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CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China

 
MKPitBull

User ID: 24338353
United States
01/28/2020 02:37 PM

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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Call the President demand all chinese fights be stopped
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 Quoting: Jake


Ever thought there may me a reason they're continuing to let flights in?
Actual RO is closer to 4 I believe, they're downplaying numbers(in 2 weeks in US all sheep will know, 4 weeks even the retarded sheep)
MSM isnt touching this right now, following a script.
Meaning, everyone is fucked
Everyone with reported RO by OP is fucked without a travel ban.
This is a weaponized virus.
Agenda 21, Deagel, etc.
Unfuck yourselves and try to boost your immunity. Vit D3,Vit C. Nascent Iodine, collodial silver.Peace
"Come get some"
Ohio chic

User ID: 78368631
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01/28/2020 02:38 PM

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God bless the ones that really contribute real, factual information and do it for no other reason but to help humanity

Last Edited by Ohio chic on 01/28/2020 02:38 PM
NO! My name is NOT spelled wrong. Grab a dictionary.
Peace, Love & Prayers
God bless America
And YES. I am a nurse!

SIDE NOTE- I find articles everywhere and post what I think GLP would like to know.
I do not necessarily believe or endorse some articles I find.
So do not bash the messenger
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2020 02:38 PM
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zombies
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77891221
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01/28/2020 02:38 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
It will be transmitted by money very easily.

Bob sneezes on his hand, touches the dollar and then buys a pack of Virginia Slim's and hands it to Nancy at the quick trip. Nancy then touches herself and everything in the store that everyone else touches that day in the store.

Then Nancy and all her co-workers are sick a week later and there's no one at work to run the store.

Multiply this across the country.
BeelzeBob

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01/28/2020 02:39 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Thanks OP. And as silly as it is, I believe that no real steps will be taken in the US until next Monday after Super Bowl LIV (how ironic eh)

The other thing is no matter who started this or how, there is a very active military component at work which is strategizing what's next (3 months, 6 months, etc.).

One school of thought says, when it becomes obvious that most all countries will fail, that is when you "launch" your attacks (missiles, localized, more viruses, chemicals, whatever) to further debilitate future enemies so World V2 is easier to conquer. With all the chaos, it would be hard to hold anyone accountable.
"Is everyone okay?" "Well, the fucking hippies aren’t. That’s for goddamn sure." -- Rick Dalton
Wolf 1776
tene lupum auribus

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01/28/2020 02:39 PM

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wolf_bump_keys
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Little Red Hen

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01/28/2020 02:40 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
I assume the world’s “elite” believe themselves immune and untouchable by this, much like they believe they are immune from the consequences of their actions...
Appeasement is feeding a crocodile, hoping he will eat you last.
Anonymous Coward
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Canada
01/28/2020 02:41 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Quarantining all cities etc would tank the economy and make things worse.
Anonymous Coward
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Canada
01/28/2020 02:42 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
I assume the world’s “elite” believe themselves immune and untouchable by this, much like they believe they are immune from the consequences of their actions...
 Quoting: Little Red Hen


Unfortunately most well nourished people are pretty well immune to a lot of things. A super virus, probably a lot of people will still be immune. Our species has lasted a long time for a reason.
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2020 02:43 PM
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Poor Jake is just shitting his panties with fear lol.
MKPitBull

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01/28/2020 02:43 PM

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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Thanks OP. And as silly as it is, I believe that no real steps will be taken in the US until next Monday after Super Bowl LIV (how ironic eh)

The other thing is no matter who started this or how, there is a very active military component at work which is strategizing what's next (3 months, 6 months, etc.).

One school of thought says, when it becomes obvious that most all countries will fail, that is when you "launch" your attacks (missiles, localized, more viruses, chemicals, whatever) to further debilitate future enemies so World V2 is easier to conquer. With all the chaos, it would be hard to hold anyone accountable.
 Quoting: BeelzeBob


Exactly, too much money to be made right now. NOTHING of any substantial purpose will be done in US until after Superbowl.
"Come get some"
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 77811278
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01/28/2020 02:44 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
This is assuming a highly doubtful starting point:

January 28th 00:00 GMT : Between 3,000 and 4,000 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days). Presenting symptoms : 37-38 cases.)

There is a lot of increasingly validated information out there demonstrating that there are 45,000 to as many as 140,000 infected people as of today. All due to intentional under-reporting or due to inability to diagnose actual cases (lack of supplies, staff, IT...).

Considering this, your scenario could be way too conservative.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77811278


I think you missed the part where my model is not for China.

The information you are talking about is for China.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector


I DID miss that, thanks. What's the math INSIDE China?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77811278


690,000 infected.

The Chinese should report 8,099 confirmed cases today, give it a 1-2% error.

So, a jump from 4,500 yesterday to 8,100 today.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector


Thanks; my first point is still important as the Chinese are likely significantly under-reporting actual infections (hence your baseline may be way too low). We shall see.
Meowy63

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Romania
01/28/2020 02:44 PM
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Any idea how the virus acts/spreads in colder/warmer temperatures or is there any difference?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 43196947


I am not an epidemiologist or virologist, or a medic for that matter.

I am an accountant.

Can't answer to your question, sorry.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector


The fog helps a lot the spreading, the dust, the wind, the cold temperature. Try to get some UV light for the house but also be careful as it's a double edge sword.
I know Finland is rather satanic than Christian, but the best help you can get comes ONLY from God.

Last Edited by Meowy63 on 01/28/2020 02:45 PM
Follow God's Word rather than others
Somethingrandom

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01/28/2020 02:44 PM

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I love all the numbers. Thank you for posting, OP!
This says nothing of importance.
2hot2handle

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01/28/2020 02:45 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
I don't think you can develop any predictions based off the phony numbers that the Chinese authorities have given because the numbers are obviously very low. No one quarantines a city of a 11 million people for 26 deaths. There are more deaths from the flu and cities are not quarantined for that. The Chinese authorities obviously know what this virus is and where it comes from and roughly how many people are being infected and dying. Obviously there will be people who are not counted among the dead and infected because they don't go to a hospital with it and instead stay home or they don't know they have it yet.

Last Edited by 2hot2handle on 01/28/2020 02:47 PM
Security without liberty is called Prison. - Benjamin Franklin

End the lock down now!
---------------
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 78178375
United States
01/28/2020 02:45 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Thanks OP. And as silly as it is, I believe that no real steps will be taken in the US until next Monday after Super Bowl LIV (how ironic eh)

The other thing is no matter who started this or how, there is a very active military component at work which is strategizing what's next (3 months, 6 months, etc.).

One school of thought says, when it becomes obvious that most all countries will fail, that is when you "launch" your attacks (missiles, localized, more viruses, chemicals, whatever) to further debilitate future enemies so World V2 is easier to conquer. With all the chaos, it would be hard to hold anyone accountable.
 Quoting: BeelzeBob



yes, there's a lot of potential energy locked up in the current status quo. It's been trying to revert to equilibrium for some time. this could easily trigger regional resource wars, i.e. India/Pakistan, Middle East, etc.
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2020 02:50 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
updated modeling has the RO over 3

[link to drive.google.com (secure)]
Pooka

User ID: 47917533
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01/28/2020 02:53 PM

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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Yeah baby! Bring on the doom!!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73317202


Love human suffering, do you?

Last Edited by Pooka on 01/28/2020 02:53 PM
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Just A Tourist

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01/28/2020 02:53 PM

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*To read later at home*.

Thank you for posting.
Thanks for the neg karma on 8/25/2017 "Go back to mexico, touron." Considering I'm a white American ... looks like you are the moron, not me. ;-)
Anonymous Coward
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United Kingdom
01/28/2020 02:54 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Britain leaves the EU on 31st January, so should be a walk in the park for Boris to isolate the UK as the whole country is already geared for it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75546315


wont do it! Because of money and greed and fear of economic loss. Sorry we have to accept our fate.
simplify

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Canada
01/28/2020 02:54 PM

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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
you and I both know the RO number of 2.6 is bullpucky
 Quoting: Jake


For China and South East Asia it is.

By my model is adjusted for US, EU, Japan, SK, Australia, NZ and other developed countries to 2.2 in the incipient phase to 2.6 in the mid stage of the pandemic.

For South East Asia, the R0 is 2.6 in the incipient stage, and 3 in the mid stage of the pandemic.


After that, it won't matter how big the R0 is, the society will be collapsed anyway, and nobody will give a fuck about it.
 Quoting: deplorable recollector


true on the it wont matter part.

we are screwed I can feel it in my bones.
 Quoting: Jake


Jake, NO we are NOT screwed. Come on now.....put ON your WARRIOR SPIRIT......we CAN protect ourselves against this.
You know the routine.....get your preps updated NOW. After your preps are updated & you have more than ample food stored & natural remedies etc., then stay the heck away from going out anywhere.
I've just made a new batch of the Winter Tonic (hot, hot, hot) & I'm busy cooking meals for my freezer, so I have meals already prepared. I also purchased some N95 masks.
Tip: I plan on covering one of the masks with tin-foil, & taping it down with clear Duct tape. Then I will wear a surgical mask over top of that, if I have to go out in public.
We can do this Jake & friends.
HE-B-GB

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01/28/2020 02:54 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Quarantining all cities etc would tank the economy and make things worse.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73848670



Right. So either way we're fucked...

I'm going to grab some stuff this weekend.... I wasn't worried during SARS or any of that shit, but this really bothers me.
“If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their money, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them (around the banks), will deprive the people of their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered.”

Thomas Jefferson
Anonymous Coward
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United Kingdom
01/28/2020 02:54 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Britain leaves the EU on 31st January, so should be a walk in the park for Boris to isolate the UK as the whole country is already geared for it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75546315


wont do it! Because of money and greed and fear of economic loss. Sorry we have to accept our fate.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78403405


Also the country is now ran by clowns, snowflakes, libtards, feminists, foreigners, muslims etc.
Riff-Raff
Coronavirus-Free Since 2019

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01/28/2020 02:55 PM

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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Some very good work, OP. Five stars!

For what it's worth, this very closely matches some numbers I've seen for a local disaster response plan to a hypothetical global pandemic. But it's not yet believed that it will affect the United States that badly.

For the record, I've not received any special instructions from our local Department of Public Safety regarding this virus, but as a volunteer responder, I don't carry the type of protective equipment with me that I would need to deal with an infected victim if I run across one. I have the proper protection at home, but that's for my wife and me to use if things get out of hand.

By the way, I'll know something is up if I start hearing EMS dispatches over the radio that include the phrase "flu-like symptoms" in the description. If I do, I'll report it in one of the primary coronavirus threads.
Risking my life for people I hate for reasons I don't understand.

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Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2020 02:56 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Quarantining all cities etc would tank the economy and make things worse.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73848670


already happening in China.

Economic fallout is massive.

That is why .....I personally am so alarmed.


Chinese would never do this unless things are really bad
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2020 02:56 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Good lookin out Trump......A travel ban could have been implicated already....... Pretend politics. yay go Trump MAGA my ass.


I'm surrounded by stupid people...... My options are limited.

Maybe I'll wake up and it will be a FF.

Maybe I can jump to another timeline because this one is not the one I want..

blah, blah, blah rant off........
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2020 02:56 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Its not really going to harm the economy that much, if by the time we figure out the vaccine, (6months?) after the quarantines are lifted there will be mass shopping sprees and demand for all types of goods, it will allow the economy to rebound, the central banks will have to absorb the depression in the GDPs and we pay it back through increased tax and austerity.
Anonymous Coward
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01/28/2020 02:57 PM
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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Ebola thing was similar, yet nothing happened?

Maybe they were desensitizing us to stay more calm while they spread their poison?
Toprance1

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01/28/2020 02:57 PM

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"But if the confirmed cases represent only a fraction of the total cases — and they likely do — that could really change the math. Until we have a better handle on the total number of cases it’s premature to draw conclusions."

"There are formulas that give you an idea of how many infections probably occurred in China before a case was exported."

"As of Sunday, when the number of exported cases was approaching 60, Neil Ferguson of Imperial College London estimated there were likely already 100,000 cases in China. But that was two days ago."

"Ferguson told STAT it’s getting hard to run that calculation, “given the exit screening and then quarantine of Wuhan,” the central Chinese city where the outbreak is believed to have started."

[link to www.statnews.com (secure)]
simplify

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01/28/2020 02:57 PM

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Re: CHINESE VIRUS infection rate OUTSIDE China
Britain leaves the EU on 31st January, so should be a walk in the park for Boris to isolate the UK as the whole country is already geared for it.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 75546315


wont do it! Because of money and greed and fear of economic loss. Sorry we have to accept our fate.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78403405


HECK NO! We do NOT have to accept the fate, designed by EVIL monsters.

Come ON people......pick yourselves up, dust yourself off, & get cracking with your preps.

Don't have a defeatist attitude. Yes, also do pray to the Creator of All to guide you.





GLP