WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month

Guess what I found? Something very very precious, type Selco pdf into google and click search, grab it while it is still out there, no need to thank me.

If you have $10, pay for the full 3 trilogy pdf (let me know if you want to purchase that 3 pdf, if DR no objection, will then leave the link to that site cart here), definitely worth it, cheers.

Last Edited by whitepiedtv on 01/19/2023 09:20 PM

If you have kids, here is one type of protection for your loved one.

[link to www.mirasafety.com (secure)]

jusr share/upload the pdfs wtf??

My apologies, I will not want to get into any copyright legal issues (I doubt anyone will pay for my legal fee if I am sued) which I don't think Trinity will like it here also (if you googled and download on your own is your own legal issues), thanks and hope you understand, cheers. :-)

Last Edited by whitepiedtv on 01/20/2023 02:27 AM

This could be what Nuclear winters looks like in real life, just that it should be much darker.



Last Edited by whitepiedtv on 01/20/2023 02:12 AM

For those without off grid electricity backup, you may want to get yourself one LifePO4 battery (around 10 years life span) to use with portable solar panel and an inverter.

LifePO4 battery is also explosion safe.




Lifepo4 Battery

[link to m.aliexpress.com (secure)]

https://imgur.com/NvzMhdD

Solar panel

[link to amzn.asia (secure)]



Last Edited by whitepiedtv on 01/20/2023 03:02 AM

A very short update, strictly regarding the NATO Defense Ministers meeting at Ramstein, Germany, and the decisions taken.



Shortly put, as of right now, no Leopard 2's for Ukraine. No country that have Leopard 2 MBTs can send them to Ukraine w/o Germany's green light.


The U.K. will send 14 Challenger 2. Obviously not enough. The U.S. will send 59 Bradley's. Germany 50 Marders. All in all, maybe a mechanized brigade.


Again, not enough.


Laughable is the U.S. sending 95,000 105mm artillery ammo. That would be depleted, if used seriously, in under 5 days.




My own conclusions.



The optimist in me, sees the decision taken at Ramstein, points to Ukraine being slowly abandoned, because what was promised, is symbolic.


The pessimist in me, looking at the row between Germany and the U.S. regarding delivery of MBTs, could potentially push a SEPARATE decision of Poland and other countries, a so-called "Coalition of the willing", supported by the U.S., to directly enter Ukraine war, by-passing the row between Germany and the U.S.


The realist in me sees this row as apparent only, and a decision from Germany to approve sending tanks in Ukraine will come in the very near future, as well as the U.S. sending longer range missiles to Ukraine.




Will see which one of the above will happen.

I bolded this part from my update on page 474, on January 8th.



Zaporoje front, which was basically frozen for many months, just light up across the entire line, and it happened EXACTLY when I said it will : 1 or 2 days after Soledar AND Klisheevka will fall.


Klisheevka fell, well, 2 days ago, and Zaporoje front is seeing the preliminary attacks before a big offensive.


Once certain locations in Zaporoje will be secured (Orikhiv and Hulyapole), Kharkov front will be activated.

Thanks DR for your latest updates. :-)

Looks efficient, just use any twig will do.



Last Edited by whitepiedtv on 01/20/2023 09:33 PM

I think it's clear that no western country wants to give Ukraine their best weapons. Weapons that in the end would be nothing else but good targets for Russian artillery

If that is the case, there would be no reason for the Ukrainian army to prolong the fight. There could be a coup or they could switch to the Russian side. Nato then could retain the power in Ukraine only entering the country. And considering that Russia has strengthened their positions on the polish border, maybe that this is what they expect

Well, we didn't had to wait too long to see that Germany is fine with Poland sending Leopard 2's to Ukraine.



Now, Poland will send 14 Leopard 2 to Ukraine, which again, is not enough. That is 28 MBTs, 14 Challengers 2 and 14 Leopard 2.


However, as we all know, and hopefully you have been paying attention of what I have been saying in early 2021, that a war between Russia and NATO is inevitable, this is just the START of NATO sending Western tanks to Ukraine.



What is much more important, is that those tanks will have NATO SOLDIERS AS A CREW, not Ukrainians, not mercs, and whoever thinks otherwise is simply an ignorant regarding military, in general, and military hardware especially.



Ukraine had 1,800 combat ready tanks, before February 24th 2022. Now, where the hell are those tanks, because Ukraine received almost 400 additional tanks from former Warsaw Pact countries, so...where are those 2,200 tanks?


The answer is simple : almost all of them are scrap metal, or captured. Ukraine is down to under 200 tanks at this moment, but MORE IMPORTANT, they are down to LESS THEN THE ABOVE NUMBER regarding tank crews.



Western tanks have 4 crew members, while Soviet and Russian tanks have 3. In other words, Ukraine is down even MORE in tank personnel.



Training a tank crew for Western tanks, a crew that was trained on a COMPLETELY different type of tank, will require, in all honestly, a minimum 6 months just to KNOW how to operate that tank, and at least ONE YEAR, to have that tank crew COMBAT READY.



So, who is going to use those tanks, because I am sure as hell that it won't be Ukrainians, and I am pretty damn sure that mercs aren't tankers, or fighter jet pilots?




It will be NATO troops.



And this is WHY Russia is warning about Western tanks being sent to Ukraine.


Now, if the ONLY tanks that will be sent will be those 28 (14 Challenger, 14 leopard), Russia won't give a flying fuck. It will turn those tanks to scrap metal if they are sent to the front lines.



HOWEVER, this is just the start. Hundreds of tanks will be sent to Ukraine, and INSIDE THEM, there will be Polish, American, German troops.


Does anyone, sane enough, is going to believe that the West will INVEST their OWN troops and tanks, and sending them to war WITHOUT PROPER ARTILLERY, AIR DEFENSE and AIR SUPPORT???




No, obviously not. The West will send artillery, air defense and fighter jets, AND THIS IS WHY RUSSIA WILL HAVE NO CHOICE BUT EXPAND THE WAR OVER UKRAINE'S BORDERS.


West already sent 50 Bradley's IFV and the U.S. announced another 59 of them. Germany sent 50 MARDER IFV, and these 158 IFVs are BEST USED in support of tanks, A LOT OF TANKS, clearly not just 28 of them...



But, still, no enough. Artillery is needed, not only IFV's. Air defense is needed (and we know that at least 4 Patriot batteries are already approved for Ukraine).



Still, the most important part is still missing : AIR SUPPORT, and this means F-16s, F-35s, F-22s, etc. (by etc. I mean European made fighter jets).



Fighter jets are coming, and NATO pilots will FLY THEM, simply because the time needed to train Ukrainian pilots to be combat ready in using Western jets is AT LEAST TWO YEARS.



Get ready people. We're getting very, very close to WW3 expanding beyond Ukraine.

Thanks DR for your detail update.

My worry is since the war between NATO and Russia is inevitable and most likely will end up nuclear; will the Russia go for nuclear war first, followed by fighting the conventional war later; as after nuclear war, they still have to fight for the ground war to finish off whatever armed forces is left behind (survived) from either side.

It looks to me Russia is preparing for ultimate full war (including nuclear) at this point of time.

Thanks.

Last Edited by CoronaCoaster2 on 01/23/2023 09:40 AM

There is no need for a nuclear war, for the world to suffer devastating consequences, similar to a nuclear war.


All that is needed is for conventional war to escalate all the way UP to nuclear, but not become nuclear.



Try and imagine a conventional war in 2023, with missiles destroying the power plants, including the nuclear ones, the primary and secondary ports and airports, in Russia, China, the U.S. and Western Europe.





We don't need to worry about nukes...the world can be destroyed without launching a single nuke.

Last Edited by Recollector on 01/23/2023 01:02 PM

Thanks DR, you are right, should be for a start, likely something worst than world war 2 (non nuclear first, i can imaging Ukranine's type of destruction everywhere) disrupting everyone's daily life and i also totally forgot about the nuclear power plant, thanks. :-)

Thread: Germany + United States Sending Leopard 2 Tanks Confirmed (Page 2)

Last Edited by Recollector on 01/24/2023 02:30 PM

Thanks DR, we are watching the world going into WW3 while we can't do anything to stop the nightmare except to prep our self as much as possible (provided we didn't perish in the nuke).

No link but I just read on one of the large new services that the US is calling for fighter jets now. You nailed it again about support

It's simple military logic, nothing more.


Tanks range is about 4-5 km. They are countered by artillery, which have from 10 to 40 km range. Rocket artillery have much longer range.


So, what counters artillery? Better artillery, but that is in positional fighting, not mobile, offensive operations, which tanks are used for primarily.


Artillery is countered by fighter jets, who can hit them from very long distance (up to 200 km missiles deployed on Gen 5 fighter jets).


But the fighter jets are countered by missile air defense, which can hit them from 300 km to 400 km range.



There is only one RELIABLE counter for Air Defense : cruise missiles.



Ukraine doesn't have cruise missiles. NATO does.




So, next is CRUISE MISSILES.





This is why Western tanks means WW3, because it starts a MUST DO chain, that ends up with NATO cruise missile strikes on Russian air defense.

Thank you for the logic.

Great update (as always)

Dr i suspect no nato country will give any tank to Ukraine

Maybe nato will enter Ukraine with its armies, but except this hypothesis the war has ended

I am going to be a little bit more explicit about tanks.


I said that those tanks will be manned by NATO troops, and those tanks are the top tanks that NATO have, for example, Leopard 2 A6 and A7, M1A2 Abrams, etc.



HOWEVER, there are earlier versions of tanks, that will be given to Ukraine, and quite fast, and those tanks will have Ukrainian tankers manning them.


Even if almost all UKR tanks were destroyed, some of them were destroyed while unmanned, in their depos. Which means that there are still enough UKR tankers to man 150-200 tanks.


Not to mention that any army will have at least TWICE the number of tank crews then the number of tanks they actually have.




So, it is possible, and highly probable, that hundreds of UKR tankers went to Germany and Poland, and trained on Leopard and Abrams, and such, it is also possible, and entirely probable, that the first batch of tanks that UKR will get will be older versions of Leopard 2 and Abrams.



Germany said that they will give 14 Leopards to UKR, sometime in March, while allowing all countries who have Leopards to sent them to Ukraine.





What we are facing now is how long until direct fighting starts between NATO and Russia, and we have only THREE POSSIBLE ANSWERS :


ONE : If UKR gets older tanks first, without air support, WW3 is postponed.


TWO : If the West considers that those tanks UKR will get (older versions) will be destroyed w/o air support, and gives UKR a small numbers of jets, WW3 is postponed.


THREE : Once the above possibilities are EXHAUSTED, and I believe that we will see ONE or TWO taking place before THREE, the West will directly enter Ukraine, officially, with NATO troops, tanks, missiles, jets, all the shebang.




The BEST I can see unfolding is we could be given maybe 3 months to prepare before direct conflict between Russia and NATO.




But I don't see that happening. I don't think we have 3 months. I think we are not going to enter the month of March 2023 without Russia clashing with NATO.

To understand why tanks are, first, NOT OBSOLETE, and secondly, why they represent in the case of Ukraine, the ONLY STEP NEEDED to start WW3, watch this video :





The conclusion (my conclusion, not the narrator) is very simple : Ukraine doesn't have the time or tankers to be able to field enough tanks to matter, and the only possible way for NATO to stop Russia is direct war, plain and simple.

Very good video. Thanks.