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Message Subject WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Poster Handle Anonymous Coward
Post Content
OP, your projection isn’t accurate because the R0 value is the average number of people that a carrier will infect during the entire time they are contagious...it is not how many people they infect every 24 hrs.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 71242045



Would be great if OP would address this comment. Basically he is saying the R0 value is spread over a period of time that is much longer than 24 hours.

You can look at it like a bank account interest rate. Not 2% daily, but 2% over a much longer period - yet the 2% figure is correct.

Is the OP compounding this infection rate daily to arrive at the model's figures?
 
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