Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79337797 France ruling out another lockdown citing low number of hospitalisations.
For now.
Will see how they do by mid-October.
Hello DR! I hope you are having a good Sunday.
As I have said before I think resistance to lock downs will only make the problem worse to the point that most people will beg for t he lock downs to be implemented. Having a “normal“ behavior leads to increased virus contagion. We all know that, most people still don’t see it clearly, and as long as they are not affected directly by the virus their normalcy bias makes them think the lock downs are the problem. When and If we reach a spread of the virus that makes no one possible to be free from direct effect of it in their personal life’s, people will change their normalcy bias to the other side and beg on their knees to be protected from the virus. The problem is much more the human psyche than the virus itself, as long as most of the people don’t realize the direness of our situation.
Hey Red.
I hope you have a good Sunday also.
Obviously the human behavior is the key factor in a pandemic.
Our current society lacks logic, and it is easily influenced by politicians (who have no idea what we are facing, and are biased toward the economy) and opinion makers (who are basically idiots), leading to a strong majority that is against lock-downs, against masks, against distancing and basically thinks that this virus doesn't exists or it's nothing but a simple cold.
This majority is going to fight against any logical reasoning, and when paired with school opening, is going to lead to a massive second wave.
The U.S., when facing the July resurgence, managed to lower their cases by mid-August...but schools got reopened, and now, the U.S. is not only back on an upward trend, but a strong upward trend.
Europe's resurgence started, as I predicted, in August, and, as I also predicted, is now on a strong upward trend, which will skyrocket, starting in October.
France posted 7k new cases today...on a Sunday. Tomorrow they will most likely have the same numbers, but starting Tuesday, I won't be amazed at all to see France going over 10k/cases a day, and reaching 15k cases/day by mid-September...unless they quickly close the schools.
Spain is going to post massive numbers next week, and U.K. is going to reach 5-6k cases / day next week.
I am going to say again : by mid-October, the pandemic will be bad, in any country that have schools open, and the decision to lock-down again will have to be implemented or rejected.
I do not expect them to do it, and this will lead to a crisis in November, which the world won't be able to cope with.
Sadly, the rise in cases, hospitalizations and deaths is not going to be serious, by mid-October, and this will make the politicians avoid to lock-down, and the hoaxers majority to keep doing what they do.
The situation will become bad really fast, after mid-October, and most people won't even know what hit them...but by that time, it will be too late.
