WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month

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Moscow accused Norway on Wednesday of blocking the transit of goods to Russians living in the Norwegian Arctic archipelago of Svalbard and threatened Oslo with retaliation.

"We demanded that the Norwegian side resolve this issue as soon as possible," Russia's foreign ministry diplomacy said in a statement, announcing that the Norwegian chargé d'affaires in Moscow had been summoned.

"We stressed that unfriendly actions towards Russia lead to retaliatory measures," it added.

Russia claims that Norway blocked supplies of equipment and food at the Storskog land border crossing that were to be loaded onto a ship bound for Svalbard for Russian miners in the archipelago.

According to Sergei Gushkin, the Russian consul on the Arctic archipelago, the cargo consisted of 20 tonnes of goods, including seven tonnes of foodstuffs, spare parts and essential equipment to prepare for the winter.


Norway is blocking the goods in the application of European sanctions adopted against Russia because of its war in Ukraine, the diplomat said.

"I think Norway has not thought through joining the EU sanctions," he added.

Gushkin said Russia was exploring alternative supply routes, including from Europe or by sea from the Russian city of Murmansk.

DR Update wen ?! ! !

The special operation seems to be dragging on?

Dr after this night's attacks on Russian targets, I think total war has started. I fear next step is russian missiles on Nato European targets

It is a splendid day... just like the day when the Great War started and no one had any idea how long it would take and how gruesome it would be.

I feel this day like 10 September 2001, a day that change the world forever. Is a beautiful weather, a nice summer day, I enjoy the beach and the sea, looking at the ships along the harbor, in Constanta. We should enjoy every day, because our old world is already dead and now we are living on the edge of a new era, a world where I don't wanna live and I don't like what it brings to us.....

VERY IMPORTANT UPDATE :








You think!

the 'silence' weorldwide is (so) awkward

Hi DR, could we get an update with the changing events ?
Thanks

Estimates of long Covid are startlingly high. Here’s how to understand them...


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Hope you are doing well DR.

((( B U M P ) ) )

Interesting thread on Centaurus 2.75

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How Many People Have Long COVID? The Statistics Are ‘Pretty Scary’...


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May I suggest this as a piece in the puzzle ?
On Wednesday & Thursday of this week the " Mother of Parliaments " in the UK saw unprecedented scenes of chaos as a mass attempt to remove the PM from office erupted.
Several commentators called it a parallel universe and surreal.
He was, in principle, but NOT DE FACTO deposed.
He still expected to carry on till autumn.
They said no, only till a new leader elected.
They do the electing in Parliament, and they only have till 21 st July before it stops for long recess.
So they have 11 days in total to sort it out.
Johnson resigned with a speech that dished everybody except himself. He had been wonderful. No sorry. Not the speech of a loser.
He phoned up Zelensky personally that night.

Dom Cummings who knows him said he should be got out of there and then otherwise he would cause " carnage " He said that there is a War on, Johnson still thinks he can/will stay on as a " War Leader "
Ex PM John Major said the same thing.
I thought it and posted it here on GLP a few times.
Remember BJ has been at all these G meetings and NATO meetings. He knows what the plans are,
If on the basis of that he is gambling on the War taking an infinitely worse turn. then the dates become crucial -
next 10 days max.

I think Boris EITHER knows what is coming and has in effect stepped down leaving the mess for someone else?

OR we enter WW3 and Monkeypox/covid lockdowns and that allows him to stay in emergency power??



Last Edited by ParamedicUK on 07/10/2022 05:42 AM

Just as an fyi, astrologers have noted Aug and Oct as months where war could break out.
It's coming for sure but we still have a bit of time.

hi OP! First of all: thank you for this amazing thread.
I would like to ask you what do you think about the impact of HIMARS? Will they really change anything or are they just simple propaganda?

russia has stopped nord stream

now nato has three months to defeat russia if they don't want a cold winter

There have been a series of somewhat important events that require an update, which will come later on today.

Last Edited by LJS on 07/11/2022 04:25 PM

I will try to gather my thoughts considering how much had happened since I was banned, and put them in a fashionable order, as much as I possibly can.


First, I want to get rid of some events that are minor, and not having a real impact. Boris resigning is only a sign that there is some backlash in the U.K. politics, due to sanctions backfiring. But, the U.K. stance regarding Russia, Ukraine and their side on WW3 will not change.


Secondly, the killing of Shinzo Abe. A tragic event (a man was killed) that have no meaning whatsoever, except for Japan.



Having that put aside, I will start with Putin's last speech. What he said is important, very important actually, especially the part that "we haven't started in earnest yet in Ukraine" and "if the West wants to defeat us on the battlefield, they can try", but what is more important is Putin's body language while he was having his speech.



He looked happy. Well, as happy as a former KGB officer can look. Clearly he knows he is in control of the events. After a series of gatherings (from St.Petersburg, to BRICS, to Caspin Sea and Foreign Ministers G20) it is clear, at least for me, that Russia secured the rest of the world, either support (China, India, Brazil, Indonesia) either non-involvement (lots of countries, too big of a list) either slowly detaching some countries from the U.S. influence (Mexico, Argentina).



The speech came on the heels of those meeting, and also on the heels of the massive win in Lysychansk-Sieverodonetsk area.



On the economic side, Russia is winning and the West is losing. Time is on Russia's side, and they know it. The West also knows it.



There are several things that I am expecting to happen before this month is over. I have estimated that by the end of July, Ukraine fate will be sealed : their army will be reduced to an insignificant force. Mid-June I gave Ukraine 6 weeks before their army will be defeated. Time is running out for Ukraine, as a nation.



The only thing I do not know is if the West will escalate before Ukraine army is defeated, and keep the war in Ukraine as long as possible, before it spills over in Europe, or entrench in Eastern Europe and wait for the inevitable Russian advance towards NATO borders.



Militarily, it makes perfect sense for NATO to escalate to WW3 before Ukraine army is defeated, but I am not sure that the West have all the marbles in place to do so. It remains to be seen.




I am expecting a MASSIVE Russian offensive in Ukraine, once the order is given. This "pause" that lasted for a week is almost over. Once Russian re-deployment is complete, the world will witness the biggest battle since WW2.


The way things are looking on the field, as much as I could gather, Russia will attack on multiple axes, but the main 2 will be from Izyum towards Slavyansk-Kramatorsk, and from east towards Siversk-Bakhmut line.



I expect heavy Ukrainian resistance, but it will be short lived, and will end up with at least 20,000 dead/captured Ukrainian soldiers in a matter of weeks. Russians will have their losses too, mainly among militias, but not more then 2,000 dead.



It is going to be bloody. 60,000 Russian and allied troops will face off around 80,000 Ukrainian troops, of which most will be weak trained and poor armed Territorial Defense Units.


Aside Slavyansk and Kramatorsk, which will be surrounded, everything else in the Russian path will be overrun. Siversk, Bakhmut, Konstantinovka, and smaller towns and villages will fell fast.


Slavyanks and Kramatorsk will not stand up for long, once they are encircled.



This offensive is the most critical period for all sides, and the most risky for escalation.



One aspect I must address is HIMARS. 8 of them aren't going to change the outcome in Ukraine. It is simply not enough firepower for a frontline that is 1,000 km long.

However, there are rumors that the U.S. delivered 300km range missiles for HIMARS. If the rumors are true, we will see Ukraine hitting deep into Russian supply lines inside Ukraine.


I hope that Ukraine will not use those missiles to hit Russia proper, but to be sincere, I believe that Ukraine will use them to attack Russia proper, because I see no point in delivering those long range missiles (if the rumors are true) unless to provoke Russia.


Matters not if the missiles have 300 km range, there are still only 8 HIMARS (possibly down to 6), and range doesn't change shit unless coupled with quantity.


Ukraine knows well that without West DIRECT involvement, they will lose the war, and highly possibly their statehood. Those long range missiles will trigger a Russian response that will either be directed at NATO bases, or a massive retaliation across the whole Ukraine, which will be used by the West to intervene.



Then there is Lithuania. The back-up plan. Will see how this develops. But it is not as high risk of escalation (for now) compared to the imminent defeat of Ukrainian army.



The date I really expect to tell us where this conflict is going is July 21st, when the Nordstream 1 should re-start gas deliveries to Europe, after "reparations" are over.


I personally expect that Russia will either stop gas deliveries (if anything big enough happens till then to somewhat justify this) or will just trickle some gas in order to keep Europe on it's toes and use it as a leverage to break Germany off sanctions. Not that Russia gives a shit about lifting sanctions, but if Germany caves, it is another nail in the West coffin.



If there won't be any escalation this month or the next (but I highly believe that it will be), come September, Russia will have defeated Ukrainian army, will have Odessa and Kharkiv conquered, and will start moving towards Kiev and Central Ukraine, with minimal resistance on their way.



The energy and food crisis, along inflation and supply chains being even more broken, will get worse, with every passing week.


There is just too much shit hitting too many fans, the globalists are keen in CONTINUING their agenda, like nothing happened, and all those flying shits will end up in a big shit hitting a giant fan before winter.

Thanks Recollector :-)

Most informative post on this site. Sincere appreciation to OP.