WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month

Well, if there is no herd immunity or if the herd immunity only lasts 36 days, then a second wave MUST HAPPEN, and this reports to us to the middle October, as the OP said, it is close, time will tell what is or what was this pandemic.

Russia on the rise

Despite the vaccine

DR-
The accuracy of your forecasts in relation to Europe is rather concerning. Thank you for continuing with your updates. They are proving to be very valuable in helping to set expectations with those I know.

September 21 cases: 2217.

September 22 cases: 2245.

September 23 cases: 2357.

September 24 cases: 2544.

September 25 cases: 2777

The tall bar on this graph will be taller tomorrow when it updates at 2777.

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]
[/imgur]
2777 cases.

That's wild.

Did they mutate a new strain over there?

The chart looks weird to me. They're doubling the case numbers. April 10 high was 1335 cases, today they hit 2777.

These numbers are Biblical. If this was a stock chart, I'd be selling into strength. Spooky man.

Are we about to rock like that?

If we do a graph like this in our old hot spots, New York, Florida, Texas, Arizona and California, It's going to be game over. That's what worries me. Imagine New York doubling the numbers they did when they were stacking up bodies in refrigerated trailers? The stock market would be crashing day after day. 

One big hope is that the medical community have gotten better at the treatment protocols. Maybe now they know the trick of what stage to administer the appropriate drug protocol.

I can't find any new Dutch news yet.

But then I saw this note from the OP:

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]

If this is true, deplorable recollector is a genius.

I google for when the Netherlands open the schools.

June 8.

Are you kidding me?

And the parents let them go?

Who goes back to school on June 8?

Netherlands primary schools reopen completely June 8.

They opened the schools too early.

"MONDAY, JUNE 8, 2020 - 08:29
SHARE THIS:

"Netherlands primary schools reopen completely

"Primary schools in the Netherlands are opening completely from today. For the first time since mid-March pupils will be able to see all their classmates in class with them.

"Schools in the Netherlands all closed on March 16, one of the measures taken to curb the spread of the coronavirus. For nearly two months all kids in the Netherlands, except the children of people with essential professions and a few other exceptions, had their lessons digitally.

"On May 11, primary schools reopened partially with about half of kids being allowed in class at a time. According to the RIVM, kids under the age of 12 hardly contribute to the spread of the coronavirus. Last week, secondary schools also partly reopened their doors.

[link to nltimes.nl (secure)]

If this is all it is, then we ARE about to rock like that.

The Netherlands may be taking one for the team.

Thank goodness the weekend is here.

Stand up and be counted For what you are about to receive
We are the dealers We'll give you everything you need

[link to www.foxnews.com (secure)]

Coronavirus mutation emerges that may bypass mask-wearing, hand-washing protections

A new COVID-19 mutation appears to be even more contagious, according to a study — and experts say it could be a response by the virus to defeat masks and other social-distancing efforts.

Scientists in a paper published Wednesday identified a new strain of the virus, which accounted for 99.9 percent of cases during the second wave in the Houston, Texas, area, the Washington Post reported.

The paper, which has not been peer-reviewed, said people with the strain, known as the D614G mutation, had higher loads of virus — suggesting it is more contagious.

Great. Nothing like bad news on a Friday.

Cancer, already 1.4 million fewer screening tests. Skipped visits and postponed interventions for Covid: "Patient mortality increases with late diagnosis"

[link to translate.google.it (secure)]

Talk of a total lockdown for two weeks when the UK schools go off for the October holiday.

Argentina is also experiencing a drastic increase in cases and deaths, from about a month ago or so.

Early June Netherlands opens schools.

[link to nltimes.nl (secure)]

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

Early September UK opens schools.

[link to www.republicworld.com (secure)]

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

Out for summer
Out 'til fall
We might not come back at all

School's out forever
School's out for summer
School's out with fever
School's out completely

Took less time in the UK, but the baseline of cases in the UK was much higher, hence it spread faster through the schools. Nice post, much thanks.

Thank you as well Chile.

I was looking at the chart for Chile.

It looked different from the rest.

So I looked for when they opened the schools.

The OP on this thread has me thinking about school openings.

I can't find too much for Chile.

This page won't load for me right now:

[link to santiagotimes.cl (secure)]

COVID-19: Over 68% of parents won't allow their children ...santiagotimes.cl › COVID-19Jun 27,

2020 - Since the closure of schools in March students have been taking ... and Back to School Modality in Chilean Education” public consultation.

Chile did a hard lockdown:

[link to www.abc.net.au (secure)]

So with the school issue in Chile seemingly out of the equation, I'm a big fan of vitamin d. And how the sun shines on a population and they generate their own serum levels.

There's so many studies of how the victims of Covid had low levels of vitamin d in their blood all the way back to Wuhan.

Now look at this strange Chile chart, see how it all bunches up in May, June and July:

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

Compare that with the cloudy months in this chart, see how it bunches up in the center like the Covid chart:

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

And the short hours of daylight May, June and July:

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

Sun index for Chile by month:

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

[link to suncurves.com (secure)]

Chile can do the hardest lockdown on earth, but they can't control the sun times.

I recommend to buy vitamin d.

Well, the funny thing is that the lowering of cases was only achieved after a hard lock down, and now that it's being gradually lifted, cases are on the rise again. My city has been on lock down twice, and the second time started 2 months ago, and my city is the only one in Chile that has a subtropical weather, and cases, lock down an all, are rising again after the national holyday.

Here the talk about sending kids to school, is met with harsh criticism from all sides, online clases will remain for schools and universities for the next three semesters.

I’d be interested to see charts like these with weather/temperature patterns instead of school reopening. I can’t stop wondering about the change in weather being a factor.
End of August in the uk, and you’d assume the Netherlands too, temps started to change and then early September cases started to rise again.

Im not dismissing the school reopening factor, it’s obv been a huge influence, just find the temperature change theory interesting. There was a fact shared earlier in the year, likely in the big thread, how for every degree the temperature rose cases dropped by ?15%?. Can’t remember the actual number.

So after I wrote this the page decided to finally load the images and now what I wrote doesn’t make sense! Haha oh dear smh! The sun and cloud info is really interesting, thanks for sharing!

Really been struggling to get pages to load since the introduction of imigur/twitter embedding! Some pages show half width, some with lots of black spaces. Guess it’s my crappy old iPad!

No worries UK.

It usually takes me a couple tries to just do a post on this forum. I don't always seem to be smart enough to defeat the captcha test. The page will stall, then cloudfare will send a pop up claiming the page is taking too long and would I like to hit the refresh button. 

Then I lose the post I was trying to send so I'll just reboot the PC and try again at the end of the day. I have a Dell server converted to dual boot windows 10 and Linux mint. I've also tried my Acer laptop with windows 10.

My best chance however, is with this PC which is an old XP machine with the Avast secure browser. Maybe this forum software is old, windows 95 style, the only forum where you still can't indent a paragraph in the year 2020.

I keep on expecting to hear midi music start playing and a dancing banana move across the screen.

[INDENT] Just joking.[INDENT/]

The other day Italy 776 was saying something about "Russia on the rise Despite the vaccine"

I noticed it too.

I didn't have the patience for another round of the captcha challenge.

I watch Russia everyday.

Their death chart is looking spooky too.

I better not do another sun chart post, I'll save that for another day.

But I'm looking at an article about Russian kids going back to school. They look like good kids. The Russian people look like good people, everyone smiling and happy.

"The Balashikha school has installed sophisticated temperature screening devices near the front door, much like what many airports now use to check passengers. As the children walk inside, cameras take their pictures and a thermometer scans their temperature. The results are displayed on a monitor for security staff.
[link to www.cbc.ca (secure)]

But I was surprised none of the kids or teachers wore masks.

In the video a teacher explained that they are testing all the teachers and the kids do whatever they're told. The DO look like good little kids.

I also consider the safety mitigations playing a role in the school re openings. It certainly isn't business as usual this year. These mitigations, like temperature screening, hand washing and mask wearing, may postpone the expected rise in cases. Could this be why the Netherlands seem to have enjoyed a delayed reaction to the opening up of schools in June?

I'd be interested to see how the Russians do without the masks, compared with a jurisdiction who enforces mask wearing in the schools.

But there's no denying, the Russians are moving on up. That high bar of 7523 will be higher tomorow when the graph updates at 7867:

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

The Russian death chart is giving me the chills. The high bar on this graph on September 26 is 169:

[imgur] [link to i.imgur.com (secure)]

Notice how they were in a downward trend channel until around the third week of August. Since that inflection point they've been carving out an upward trend channel. NOT GOOD.

But I seriously don't think it's the cold temperatures. The drop in temperatures is coincident with the reduced hours of UV light.

I saw a video of someone sneezing in sub zero temperatures. The aerosolized respiratory droplets came out about a foot, then froze and fell to the ground.

They didn't linger, floating in the air, like they do in above freezing, or room temperature.

Stay tuned, we're about to see.

The trend of the Netherlands keeps upward.

Russia is interesting because they have kept having massive numbers of cases for months and an average of 100+ deaths per day, for months. They seem to be completely oblivious, in my country when the numbers were above 100 the outcry against the authorities toppled one health minister.

DR, we are anxiously awaiting your update!

I agree!

DR -- are we still on the same projected path you've talked about? It seems pretty quiet here in the USA...but from what I'm reading above, Europe is ticking upward.

What are your thoughts? We are almost in October!

it is a real shitshow, I heard that the head of the Dutch "CDC" is against masks, this does not work well in one of the most populated EU countries. Steep sustained rise in cases. Similar in Denmark, less people, but also anti-mask.

In Germany masks have been mandatory since April when shopping and using public transport. We have an increase too, but not as strong as in many other countries. Mandatory masks might be a minimum requirememt. Most spreading events in the last weeks came from big private parties (Turkish weddings with hundreds of participants, also some smaller 30-50 people parties). Berlin is a large hotspot with 40-50/100,000 cases. Today there are talks scheduled between the individual state heads and chancellor Angela Merkel. She is not pleased with recent developments. It is expected that there will be a ban on large gatherings (50+ or even 25+ people). The question is whether this will apply to all states at once or only to the ones where infection levels are too high.

Netherlands +3011, UK +7142
right on the trajectory

The state of emergency in the Czech Republic will come into force again on Monday, the government has introduced new measures

An emergency situation will come into force in the Czech Republic again on Monday, October 5, to prevent the spread of a coronavirus pandemic. The proposal of the Minister of Health Roman Prymula (for YES) was approved by the government.

Translated Link:
[link to translate.googleusercontent.com (secure)]

This was Guythu

:)

Bump for update

It’s coming - today or tomorrow - watch this space ....,

:itsfine:

You're killing us, DR! :)