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Message Subject WW3 Europe front. UPDATE page 532 -February 2024, the decisive month
Poster Handle Leonero
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EXPECTED EVOLUTION OF PANDEMIC IN ITALY

[link to www.ansa.it (secure)]

A new total lockdown seems to be ruled out at the moment and, without a complete and rigid closure like the one taken on March 9th, there are three scenarios that Italy could face next autumn. To trace them, in an interview with ANSA, is Ranieri Guerra, deputy director of the World Health Organization (WHO) and member of the Technical-Scientific Committee. "A global lockdown is out of the question," he notes; "it is not foreseen because it would cause harm without giving benefits".
[...]
The first is the most optimistic, with a "very slow and constant increase in cases, not necessarily linked to an increase in patients".

[...]
The second scenario, more complex and perhaps the most plausible, foresees that with the autumn and the reopening of schools and the greater use of public transport, a sort of "short circuit between schools and families" can be created which could lead to " a further increase in cases, hopefully contained "

[...]
The third scenario is definitely the worst: it is the one in which the situation could get out of hand, with "an increase in cases such that in the territory it would no longer be possible to make adequate diagnosis and tracking" also due to "an increase in hospitalizations.
 
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