REPORT ABUSIVE REPLY
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Message Subject
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WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
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Poster Handle
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Anonymous Coward |
Post Content
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OP, your projection isn’t accurate because the R0 value is the average number of people that a carrier will infect during the entire time they are contagious...it is not how many people they infect every 24 hrs.
Quoting: Anonymous Coward 71242045 Would be great if OP would address this comment. Basically he is saying the R0 value is spread over a period of time that is much longer than 24 hours. You can look at it like a bank account interest rate. Not 2% daily, but 2% over a much longer period - yet the 2% figure is correct. Is the OP compounding this infection rate daily to arrive at the model's figures? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 78468629 The R0 is an average, you can use that figure for what ever time frame you want, as long as you use that figure consistently. There are a few videos on YouTube that explain how to come up with this number yourself. Quoting: DeplorableDoomsdayGuy® Not arguing with OP model or value of work (so many unknowns), but n R0 for infecting others during 24 hours versus 2 weeks does make a HUGE difference.
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