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Message Subject WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Poster Handle Anonymous Coward
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Are We the “Fixers” - This is a pre-economy post (my economy post will be coming out Sunday night only in this thread). But I wanted to plant this seed.

There is still much to learn in the days/weeks/months ahead about this virus and how it will impact each of us and where we live. We have a pretty good view of the horrible impact it has already taken in only 60 days for the Chinese people. As other countries situations begin to unfold we will learn more and more on the possible impact the virus should effect us and our locations. I believe OPs model is good and helped all of us in this thread. And I am looking forward to his updated version soon as I believe it will be the most accurate and best knowledge for us to handle the next phase of this virus. I also believe the “real” cycle of this virus is closer to 60 days not 14-21. My rational for this 60 day thinking is factoring in certain other elements like no real legit test, no real reporting, etc. Remember China learned of this virus in mid Dec, acknowledged its existence in mid January and still is not reporting real numbers. I think Japan and Singapore reporting will be different. I think here in the USA we are just at the very beginning. Will we see people drop in the street like in China? People suffer from multiple organ failures like in China? Set up 1000 bed triage centers like in China? Or will we or other countries just have a bad cold. Time will tell.

But one thing is for ABSOLUTE certain……..the global economy and to a higher degree certain local economies will be devastated due to China’s complete halt of their economy and global production. Ok back to the “Fixer”. Please follow me with this seed/idea. There was a great TV commercial during the SuperBowl (American football game) this year. I really really liked it. It was a Budweiser beer commercial. Here is a link [link to youtu.be (secure)] . Throw out the product and just watch the 60 second commercial. Someone is going to have to FIX this global economy and virus problem. Just like the Great Generation saved the world in WWII. Are we going to be The Fixers to save the world in this global catastrophe? Personally I would kind of like to be known as “I was one of the Fixers”. This obviously would include anyone in the world that contributes in some way. But someone must take the lead. Can Trump do this? How about you? Watch that TV commercial again [link to youtu.be (secure)] and always remember, everything begins with an idea.
 Quoting: IdeaMan1624



[link to broward.ghost.io (secure)]

I believe the superspreaders are not real,
they are the initial infectious stage
and changes over time. My best guess
is that it's around 8 or 9.

I tried changing the cycle time from 5 days to 2.5 days
on the cruise ship data and out popped a R0 of 9,
so a true cycle of 2.4 would not surprise me at all.

I think the virus is designed with a pretty broad
range of incubation times and suspect it's bimodal
curve. Most of the time it fits into tolerable
14-21 day range but has a second distribution around
the 42 day mark.
 
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