Great work OP, the numbers are ok giving the R0 ur thinking at.But CCP and no one else is taking into consideration the mutations and that it can be/become airborn + 2-28 days it takes to die wich means that its real value is way higher. Imagine someone sneezing in China and infecting 100 peoples in Japan if the wind decides to blow that way.Thats the real R0.The cases we`re getting right now are diluted by the CCP + incubation period + the silent/inactive infected ones + the tests crysis China is facing rn.

Just my 2 cents on this .. by the end of summer we will have roughly 3-4 bil cases around the globe, so in the end we will all get it. Hopefully by then tho, they will have a vaccine, since the shortest time in wich they can make one is 8 weeks, from the moment they actually know what theyr fighting against. The specialists said that the virus is mutating in a diffrent way from person to person, the only stable thing beeing the distribution pattern, flu like.So im thinking that R0 is extremly unstable in these cases.