, we're screwed, because a biological weapon have a single purpose : to win a war without firing a single shot, by destroying your enemy ability to wage war.


Which means either massive deaths, either massive hospitalizations, either social collapse forced by massive quarantines.



But we might be lucky and if this is a man-made virus which was accidentally released, it might not be that good as a bio-weapon.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector

This is one of my thoughts, someone fucked up and it got out.

Or, it was released intentionally. It's not going to wipe out civilization, but they can play it to push more control and they can get rid of liabilities in the process.
Think of the elderly and the weak.
Liabilities, they cost the States lots of money.
 Quoting: SWOOPSTER


Undoubtedly created in a lab and released at the precise month of the precise year in the precise location. You need to factor in all the evidence and as always this is a multi faceted campaign. One aspect is:Martial law globally must be in place before the cosmic event. So before next May this will absolutely occur. Much sooner tho imo.
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2020 05:14 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
...




Friday is always the day with highest numbers. Sure, Spain have 12k+ today, and France will most likely have around 11k today.

I am expecting this for today.


However, I will worry when such numbers will be next week, on Tue, Wed, Thu and Friday.


But it's not about France and Spain only. There are another 10 countries in Europe with spikes this week, 3 of them with massive spikes.


The pandemic will grow in Europe, as I said since June. It will start in in the beginning of August, it will slowly build until end of August, it will grow significantly in the first half of September (all this already happened) and it will explode all over Europe in October.


By mid-October, it will be decision time : lock-down or not.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector

Maybe it is time to start worrying now. I live in Belgium and they say this second wave will be worse than the first one as now, the coronavirus is everywhere. The same, I guess is true for most other countries.

What if the numbers really start to peak a few weeks from now? What if they go on climbing? What if this time, ECU's (emergence care units) REALLY get overwhelmed and again choices have to be made as to who is worth saving and who is not?

How will this affect society, the economy, people's income? Will there be many people losing their job? Maybe losing their homes, become homeless?

Maybe we should starting thinking in earnest about what the course of events could be in such a scenario - so as to avoid maximally to be taken by surprise.

And if possible, on a country per country basis. Other threads should be opened for this I assume.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78553095


Places like Italy UK were ahead in the first wave. We saw what happened there. They are due to have higher waves no doubt. The media there is downplaying the low death rates to lull people to lower their guard (as the death rates haven’t registered yet) what I’m seeing here in Czech tells me the rates will rise everywhere else in the same fashion, but they’re downplaying it as much as they can til the last moment.

I have family in UK and Spain and have a rounded idea of all the media approaches for each country. As I said above, czech should be a litmus test for other countries. All seems to be going ahead as per DR has stated. It is time to prepare (not worry that won’t help) but all is on the cards.

Imo the rates will absolutely rocket at a rate not even seen in the first wave, it’s now more contagious, plus we have a whole fall and winter season ahead, unlike it happening before at the end of the season.

In the thread that Jazz wrote, he has it spot on for phase 5, which I can see occurring before the year is out. ICU cases are quickly rising here, this is then reflected in the death rates.

In answer to your question. Read here what Jazz has outlined for phase 5

Thread: PHASES OF A PANDEMIC OUTBREAK
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 47864185


I find it a coincidence that the uk are having problems with testing capacity right at the time when everyone always catches a cold. Isn’t it the case that the tests would come back positive for people with a cold, with it also being a type of corona virus? Lots of people are ill right now with the usual back to school colds so this would massively inflate the number of positive tests if all could access one.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79356639


I can see the spin so clearly being played out in the UK. They will say and do everything to not cause panic and hinder any real effective approach to solve the issue. All the while doing all they can to ensure maximum spread. I think back to January and February. All international travel could have been banned. It wasn’t, as there was/is an international effort to make sure this spreads and does its job.

The numbers are always dubious one way or another too.
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2020 05:17 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
So checked in today and it was yet another record for daily infections in Czech 1674 this puts it on par with places like Spain and France per million of people (in this current phase). I’ll leave doing the updates for a while as I could be posting records everyday now. I’ll gather the weeks info and compile it next time.
deplorable recollector  (OP)

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09/16/2020 06:19 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
So checked in today and it was yet another record for daily infections in Czech 1674 this puts it on par with places like Spain and France per million of people (in this current phase). I’ll leave doing the updates for a while as I could be posting records everyday now. I’ll gather the weeks info and compile it next time.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79384438



When did you guys reopened the schools?


If it was September 14th, like other former commie countries, well, expect these numbers to be dwarfed in 2 weeks, because if these are the numbers before schools were reopened, it's pretty fucking bad.

1,500+ cases a day for a country of 11 million, before schools reopened, will lead to 4k+ cases / day by mid-October.

Such numbers are unsustainable by the healthcare system.


Czechia will have to lock-down before November...pretty much like everyone.

Last Edited by Recollector on 09/16/2020 06:24 AM
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2020 08:12 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
news from Spain, there will be new restrictions introduced soon, starting on the weekend. Around Madrid they have 339/100,000 cases, which is insane.

The lockdown in Israel will be done earlier for schools starting tomorrow, as numbers are soaring.
Guythu

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09/16/2020 10:02 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
So checked in today and it was yet another record for daily infections in Czech 1674 this puts it on par with places like Spain and France per million of people (in this current phase). I’ll leave doing the updates for a while as I could be posting records everyday now. I’ll gather the weeks info and compile it next time.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79384438



When did you guys reopened the schools?


If it was September 14th, like other former commie countries, well, expect these numbers to be dwarfed in 2 weeks, because if these are the numbers before schools were reopened, it's pretty fucking bad.

1,500+ cases a day for a country of 11 million, before schools reopened, will lead to 4k+ cases / day by mid-October.

Such numbers are unsustainable by the healthcare system.


Czechia will have to lock-down before November...pretty much like everyone.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector


Best I can find is Sept 1st

“Of course, we hear what people say,” he said, adding that the latest changes have been announced in time as 12 days are still left until the September 1 start of the new school year, when the face masks duty will take effect in the aforementioned selected premises

[link to news.expats.cz (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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Malta
09/16/2020 11:47 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Malta hit 106 cases today (new record), in a country of half a million.

Schools open in 12 days' time, but the teachers want to delay the opening.
Anonymous Coward
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Czechia
09/16/2020 12:51 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
So checked in today and it was yet another record for daily infections in Czech 1674 this puts it on par with places like Spain and France per million of people (in this current phase). I’ll leave doing the updates for a while as I could be posting records everyday now. I’ll gather the weeks info and compile it next time.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79384438



When did you guys reopened the schools?


If it was September 14th, like other former commie countries, well, expect these numbers to be dwarfed in 2 weeks, because if these are the numbers before schools were reopened, it's pretty fucking bad.

1,500+ cases a day for a country of 11 million, before schools reopened, will lead to 4k+ cases / day by mid-October.

Such numbers are unsustainable by the healthcare system.


Czechia will have to lock-down before November...pretty much like everyone.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector


Well I asked my partner. The schools opened proper on September 1st as far as I understand, that was certainly the case for this town, it’s possible other areas were later, I can’t find out myself and this is not a popular topic as a whole at home lol, but yeah I’d say September 1st.

She’s Also a nursery teacher. The nurseries also opened proper on September 1st. But she went back for the last week of august, so there was a trickle of nursery students from around that point.

The routine for the nursery is to take temperatures in the morning +face masks in the pick up/lobby area. If any child is displaying any type of sickness, they are told not to come in, and must not come back for 10 days. As you know full well this is futile as the virus can lay undetected for three weeks +.

There is no testing routine, certainly in this town. The local doctor will only recommended you go to hospital if you were properly ill, like breathing issues I imagine. That would also be the only scenario you’d get tested too. So many potentially could have the virus and just be sent home, probably advised to lay low, but there would be no proper organization or procedure imo, I mean that would easily leave it open for someone infected to just go about their business.

Funny you say that, but I had the 4K figure in my head for some reason. But without any calculations (I just going by observing the graph pattern) I can imagine it being even higher than that.

The scene is set here. I know many out there will be taking this seriously, but the majority simply don’t care or are ignorant of just how contagious this can be, which will also present itself in the rates.
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2020 12:54 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Is there still a pandemic?

Seriously.

They've shut down the COVID hospital wings in my State, it's not really reported here... the death rate is incredibly low...

Big nothing burger.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77947693


Yep the same people were saying that in the Spanish flu. Look how that went. Not big in researching I assume? You’ve waded past a whole thread of prime info. The death rates will manifest. See my recent posts. Where I am is (has proved) precisely what DR is outlining.

You remind me of my mother in law. Clueless.
Anonymous Coward
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09/16/2020 01:02 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
As I’m on here posting I’ll go ahead and add this. At the halfway point in the day, the tally for czech reads 1290 (which is the highest I’ve ever seen at the halfway point) (again) yesterday’s halfway point record was 965 and was an end tally of 1674.

So where the heck could that figure end up? In the 2k’s maybe? I don’t know as it’s new territory. Death rates are consistently higher than they have registered for months, so even if they go up, up, then down kind of style, overall they’re coming through proper now. ICU is building by the day. And all percentages are going up.
deplorable recollector  (OP)

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09/16/2020 01:13 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
As I’m on here posting I’ll go ahead and add this. At the halfway point in the day, the tally for czech reads 1290 (which is the highest I’ve ever seen at the halfway point) (again) yesterday’s halfway point record was 965 and was an end tally of 1674.

So where the heck could that figure end up? In the 2k’s maybe? I don’t know as it’s new territory. Death rates are consistently higher than they have registered for months, so even if they go up, up, then down kind of style, overall they’re coming through proper now. ICU is building by the day. And all percentages are going up.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79385618



Around to 2k, yes, for today.


So, you guys reopened schools on September 1st...dang, no wonder the numbers are soaring.


This is bad, 4k / day by the end of this month (not by mid-October), unless schools start to close asap.

Last Edited by Recollector on 09/16/2020 07:52 PM
Anonymous Coward
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
As I’m on here posting I’ll go ahead and add this. At the halfway point in the day, the tally for czech reads 1290 (which is the highest I’ve ever seen at the halfway point) (again) yesterday’s halfway point record was 965 and was an end tally of 1674.

So where the heck could that figure end up? In the 2k’s maybe? I don’t know as it’s new territory. Death rates are consistently higher than they have registered for months, so even if they go up, up, then down kind of style, overall they’re coming through proper now. ICU is building by the day. And all percentages are going up.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79385618



Around to 2k, yes, for today.


So, you guys reopened schools on September 1st...dang, no wonder the numbers are soaring.


This is bad, 4k / day by the end of this month )not by mid-October), unless schools start to close asap.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector



Thanks for the updates as ever.
You been right since the start.

Can you explain or expand on how or why Sweden is doing ok.

Is it due to the 2nd wave that the rest of the eu is seeing has not got going.

This country is being held up as the gold standard on how to control it.
Any ideas on them and the uptick i think the schools went back weeks ago as well.
deplorable recollector  (OP)

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09/16/2020 07:49 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
As I’m on here posting I’ll go ahead and add this. At the halfway point in the day, the tally for czech reads 1290 (which is the highest I’ve ever seen at the halfway point) (again) yesterday’s halfway point record was 965 and was an end tally of 1674.

So where the heck could that figure end up? In the 2k’s maybe? I don’t know as it’s new territory. Death rates are consistently higher than they have registered for months, so even if they go up, up, then down kind of style, overall they’re coming through proper now. ICU is building by the day. And all percentages are going up.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79385618



Around to 2k, yes, for today.


So, you guys reopened schools on September 1st...dang, no wonder the numbers are soaring.


This is bad, 4k / day by the end of this month (not by mid-October), unless schools start to close asap.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector



2,136 today for Czechia.


That is 16 days after schools reopened.



I will add Czechia on my watch list, until October 5th. I really want to see the impact of one month of schools on a country that was spared almost entirely in the first wave.


If Czechia numbers will rise all the way up to October 5th, and reach a daily case count of 5k min. to 6k max., they will lose control of the pandemic by October 15th.

Last Edited by Recollector on 09/16/2020 07:52 PM
deplorable recollector  (OP)

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09/16/2020 07:59 PM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
As I’m on here posting I’ll go ahead and add this. At the halfway point in the day, the tally for czech reads 1290 (which is the highest I’ve ever seen at the halfway point) (again) yesterday’s halfway point record was 965 and was an end tally of 1674.

So where the heck could that figure end up? In the 2k’s maybe? I don’t know as it’s new territory. Death rates are consistently higher than they have registered for months, so even if they go up, up, then down kind of style, overall they’re coming through proper now. ICU is building by the day. And all percentages are going up.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79385618



Around to 2k, yes, for today.


So, you guys reopened schools on September 1st...dang, no wonder the numbers are soaring.


This is bad, 4k / day by the end of this month )not by mid-October), unless schools start to close asap.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector



Thanks for the updates as ever.
You been right since the start.

Can you explain or expand on how or why Sweden is doing ok.

Is it due to the 2nd wave that the rest of the eu is seeing has not got going.

This country is being held up as the gold standard on how to control it.
Any ideas on them and the uptick i think the schools went back weeks ago as well.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 70917002



What is happening in Sweden is irrelevant. Doesn't matter.

For the same reason it doesn't matter how Latvia or another 50+ countries are doing, which are all doing it way better then Sweden.



Sweden is what you can call "fake news". Pretty much everything from Sweden is fake, from their number of cases, their number of dead to the blatant lie of "Sweden did not locked-down".


They did locked-down. A LOT.


And there is the cultural part, Swedes are probably the most indifferent and colder (pun not intended) people ever. They barely talk and socialize, compared to most other people. They are also socialist, and listen to what the government told them to do.

They are also an isolated country : no tourism, no transport hub.


There a gazillion reasons why nobody can do what Sweden did.


It is impossible.


Sweden is used by the hoaxers to prove something that is not real.

Last Edited by Recollector on 09/16/2020 07:59 PM
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09/16/2020 09:58 PM

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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
As I’m on here posting I’ll go ahead and add this. At the halfway point in the day, the tally for czech reads 1290 (which is the highest I’ve ever seen at the halfway point) (again) yesterday’s halfway point record was 965 and was an end tally of 1674.

So where the heck could that figure end up? In the 2k’s maybe? I don’t know as it’s new territory. Death rates are consistently higher than they have registered for months, so even if they go up, up, then down kind of style, overall they’re coming through proper now. ICU is building by the day. And all percentages are going up.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79385618



Around to 2k, yes, for today.


So, you guys reopened schools on September 1st...dang, no wonder the numbers are soaring.


This is bad, 4k / day by the end of this month )not by mid-October), unless schools start to close asap.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector



Thanks for the updates as ever.
You been right since the start.

Can you explain or expand on how or why Sweden is doing ok.

Is it due to the 2nd wave that the rest of the eu is seeing has not got going.

This country is being held up as the gold standard on how to control it.
Any ideas on them and the uptick i think the schools went back weeks ago as well.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 70917002



What is happening in Sweden is irrelevant. Doesn't matter.

For the same reason it doesn't matter how Latvia or another 50+ countries are doing, which are all doing it way better then Sweden.



Sweden is what you can call "fake news". Pretty much everything from Sweden is fake, from their number of cases, their number of dead to the blatant lie of "Sweden did not locked-down".


They did locked-down. A LOT.


And there is the cultural part, Swedes are probably the most indifferent and colder (pun not intended) people ever. They barely talk and socialize, compared to most other people. They are also socialist, and listen to what the government told them to do.

They are also an isolated country : no tourism, no transport hub.


There a gazillion reasons why nobody can do what Sweden did.


It is impossible.


Sweden is used by the hoaxers to prove something that is not real.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector


hesright
Doommonkey

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09/17/2020 07:31 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Thanks, everyone, for contributing to this discussion (and particularly to DR, for starting and maintaining it). This is a very valuable thread.
I'm fortunate in that the school where I teach is staying digital through the spring semester, at least .... which is a damn good thing, since we're still in a pretty infected area. CA is out of tests again.... sigh. You can still get one, but they're hard to come by. My county is showing the highest numbers in the SF Bay Area. I'm glad we have the good sense not to try to return any time in the near future. At present, we're trying to cope with really horrendous air quality due to the smoke, which is probably masking symptoms of COVID, since we all feel like we have a cold.

Don't stress the RW contributions on the other thread ... I think most of us who are regulars there take his analyses with a huge grain of salt. I'm not sure what he has invested in trying to make things look better than they are, but it's a pattern, and we've all seen it. I don't think any of us looks to him for data analysis ... or, few do, in any event.

Thanks for the info on how to pin a thread. I managed to do it once, but then didn't know how I did it ... I guess the key is to go to page one, which is what I was missing. I found this thread easily tonight, just by typing in Chinese Virus ... it popped right up. I know that isn't always the case, though, and this is a thread I do want to follow.
Looks like freedom but it feels like death. It's something in between I guess... it's closing time.

Lenonard Cohen
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09/17/2020 07:45 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Maybe it is time to start worrying now. I live in Belgium and they say this second wave will be worse than the first one as now, the coronavirus is everywhere. The same, I guess is true for most other countries.

What if the numbers really start to peak a few weeks from now? What if they go on climbing? What if this time, ECU's (emergence care units) REALLY get overwhelmed and again choices have to be made as to who is worth saving and who is not?

How will this affect society, the economy, people's income? Will there be many people losing their job? Maybe losing their homes, become homeless?

Maybe we should starting thinking in earnest about what the course of events could be in such a scenario - so as to avoid maximally to be taken by surprise.

And if possible, on a country per country basis. Other threads should be opened for this I assume.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward ...



The numbers will go up quite a bit by the end of this months. This is at least what I expect to happen, and this is what I predicted to happen, because, well, schools reopening and people going back to work from summer vacations.

But the rise in September, while significant, won't be the peak.October will see massive exponential rise in cases everywhere in Europe, as well as in the U.S....unless schools will be mostly online.


I repeat what I have said multiple times in the last weeks : if most schools stay open in person through October, if nation-wide lock-downs aren't in place by the end of October (and this is the very last possible moment in time that might stop the pandemic) and most people will go to work and use mass transit once the cold season starts (after mid-October usually is cold enough to lower the immune system), we will see how a pandemic really looks like.

What we had until now was a glimpse...



 Quoting: deplorable recollector

I assume you are talking here about the US specifically. But I also assume it will be similar for Europe, won't it?
deplorable recollector  (OP)

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09/17/2020 07:50 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Maybe it is time to start worrying now. I live in Belgium and they say this second wave will be worse than the first one as now, the coronavirus is everywhere. The same, I guess is true for most other countries.

What if the numbers really start to peak a few weeks from now? What if they go on climbing? What if this time, ECU's (emergence care units) REALLY get overwhelmed and again choices have to be made as to who is worth saving and who is not?

How will this affect society, the economy, people's income? Will there be many people losing their job? Maybe losing their homes, become homeless?

Maybe we should starting thinking in earnest about what the course of events could be in such a scenario - so as to avoid maximally to be taken by surprise.

And if possible, on a country per country basis. Other threads should be opened for this I assume.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward ...



The numbers will go up quite a bit by the end of this months. This is at least what I expect to happen, and this is what I predicted to happen, because, well, schools reopening and people going back to work from summer vacations.

But the rise in September, while significant, won't be the peak.October will see massive exponential rise in cases everywhere in Europe, as well as in the U.S....unless schools will be mostly online.


I repeat what I have said multiple times in the last weeks : if most schools stay open in person through October, if nation-wide lock-downs aren't in place by the end of October (and this is the very last possible moment in time that might stop the pandemic) and most people will go to work and use mass transit once the cold season starts (after mid-October usually is cold enough to lower the immune system), we will see how a pandemic really looks like.

What we had until now was a glimpse...



 Quoting: deplorable recollector

I assume you are talking here about the US specifically. But I also assume it will be similar for Europe, won't it?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78800305



Yes, same for Europe.


But it looks increasingly probable that schools will close earlier than mid-October, at least in Europe.
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09/17/2020 07:51 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month


Don't stress the RW contributions on the other thread ... I think most of us who are regulars there take his analyses with a huge grain of salt. I'm not sure what he has invested in trying to make things look better than they are, but it's a pattern, and we've all seen it. I don't think any of us looks to him for data analysis ... or, few do, in any event.

 Quoting: Doommonkey

Who is RW?

Anyway, I believe everyone should have a right to reach his/her own conclusions.

I am always suspicious of people telling me "don't listen to that guy,..."
Anonymous Coward
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09/17/2020 07:57 AM
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Re: WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Maybe it is time to start worrying now. I live in Belgium and they say this second wave will be worse than the first one as now, the coronavirus is everywhere. The same, I guess is true for most other countries.

What if the numbers really start to peak a few weeks from now? What if they go on climbing? What if this time, ECU's (emergence care units) REALLY get overwhelmed and again choices have to be made as to who is worth saving and who is not?

How will this affect society, the economy, people's income? Will there be many people losing their job? Maybe losing their homes, become homeless?

Maybe we should starting thinking in earnest about what the course of events could be in such a scenario - so as to avoid maximally to be taken by surprise.

And if possible, on a country per country basis. Other threads should be opened for this I assume.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward ...



The numbers will go up quite a bit by the end of this months. This is at least what I expect to happen, and this is what I predicted to happen, because, well, schools reopening and people going back to work from summer vacations.

But the rise in September, while significant, won't be the peak.October will see massive exponential rise in cases everywhere in Europe, as well as in the U.S....unless schools will be mostly online.


I repeat what I have said multiple times in the last weeks : if most schools stay open in person through October, if nation-wide lock-downs aren't in place by the end of October (and this is the very last possible moment in time that might stop the pandemic) and most people will go to work and use mass transit once the cold season starts (after mid-October usually is cold enough to lower the immune system), we will see how a pandemic really looks like.

What we had until now was a glimpse...




 Quoting: deplorable recollector

I assume you are talking here about the US specifically. But I also assume it will be similar for Europe, won't it?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78800305



Yes, same for Europe.


But it looks increasingly probable that schools will close earlier than mid-October, at least in Europe.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector

Most Belgian universities are opening under code orange rater than code yellow as directed by the authorities, and politicians are disapproving.

What are the European countries which will be least struck by this second wave do you think, OP?





GLP