WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77013157 United States 02/22/2020 06:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Someone should READ this! Quoting: dan_99503 You can kill the coronavirus and NOT get sick.. This is a paper on killing CoronaVirus with MMS. You can ingest MMS, it has been used for many years and will kill the coronavirus. Google MMS to learn more.. It's been in use for many years, it is safe and it works! I am putting this out there so some of you can get ready and avoid getting sick completely. "STUDY solutions️ Chlorine dioxide solutions inactivate coronavirus - My appeal to the medical community As early as 2005, a Chinese study by the Tianjin Institute for Environment and Health demonstrated the effectiveness of chlorine dioxide solutions against coronavirus, which is associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome. In this study, the persistence and inactivation of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV) in feces, urine and water was examined. “In vitro experiments showed that the virus could only persist in hospital wastewater, domestic wastewater and de-chlorinated tap water for two days, while it persisted at 20 ° C in faeces, 14 days in PBS and 17 days in urine. At 4 degrees C, however, SARS-CoV can persist for 14 days in wastewater and at least 17 days in feces or urine. […] 2.19 mg / L of chlorine dioxide in wastewater guarantees complete inactivation of SARS-CoV […] “. (Wang XW, 2015) My appeal to doctors who treat around the world * An effective dose of 2.19 mg / L chlorine dioxide (see study above) corresponds to an amount of 0.00219 g / L chlorine dioxide. One liter of a 0.3% chlorine dioxide solution contains 3 g / L chlorine dioxide. Production time of 60 minutes - the raw material costs 20 cents. My personal intake of oral chlorine dioxide is 0.3 g / L per day. In extreme situations, I administer up to 0.6 g / 2L daily - for example during my development aid missions abroad. I deduce that my personal maximum daily oral dose, the concentration of chlorine dioxide effective against the coronavirus, is 270 times (rounded). If, due to a patent coma condition, oral ingestion was no longer possible, I would administer 500 ml of 0.03 g / L chlorine dioxide infusion solution up to twice a day intravenously. Even this low dose exceeds the dose of chlorine dioxide effective against the coronavirus (rounded) by 13 times. If it is reasonably assumed that this amount of chlorine dioxide is diluted in the human body, the amount mentioned in The concentration of effectiveness called the study can be achieved in any case. This should show positive results no later than 3-10 days. It is a pleasure to train anyone interested in these specialized areas, www.chlordioxid-fachseminar.com/ , to achieve the highest possible degree of self-sufficiency in connection with the active ingredients mentioned above, including: Part of my seminars on search. Reference Wang XW, L.J. (06 2015). Study on resistance to coronavirus associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome. (US National Biotechnology Information Center, publisher) doi: 10.1016 / j.jviromet.2005.02.005 Link to original article in Portuguese [link to t.me (secure)] Documentary on MMS [link to www.brighteon.com (secure)] The scare tactic from the government is showing a bottle of chlorine bleach and saying don't drink it, it will kill you. No one is advocating doing anything stupid like drinking Chlorine bleach, this is their common scare tactic just like the blue man with Colloidal silver. You can order MMS online at many place referenced on Jim Humble's site. You can also buy it in bulk, it's used for livestock to reduce mortality rates in animals. You can purchase it or you can make it yourself. You can order bulk here, I ordered a gallon and a 1lb of Citric acid (activator). [link to www.revivalanimal.com (secure)] YOU DON'T HAVE TO GET SICK FROM THIS! This is a lot of MMS and you can use it on a lot of people. It's easy to make and very inexpensive. Thanks Dan! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33625772 United States 02/22/2020 06:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | hi again, from Iowa, so lets say you have a friend with an important job for one of the acronyms, abc, etc... if the US was going too shit, why would that person buy a brand new mustang, it doesn't add up Quoting: 71cuda 78330135 The way our society is set up you're far better off owing a bumch in a collapse and having your things. Not like anyone coming to repossess. Where as having pile of money in bank or 401k could be inaccessible. I don't know this for sure obviously. Inflation could do same thing that mustang could cost 200,000$$ if dollar crashes. I splurged and bought couple crazy vehicles. Things I can afford but just decided f,,,it I'm getting them. Not to mention plenty of medical and food stuff. It'll get used someday. It's a nobrainer to spend now on those type things. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77013157 United States 02/22/2020 06:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Someone should READ this! Quoting: dan_99503 You can kill the coronavirus and NOT get sick.. This is a paper on killing CoronaVirus with MMS. You can ingest MMS, it has been used for many years and will kill the coronavirus. Google MMS to learn more.. It's been in use for many years, it is safe and it works! I am putting this out there so some of you can get ready and avoid getting sick completely. "STUDY solutions️ Chlorine dioxide solutions inactivate coronavirus - My appeal to the medical community As early as 2005, a Chinese study by the Tianjin Institute for Environment and Health demonstrated the effectiveness of chlorine dioxide solutions against coronavirus, which is associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome. In this study, the persistence and inactivation of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV) in feces, urine and water was examined. “In vitro experiments showed that the virus could only persist in hospital wastewater, domestic wastewater and de-chlorinated tap water for two days, while it persisted at 20 ° C in faeces, 14 days in PBS and 17 days in urine. At 4 degrees C, however, SARS-CoV can persist for 14 days in wastewater and at least 17 days in feces or urine. […] 2.19 mg / L of chlorine dioxide in wastewater guarantees complete inactivation of SARS-CoV […] “. (Wang XW, 2015) My appeal to doctors who treat around the world * An effective dose of 2.19 mg / L chlorine dioxide (see study above) corresponds to an amount of 0.00219 g / L chlorine dioxide. One liter of a 0.3% chlorine dioxide solution contains 3 g / L chlorine dioxide. Production time of 60 minutes - the raw material costs 20 cents. My personal intake of oral chlorine dioxide is 0.3 g / L per day. In extreme situations, I administer up to 0.6 g / 2L daily - for example during my development aid missions abroad. I deduce that my personal maximum daily oral dose, the concentration of chlorine dioxide effective against the coronavirus, is 270 times (rounded). If, due to a patent coma condition, oral ingestion was no longer possible, I would administer 500 ml of 0.03 g / L chlorine dioxide infusion solution up to twice a day intravenously. Even this low dose exceeds the dose of chlorine dioxide effective against the coronavirus (rounded) by 13 times. If it is reasonably assumed that this amount of chlorine dioxide is diluted in the human body, the amount mentioned in The concentration of effectiveness called the study can be achieved in any case. This should show positive results no later than 3-10 days. It is a pleasure to train anyone interested in these specialized areas, www.chlordioxid-fachseminar.com/ , to achieve the highest possible degree of self-sufficiency in connection with the active ingredients mentioned above, including: Part of my seminars on search. Reference Wang XW, L.J. (06 2015). Study on resistance to coronavirus associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome. (US National Biotechnology Information Center, publisher) doi: 10.1016 / j.jviromet.2005.02.005 Link to original article in Portuguese [link to t.me (secure)] Documentary on MMS [link to www.brighteon.com (secure)] The scare tactic from the government is showing a bottle of chlorine bleach and saying don't drink it, it will kill you. No one is advocating doing anything stupid like drinking Chlorine bleach, this is their common scare tactic just like the blue man with Colloidal silver. You can order MMS online at many place referenced on Jim Humble's site. You can also buy it in bulk, it's used for livestock to reduce mortality rates in animals. You can purchase it or you can make it yourself. You can order bulk here, I ordered a gallon and a 1lb of Citric acid (activator). [link to www.revivalanimal.com (secure)] YOU DON'T HAVE TO GET SICK FROM THIS! This is a lot of MMS and you can use it on a lot of people. It's easy to make and very inexpensive. Links don't work. |
de38always
User ID: 58309833 United States 02/22/2020 07:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78122479 United States 02/22/2020 07:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Times running out for me in san Diego Quoting: mr. jingles [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)] Dunno if this source is legit ZEROHEDGE SAYS THEY HAVE BETWEEN 200 AND 304 SUSPECTED CASES IN THE CITY/COUNTY San Diego has almost exactly 1% of the US population. That would mean between 20,000 to 30,400 suspected cases in the US. |
esoteric Morgan
...in awe of many things User ID: 78384483 United States 02/22/2020 07:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now 9 reported deaths in Iran. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78420351 Iran Reports 9 Coronavirus-Linked Deaths As WHO Warns Number Of Cases Outside China 'Won't Stay Low For Very Long' [link to www.zerohedge.com (secure)] A while back, a few people here were following 'big Dick' on halfchan. He said that back in October-November (?) when Russia & China assets collaborated to steal vials of this bio-weapon, a road accident occured, sending part of the vector into a ditch. The result in Hubei Province caused a 50 miles spread of vector to be released, yet unsuccesfullly contained, against all means to contain it among many villiages... ...while the Russian portion made its way to Iran. He's repeated, and elaborated on it, a few times since. Look...IDK what the truth *really* is, but it was 'dropped' BEFORE China announced the emergence of this alleged virus. Now that the virus is being noted in Iran, I must wonder if there was any *real* info in that drop...rather than any disinformation we might have expected. As I said, I have no idea WHAT the truth is, however, when you read a possible larp *back then*...only to see it possibly emerging as truth going forward, what's the possibility that somewhere inside those 'drops lies truth? This whole virus-bioweapon-vaccine meme is fukey enough to send us all into rabbit-holes deep and narrow for whatever answers we might find. In THIS particular case, the Iran-has-a-growing-number-of-cases part truly makes me wonder. Last Edited by esotericMorgan on 02/22/2020 07:17 PM -- TRUST THE PLAN -- .......WWG1WGA...... ____________________________ still in awe of many things |
Big Duke6
User ID: 78331582 Canada 02/22/2020 07:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78271728 Canada 02/22/2020 07:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Found your comment on Diamond Princess OP. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 76871995 Infection rate was 17% with just 2 deaths from 3700 people in close quarters dancing and eating at buffets for weeks. Why would there only be 2 deaths? Thanks READ THE DAMN THREAD!!! Losers like you keep asking the same stupid questions about mortality rates and OP has REPEATEDLY stated his model is designed to project INFECTION RATES ONLY. He has REPEATEDLY stated his model does NOT address mortality rates. READ BEFORE YOU POST!!! . Infection rates mean jack shit to us. Can we get it? Sure. Just like any common cold. But will it kill us is what we care about? Then care about it in a different thread? OP has already made clear that is not the focus of THIS thread. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78332155 United States 02/22/2020 07:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Has anyone posted a thread speculating on link between World Military games held in Huwan mid-Oct to early November 2019? Quoting: Big Duke6 That shit is just too coincidental. I remember reading that and wondered as to just so many countries soldiery were in Wuhan? Tweet that Mr Trump. Wikipedia tells you the answer to that. over 100 countries participated. US had over 170 participants. Even Iran was there - 90 participants. over 9,000 athletes total. They keep saying they don't know how Iran got it. They were at these military games too!!!!! why aren't they discussing these games on MSM or Fox? |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78508556 Italy 02/22/2020 07:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
esoteric Morgan
...in awe of many things User ID: 78384483 United States 02/22/2020 07:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Has anyone posted a thread speculating on link between World Military games held in Huwan mid-Oct to early November 2019? Quoting: Big Duke6 That shit is just too coincidental. I remember reading that and wondered as to just so many countries soldiery were in Wuhan? Tweet that Mr Trump. Wikipedia tells you the answer to that. over 100 countries participated. US had over 170 participants. Even Iran was there - 90 participants. over 9,000 athletes total. They keep saying they don't know how Iran got it. They were at these military games too!!!!! why aren't they discussing these games on MSM or Fox? Although I read about it, I've forgotten when this occured. Do you know? -- TRUST THE PLAN -- .......WWG1WGA...... ____________________________ still in awe of many things |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78332155 United States 02/22/2020 07:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Has anyone posted a thread speculating on link between World Military games held in Huwan mid-Oct to early November 2019? Quoting: Big Duke6 That shit is just too coincidental. I remember reading that and wondered as to just so many countries soldiery were in Wuhan? Tweet that Mr Trump. Wikipedia tells you the answer to that. over 100 countries participated. US had over 170 participants. Even Iran was there - 90 participants. over 9,000 athletes total. They keep saying they don't know how Iran got it. They were at these military games too!!!!! why aren't they discussing these games on MSM or Fox? [link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)] sorry - I forgot link above. |
Big Duke6
User ID: 78331582 Canada 02/22/2020 07:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Has anyone posted a thread speculating on link between World Military games held in Huwan mid-Oct to early November 2019? Quoting: Big Duke6 That shit is just too coincidental. I remember reading that and wondered as to just so many countries soldiery were in Wuhan? Tweet that Mr Trump. Thinking the Chicoms matbe dosed the visiting western militaries with hope long incubation and shed characteristics would significantly erode western military mission readiness. |
esoteric Morgan
...in awe of many things User ID: 78384483 United States 02/22/2020 07:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Has anyone posted a thread speculating on link between World Military games held in Huwan mid-Oct to early November 2019? Quoting: Big Duke6 That shit is just too coincidental. I remember reading that and wondered as to just so many countries soldiery were in Wuhan? Tweet that Mr Trump. Wikipedia tells you the answer to that. over 100 countries participated. US had over 170 participants. Even Iran was there - 90 participants. over 9,000 athletes total. They keep saying they don't know how Iran got it. They were at these military games too!!!!! why aren't they discussing these games on MSM or Fox? Although I read about it, I've forgotten when this occured. Do you know? Has anyone posted a thread speculating on link between World Military games held in Huwan mid-Oct to early November 2019? Quoting: Big Duke6 That shit is just too coincidental. I remember reading that and wondered as to just so many countries soldiery were in Wuhan? Tweet that Mr Trump. Wikipedia tells you the answer to that. over 100 countries participated. US had over 170 participants. Even Iran was there - 90 participants. over 9,000 athletes total. They keep saying they don't know how Iran got it. They were at these military games too!!!!! why aren't they discussing these games on MSM or Fox? [link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)] sorry - I forgot link above. Thanks. 2019 Military World Games in Wuhan from 18 to 27 October 2019 This answered my question. -- TRUST THE PLAN -- .......WWG1WGA...... ____________________________ still in awe of many things |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1387592 United States 02/22/2020 07:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
CAPMAN User ID: 78248651 United States 02/22/2020 07:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Times running out for me in san Diego Quoting: mr. jingles [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)] Dunno if this source is legit ZEROHEDGE SAYS THEY HAVE BETWEEN 200 AND 304 SUSPECTED CASES IN THE CITY/COUNTY San Diego has almost exactly 1% of the US population. That would mean between 20,000 to 30,400 suspected cases in the US. THIS 'THING' IS A WARMING UP BAG OF POPCORN...OIL IS 'HOT'..KERNELS BEEN IN THERE FOR A-WHILE NOW....WE'RE SCREWED..!UH |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77915435 United Kingdom 02/22/2020 07:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
mr. jingles
User ID: 72142326 United States 02/22/2020 07:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Times running out for me in san Diego Quoting: mr. jingles [link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)] Dunno if this source is legit ZEROHEDGE SAYS THEY HAVE BETWEEN 200 AND 304 SUSPECTED CASES IN THE CITY/COUNTY San Diego has almost exactly 1% of the US population. That would mean between 20,000 to 30,400 suspected cases in the US. THIS 'THING' IS A WARMING UP BAG OF POPCORN...OIL IS 'HOT'..KERNELS BEEN IN THERE FOR A-WHILE NOW....WE'RE SCREWED..!UH Im at balboa park and theres a shit ton of peoole for a partly rainy day. All these unsuspecting people have no idea. San Diego will be hit hard with how much tourism there is. Its peak tourism because end of February it warms up while thier states are still cold. Infection is being imported in. And exported domestically to other states. Not good at all Last Edited by mr. jingles on 02/22/2020 07:39 PM mr. jingles |
esoteric Morgan
...in awe of many things User ID: 78384483 United States 02/22/2020 07:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Considering how few countries are willing, or is it able to, consider that this season's spread of 'seasonal flu' m8ght be anything out of the norm, I suppose any viral release at that time would go unnoticed. I know I'm 'beginning' to sound more CT than reasonable, however, this vector is not at all 'reasonable' in terms of its naissance or what CDC, WHO and their minions are espousing. At least here, on GLP, we're looking at this more deeply than the general public. I think there's truth to be found in its spread...the wheres and hows. And...WHY TPTB are muddling info on it. Apologies for veering off the narratives, looking for whatever truth might emerge. -- TRUST THE PLAN -- .......WWG1WGA...... ____________________________ still in awe of many things |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78248651 United States 02/22/2020 07:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: UH 70817168 ZEROHEDGE SAYS THEY HAVE BETWEEN 200 AND 304 SUSPECTED CASES IN THE CITY/COUNTY San Diego has almost exactly 1% of the US population. That would mean between 20,000 to 30,400 suspected cases in the US. THIS 'THING' IS A WARMING UP BAG OF POPCORN...OIL IS 'HOT'..KERNELS BEEN IN THERE FOR A-WHILE NOW....WE'RE SCREWED..!UH Im at balboa park and theres a shit ton of peoole for a partly rainy day. All these unsuspecting people have no idea. San Diego will be hit hard with how much tourism there is. Its peak tourism because end of February it warms up while thier states are still cold. Infection is being imported in. And exported domestically to other states. Not good at all NOT TO MENTION ..MEXICO..AND THE POROUS BORDERS...HA HA! THE BUSES THERE RUN EVERYWHERE...EXPRESS BUSES TOO! ...THEY WILL END UP STORMING THE SQUAT-DE-MALAN BORDER! HA HA HA HA HA! |
dan_99503
User ID: 62341453 United States 02/22/2020 07:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thanks, - Dan Someone should READ this! Quoting: dan_99503 You can kill the coronavirus and NOT get sick.. This is a paper on killing CoronaVirus with MMS. You can ingest MMS, it has been used for many years and will kill the coronavirus. Google MMS to learn more.. It's been in use for many years, it is safe and it works! I am putting this out there so some of you can get ready and avoid getting sick completely. "STUDY solutions️ Chlorine dioxide solutions inactivate coronavirus - My appeal to the medical community As early as 2005, a Chinese study by the Tianjin Institute for Environment and Health demonstrated the effectiveness of chlorine dioxide solutions against coronavirus, which is associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome. In this study, the persistence and inactivation of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV) in feces, urine and water was examined. “In vitro experiments showed that the virus could only persist in hospital wastewater, domestic wastewater and de-chlorinated tap water for two days, while it persisted at 20 ° C in faeces, 14 days in PBS and 17 days in urine. At 4 degrees C, however, SARS-CoV can persist for 14 days in wastewater and at least 17 days in feces or urine. […] 2.19 mg / L of chlorine dioxide in wastewater guarantees complete inactivation of SARS-CoV […] “. (Wang XW, 2015) My appeal to doctors who treat around the world * An effective dose of 2.19 mg / L chlorine dioxide (see study above) corresponds to an amount of 0.00219 g / L chlorine dioxide. One liter of a 0.3% chlorine dioxide solution contains 3 g / L chlorine dioxide. Production time of 60 minutes - the raw material costs 20 cents. My personal intake of oral chlorine dioxide is 0.3 g / L per day. In extreme situations, I administer up to 0.6 g / 2L daily - for example during my development aid missions abroad. I deduce that my personal maximum daily oral dose, the concentration of chlorine dioxide effective against the coronavirus, is 270 times (rounded). If, due to a patent coma condition, oral ingestion was no longer possible, I would administer 500 ml of 0.03 g / L chlorine dioxide infusion solution up to twice a day intravenously. Even this low dose exceeds the dose of chlorine dioxide effective against the coronavirus (rounded) by 13 times. If it is reasonably assumed that this amount of chlorine dioxide is diluted in the human body, the amount mentioned in The concentration of effectiveness called the study can be achieved in any case. This should show positive results no later than 3-10 days. It is a pleasure to train anyone interested in these specialized areas, www.chlordioxid-fachseminar.com/ , to achieve the highest possible degree of self-sufficiency in connection with the active ingredients mentioned above, including: Part of my seminars on search. Reference Wang XW, L.J. (06 2015). Study on resistance to coronavirus associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome. (US National Biotechnology Information Center, publisher) doi: 10.1016 / j.jviromet.2005.02.005 Link to original article in Portuguese [link to t.me (secure)] Documentary on MMS [link to www.brighteon.com (secure)] The scare tactic from the government is showing a bottle of chlorine bleach and saying don't drink it, it will kill you. No one is advocating doing anything stupid like drinking Chlorine bleach, this is their common scare tactic just like the blue man with Colloidal silver. You can order MMS online at many place referenced on Jim Humble's site. You can also buy it in bulk, it's used for livestock to reduce mortality rates in animals. You can purchase it or you can make it yourself. You can order bulk here, I ordered a gallon and a 1lb of Citric acid (activator). [link to www.revivalanimal.com (secure)] YOU DON'T HAVE TO GET SICK FROM THIS! This is a lot of MMS and you can use it on a lot of people. It's easy to make and very inexpensive. Links don't work. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77052964 Australia 02/22/2020 07:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Fluffy Pancakes
User ID: 53929545 United States 02/22/2020 07:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Is Italy being honest and the US dishonest? Right now, Italy is showing 79 positives. US says 35, but...We know that's a lie. 35-50 to positives to be sent to Costa Mesa. Stopped temporarily though: Thread: 35-50 Diagnosed Corona Virus Patients to be Moved to Costa Mesa...WTH?!!! Last Edited by Fluffy Pancakes on 02/22/2020 07:44 PM Things are bad enough, there is no need to make anything up. ~Fluffy "Never interrupt an enemy in the process of destroying himself." Quercitin and zinc...Get it. Take it. Visit howbad.info...If you took the shot, for sure. |
Dave User ID: 74413670 United States 02/22/2020 07:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
mr. jingles
User ID: 72142326 United States 02/22/2020 07:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77150214 United States 02/22/2020 08:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77150214 United States 02/22/2020 08:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Steffenfield
User ID: 78506953 United States 02/22/2020 08:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 78490220 Australia 02/22/2020 08:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Digital mix guy
User ID: 76961927 United States 02/22/2020 08:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | VERY IMPORTANT UPDATE : Quoting: deplorable recollector February 15th, 16:30 GMT A NEW, ADJUSTED MODEL IS NOW POSTED. THE FORMED MODEL was deleted. Important notes : 1.Testing kits are not reliable 2.African countries, India, South and Central America countries, Eastern Europe countries, Pakistan, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Cambodia, other SE Asian countries, all former Soviet republics, most Middle East either don't have testing kits, laboratories or simply are unable/unwilling to detect/confirm the COVID19 cases. About 70% of the population outside China belong to the above countries - cca. 4.4 billion people, labeled as Category B countries. 3.Western Europe, Japan, the U.S., South Korea, Australia, New Zeeland, Singapore are most likely not confirming COVID19 cases to postpone the panic and prop the markets. About 30% of the population outside China belong to the above countries - cca. 1.9 billion people, labeled as Category A countries. 4.Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau are considered as a part of the countries and cities outside China. 5.Confirmed cases are still announced the day after the testing is done (24hr lag). The model is based on a number of 2,000-2,500 infected people outside China, on January 28th, with an infection rate that is doubling every 2.5 days. Los Alamos Labs study, peer reviewed, acknowledges an infection rate doubling every 2.4 days.. [link to arxiv.org (secure)] The novel coronavirus (2019‐nCoV) is a recently emerged human pathogen that has spread widely since January 2020. Initially, the basic reproductive number, R0, was estimated to be 2.2 to 2.7. (from the study). The previous model was based on an R0 of 2.4-2.6, with a 70-80% contagion chance, which resulted in an infection rate that was doubling every 22 hrs.. I was using the data that was known at that point. World population outside China, with their respective share of infected cases (higher for India and Africa) : India : 1,400,000,000 - (22,29%) - infected share: 27% Africa : 1,216,000,000 - (19.35%) - infected share: 23% North America : 368,000,000 - 5,85% : infected share: 5% Central America + South America : 608,000,000 - 9.68% - infected share: 9% Europe : 747,000,000 - 11.90% - infected share: 9% Asia (minus China and India) : 1,900,000 - 30.25% - infected share: 27% January(infected people): 28th : 2,000-2,500 29th : 3,200-4,000 30th : 4,400-5,500 31st : 5,600-7,000 February(infected people): 1st : 6,800-8,500 2nd : 8,000-10,000 3rd : 12,800-16,000 4th : 17,600-22,000 Presenting symptoms : 1,000-1,250 Serious/critical cases (18%): 202. 5th : 22,400-28,000 Presenting symptoms : 1,600-2,000 6th : 27,200-34,000 (275 confirmed, 20 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 2,200-2,750 7th : 32,000-40,000 (327 confirmed, 61 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 2,800-3,500 Serious/critical cases (18%): 567. 8th : 51,200-64,000 (354 confirmed, 64 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 3,400-4,250 9th : 70,400-88,000 (379 confirmed, 70 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 4,000-5,000 10th : 89,600-112,000 (461 confirmed, 135 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 6,400-8,000 Serious/critical cases (18%): 1,296. 11th : 108,800-136,000 (517 confirmed, 174 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 8,800-11,000 (+3,485 added from the staggered numbers from previous 7 days), for a median number of 13,355 for this day. Serious/critical cases (18%): 2,403. 12th : 128,000-160,000 (523 confirmed, 174 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 11,200-14,000 13th : 204,800-256,000 (586 confirmed, 218 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 13,600-17,000 Serious/critical cases (18%): 2,754. 14th : 281,600-352,000 (608 confirmed, 218 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 16,000-20,000 15th : 358,400-448,000 (697 confirmed, 285 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 26,100-32,000 16th : 435,200-544,000 (781 confirmed, 355 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 35,200-44,000 Serious/critical cases (18%): 7,128. 17th : 512,000-640,000(896 confirmed, 454 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 44,800-56,000 18th : 819,000-1,024,000(999 confirmed, 542 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 54,400-68,000 (+20,048 added from the staggered numbers from previous 7 days), for a median number of 81,248 for this day. Serious/critical cases (18%): 14,624. 19th : 1,126,000-1,408,000(1,116 confirmed, 621 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 64,000-80,000 20th : 1,433,000-1,792,000(1,198 confirmed, 634 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 102,400-128,000 21st : 1,740,000-2,176,000(1,379 confirmed, 634 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 140,800-176,000 N.America share (5%) : 87,000-108,000 infected Presenting symptoms : 7,040-8,800 Europe share (9%) : 156,000-195,000 infected Presenting symptoms : 12,672-15,840 22nd : 2,048,000-2,560,000(1,695 confirmed, 634 on Diamond Princess) Presenting symptoms : 179,200-224,000 Serious/critical cases (18%): 36,288. N.America share (5%) : 102,400-128,000 infected Presenting symptoms :8,960-11,200 Europe share (9%) : 184,000-230,000 infected Presenting symptoms : 16,120-20,160 23rd : 3,277,000-4,096,000 Presenting symptoms : 217,600-272,000 N.America share (5%) : 163,850-204,800 infected Presenting symptoms : 10,880-13,600 Europe share (9%) : 294,930-368,640 infected Presenting symptoms : 19,500-24,500 24th : 4,506,000-5,632,000 Presenting symptoms : 256,000-320,000 (+128,953 added from the staggered numbers from previous 7 days), for a median number of 421,453 for this day. Serious/critical cases (18%): 75,861. N.America share (5%) : 225,300-281,600 infected Presenting symptoms : 12,800-16,000 Europe share (9%) : 405,000-506,000 infected Presenting symptoms : 23,000-28,800 25th : 5,735,000-7,168,000 Presenting symptoms : 409,500-512,000 26th : 6,964,000-8,704,000 Presenting symptoms : 563,000-704,000 Serious/critical cases (18%): 114,030 27th : 8,192,000-10,240,000 Presenting symptoms : 716,500-896,000 N.America share (5%) : 409,600-512,000 infected Presenting symptoms : 35,800-44,800 Europe share (9%) : 737,000-921,000 infected Presenting symptoms : 64,500-80,600 28th : 13,107,000-16,384,000 Presenting symptoms : 870,000-1,088,000 29th : 18,022,000-22,528,000 Presenting symptoms :1,024,000-1,280,000 Serious/critical cases (18%): 207,360. March(infected people): 1st : 22,937,000-28,672,000 Presenting symptoms : 1,638,500-2,048,000 N.America share (5%) : 1,146,800-1,433,600 infected Presenting symptoms : 81,925-102,000 Europe share (9%) : 2,064,000-2,580,000 infected Presenting symptoms : 147,400-184,300 2nd : 27,852,000-34,816,000 Presenting symptoms : 2,253,000-2,816,000 (+610,807 added from the staggered numbers from previous 7 days), for a median number of 3,145,307 for this day. Serious/critical cases (18%): 566,165. 3rd : 32,768,000-40,960,000 Presenting symptoms : 2,867,500-3,584,000 N.America share (5%) : 1,638,400-2,048,000 infected Presenting symptoms : 143,300-179,000 Europe share (9%) : 2,949,000-3,686,000 infected Presenting symptoms : 258,000-322,000 In the last days, most officially confirmed cases were detected roughly 7 days after symptoms appeared. There were some exceptions, with 15-21 days incubation period, but most were in the 7 day range. However, a significant number of infected people will be asymptomatic for 12-14 or more days, which is roughly 40-50% of the infected people, at a given date. I will round it up to 50%. The remaining 50% will be staggered for an additional 7 days, but in order to avoid adding a ton of numbers for every day, I will add them up every 7 days. Applying this to my model, the number of symptomatic people on February 5th is about half the number of infected people on January 28th. I will add the serious and critical cases (18% of the total) every 3-4 days and the days with the added staggered cases. The current model points to an overload of the healthcare systems in Europe and the U.S. to start around mid-March, with Hong Kong, Singapore and Japan to start feeling the pressure at the end of February. The former model was pointing that the healthcare systems would start feeling the pressure around mid-February for Hong Kong, Singapore and Japan, with Europe and U.S. by early March. The former model was off by about 2 weeks. The new model will have its critical period between March 2nd-March 8th., when it will be adjusted again, if new information regarding the R0, contagion chance and other related information come to light. --------------------------------------------------------- Have no fear, Spock is here!!! LLAP |